Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · at East Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
MEM -4.5✓ ECU covered by 20.5
Closing total152.5Under by 0.5
| This season | ECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-16 | Record | 9-18 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 10-17 |
| 14-14 | O/U | 14-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MEM 78–72 ECU · ✗ MEM (69%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 30 | 38 | 68 |
| ECU | 44 | 40 | 84 |
1st half: MEM 30, ECU 44 (ECU by 14). The model had MEM by 3.4 and a total of 70.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| MEM | ECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-67 37% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 15-20 75% |
| 30 13 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 20 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 37 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 6-15 | 2-5 |
| Curtis Givens III G | 29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Julius Thedford G | 25 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Thierno Sylla C | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quante Berry G | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Sincere Parker G | 19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Zach Davis G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Simon Majok C | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| William Whorton F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Arop Arop F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tariq Ingraham, Ashton Hardaway, Hasan Abdul Hakim, Mason Matthews
| ECU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley G | 40 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 11-19 | 3-5 |
| Corey Caulker G | 39 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Demitri Gardner G | 37 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Giovanni Emejuru C | 27 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Eli DeLaurier C | 16 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reid Cason F | 25 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Luke Davis F | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Mbeng G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vito Perkovic, Patrick D'Arcy, Jake Baker, Daithi Quinn, Grant Smith, Trevion LaBeaux, Tybo Bailey, Ladontae Felton, Jayshayne Woodard
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMEM -5.5
1 → ECU
CloseMEM -4.5
1 pt toward ECU
Total
Open149.5
▲ 3
Close152.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MEM -205 · ECU +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MEM -5.5 · closed MEM -4.5 · moved 1 toward ECUmodel MEM -5.5
model MEM -5.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MEM -4.5 | MEM -5.6 | MEM +1.1 | L ECU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 149.7 | Under 2.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MEM 77.6 · ECU 72.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MEM -3.4 | ECU -14.0 |
| 1H total | 70.0 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | MEM 36.7 · ECU 33.3 | MEM 30 · ECU 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MEM 4–1 ECUMEM leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MEM has won the last 4 meetings · MEM 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | ECU 70 @ MEM 74 | MEM -12.5 | ECU W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | MEM 82 @ ECU 58 | ECU +4.5 | MEM W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | ECU 59 @ MEM 69 | MEM -14.5 | ECU W |
| Jan 27, 2021-22 | ECU 54 @ MEM 71 | MEM -11 | MEM W |
| Jan 15, 2021-22 | MEM 71 @ ECU 72 | ECU +7 | ECU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Memphis
28 games played
Straight up
12-16
43% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 77-83 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs | L 71-80 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 74-58 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 78-71 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 73-99 | +16.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs | L 70-77 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 66-71 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 31 | vs | W 57-48 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 76-70 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 11 | @ | L 78-89 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 55-53 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 18 | vs | W 95-69 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 66-83 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 59-74 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 92-65 | -3.5 | W +23.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 76-78 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | @ | W 90-80 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 8 | vs | W 77-54 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 12 | @ | L 69-76 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 75-99 | +13.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 19 | @ | L 66-87 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 22 | vs | L 67-78 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 26 | vs | L 82-88 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SF
W 76-70
+3.5
11
@
MISS
L 77-83
+3.5
16
vs
UNLV
L 78-92
−23.5
20
vs
PUR
L 71-80
+5.5
21
vs
WAKE
L 68-69
+1.5
26
vs
SIU
W 74-58
+5.5
3
vs
NOLA
W 86-70
+1.5
6
vs
BAY
W 78-71
+10.5
13
@
LOU
L 73-99
−9.5
17
vs
VAN
L 70-77
+2.5
20
@
MSST
L 66-71
−1.5
22
vs
ALST
W 88-67
+0.5
31
vs
UNT
W 57-48
−0.5
3
@
RICE
W 76-70
−1.5
11
@
FAU
L 78-89
−9.5
14
vs
TEM
W 55-53
−5.5
18
vs
UTSA
W 95-69
+5.5
21
@
TLSA
L 66-83
−10.5
24
@
WICH
L 59-74
−11.5
29
vs
FAU
W 92-65
+23.5
1
vs
TULN
L 76-78
−10.5
5
@
UAB
W 90-80
+11.5
8
vs
CLT
W 77-54
+12.5
12
@
UNT
L 69-76
−9.5
14
@
USU
L 75-99
−10.5
19
@
USF
L 66-87
−11.5
22
vs
UAB
L 67-78
−16.5
26
vs
WICH
L 82-88
−7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vs
SF
W 76-70
−11.5
11
@
MISS
L 77-83
+7.5
16
vs
UNLV
L 78-92
+6.5
20
vs
PUR
L 71-80
−5.5
21
vs
WAKE
L 68-69
−23.5
26
vs
SIU
W 74-58
−24.5
3
vs
NOLA
W 86-70
+6.5
6
vs
BAY
W 78-71
−9.5
13
@
LOU
L 73-99
+9.5
17
vs
VAN
L 70-77
−12.5
20
@
MSST
L 66-71
−16.5
22
vs
ALST
W 88-67
+3.5
31
vs
UNT
W 57-48
−32.5
3
@
RICE
W 76-70
+1.5
11
@
FAU
L 78-89
+14.5
14
vs
TEM
W 55-53
−35.5
18
vs
UTSA
W 95-69
+16.5
21
@
TLSA
L 66-83
−4.5
24
@
WICH
L 59-74
−12.5
29
vs
FAU
W 92-65
+4.5
1
vs
TULN
L 76-78
+2.5
5
@
UAB
W 90-80
+14.5
8
vs
CLT
W 77-54
−13.5
12
@
UNT
L 69-76
+6.5
14
@
USU
L 75-99
+18.5
19
@
USF
L 66-87
−10.5
22
vs
UAB
L 67-78
−7.5
26
vs
WICH
L 82-88
+20.5
over 14under 14avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
East Carolina
27 games played
Straight up
9-18
33% wins
Against the spread
10-17
37% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 92-89 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 72-87 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 60-85 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 65-77 | -13.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 56-89 | +19.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 58-67 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 68-56 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 78-82 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 11 | vs | L 54-67 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 73-70 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 74-53 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 51-99 | +25.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 31 | vs | L 70-79 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 67-75 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | vs | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 71-82 | +18.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs | L 70-73 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 60-77 | +12.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 23 | @ | W 63-59 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 77-83 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 76-75 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 88-72 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 85-75 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 89-92 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 56-68 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 25 | @ | W 82-81 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
GASO
W 92-89
−2.5
8
@
RICH
L 72-87
−9.5
18
@
UNCW
L 60-85
−18.5
21
vs
CHSO
L 65-77
−25.5
25
vs
MSU
L 56-89
−13.5
27
vs
SBU
L 58-67
+1.5
2
vs
UMES
W 68-56
−0.5
6
vs
UNCG
L 78-82
−11.5
11
vs
APP
L 54-67
−17.5
14
vs
BUF
W 73-70
+1.5
17
vs
PRES
W 74-53
+16.5
22
@
UNC
L 51-99
−22.5
31
vs
TULN
L 70-79
−7.5
7
@
TEM
L 67-75
−0.5
11
vs
UAB
L 85-87
+5.5
14
@
USF
L 71-82
+7.5
18
vs
CLT
L 70-73
−4.5
21
@
WICH
L 60-77
−4.5
23
@
UNT
W 63-59
+14.5
28
vs
RICE
L 77-83
−8.5
1
@
FAU
W 76-75
+11.5
7
vs
TEM
L 73-81
−5.5
11
vs
UTSA
W 88-72
+5.5
14
@
RICE
W 85-75
+14.5
18
vs
WICH
L 89-92
+4.5
21
@
CLT
L 56-68
−7.5
25
@
UTSA
W 82-81
−3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 17avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
GASO
W 92-89
+29.5
8
@
RICH
L 72-87
+15.5
18
@
UNCW
L 60-85
−0.5
21
vs
CHSO
L 65-77
−15.5
25
vs
MSU
L 56-89
+4.5
27
vs
SBU
L 58-67
−19.5
2
vs
UMES
W 68-56
−3.5
6
vs
UNCG
L 78-82
+20.5
11
vs
APP
L 54-67
−9.5
14
vs
BUF
W 73-70
−3.5
17
vs
PRES
W 74-53
−4.5
22
@
UNC
L 51-99
+5.5
31
vs
TULN
L 70-79
+3.5
7
@
TEM
L 67-75
−1.5
11
vs
UAB
L 85-87
+21.5
14
@
USF
L 71-82
−5.5
18
vs
CLT
L 70-73
+3.5
21
@
WICH
L 60-77
−7.5
23
@
UNT
W 63-59
−12.5
28
vs
RICE
L 77-83
+19.5
1
@
FAU
W 76-75
−2.5
7
vs
TEM
L 73-81
+13.5
11
vs
UTSA
W 88-72
+9.5
14
@
RICE
W 85-75
+13.5
18
vs
WICH
L 89-92
+31.5
21
@
CLT
L 56-68
−21.5
25
@
UTSA
W 82-81
+9.5
over 14under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Memphis
12-16 overall · 7-8 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wichita St82–88
- Lvs UAB67–78
- L@ South Florida66–87
- L@ Utah State75–99
- L@ North Texas69–76
3 days since their last game.
East Carolina
9-18 overall · 5-10 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UTSA82–81
- L@ Charlotte56–68
- Lvs Wichita St89–92
- W@ Rice85–75
- Wvs UTSA88–72
4 days since their last game.