The Super Pit · at North Texas · Conference game
Closing line
MEM -2.5✓ UNT covered by 9.5
MEM -2.5✓ UNT covered by 9.5Closing total138.5Over by 6.5
| MEM | This season | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| 12-11 | Record | 11-11 |
| 13-10 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 11-12 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MEM 69–67 UNT · ✗ MEM (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 32 | 37 | 69 |
| UNT | 33 | 43 | 76 |
1st half: MEM 32, UNT 33 (UNT by 1). The model had MEM by 1.4 and a total of 63.8 (actual 65).
Team stats
| MEM | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 21-47 45% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 31-41 76% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 6 |
| 9 | Steals | 11 |
| 7 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 23 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 37 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Julius Thedford G | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Curtis Givens III G | 22 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Thierno Sylla C | 21 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 18 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sincere Parker G | 24 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6-15 | 2-5 |
| Zach Davis G | 24 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Ashton Hardaway F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tariq Ingraham F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Arop Arop, Simon Majok, Mason Matthews, William Whorton, Hasan Abdul Hakim, Quante Berry
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-14 | 1-8 |
| David Terrell Jr. G | 31 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Arnett F | 30 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Cole Franklin G | 27 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Reece Robinson F | 24 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 15 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Demarion Watson G | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| EJ Horton G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cahmai Crosby G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josiah Shackleford, Will McClendon
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMEM -2.5
ModelMEM -2.2
Model edgeUNT +0.3
W UNT covered
Total
Market138.5
Model136.2
Model edgeUnder 2.3
L Over
Projected score
MEM 69.2 · UNT 67
MEM 69 · UNT 76
Win probability
MEM 57%
1st half
Spread
MEM -1.4
UNT -1.0
Total
63.8
65 points
Projected score
MEM 32.6 · UNT 31.2
MEM 32 · UNT 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMEM -1.5
1 → MEM
CloseMEM -2.5
1 pt toward MEM
Total
Open134.5
▲ 4
Close138.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MEM -142 · UNT +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MEM -1.5 · closed MEM -2.5 · moved 1 toward MEMmodel MEM -2
model MEM -2
Opened 134.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 4 upmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| UNT | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MEM 2–1 UNTMEM leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MEM has won the last 2 meetings · MEM 0-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | UNT 48 @ MEM 57 | MEM -9.5 | UNT W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | UNT 64 @ MEM 68 | MEM -7.5 | UNT W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | MEM 66 @ UNT 76 | UNT -1.5 | UNT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Memphis
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-12
48% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SF | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | @ MISS | L 77-83 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs UNLV | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PUR | L 71-80 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs SIU | W 74-58 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | vs NOLA | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs BAY | W 78-71 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ LOU | L 73-99 | +16.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs VAN | L 70-77 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ MSST | L 66-71 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | vs ALST | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 31 | vsUNT | W 57-48 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 3 | @ RICE | W 76-70 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 11 | @ FAU | L 78-89 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs TEM | W 55-53 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 18 | vs UTSA | W 95-69 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @ TLSA | L 66-83 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @ WICH | L 59-74 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vsFAU | W 92-65 | -3.5 | W +23.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 1 | vs TULN | L 76-78 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 5 | @ UAB | W 90-80 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 8 | vs CLT | W 77-54 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
+5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+1.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
+5.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+1.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
+10.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
−9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
+2.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−1.5
22
vsALST
ALSTW 88-67
+0.5
31
vsUNT
UNTW 57-48
−0.5
3
@RICE
RICEW 76-70
−1.5
11
@FAU
FAUL 78-89
−9.5
14
vsTEM
TEMW 55-53
−5.5
18
vsUTSA
UTSAW 95-69
+5.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-83
−10.5
24
@WICH
WICHL 59-74
−11.5
29
vsFAU
FAUW 92-65
+23.5
1
vsTULN
TULNL 76-78
−10.5
5
@UAB
UABW 90-80
+11.5
8
vsCLT
CLTW 77-54
+12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
−5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−23.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
−24.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+6.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
−9.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
+9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
−12.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−16.5
22
vsALST
ALSTW 88-67
+3.5
31
vsUNT
UNTW 57-48
−32.5
3
@RICE
RICEW 76-70
+1.5
11
@FAU
FAUL 78-89
+14.5
14
vsTEM
TEMW 55-53
−35.5
18
vsUTSA
UTSAW 95-69
+16.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-83
−4.5
24
@WICH
WICHL 59-74
−12.5
29
vsFAU
FAUW 92-65
+4.5
1
vsTULN
TULNL 76-78
+2.5
5
@UAB
UABW 90-80
+14.5
8
vsCLT
CLTW 77-54
−13.5
over 11under 12avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Texas
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 7 | vs TCU | L 55-65 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 14 | @ USA | W 58-57 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | vs SCU | L 60-63 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @MEM | L 48-57 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 4 | vsTLSA | W 72-67 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 7 | vs USF | L 70-74 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 11 | @WICH | L 67-78 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 18 | @TULN | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 21 | vsUTSA | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 23 | vs ECU | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 28 | @TLSA | L 66-82 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 31 | vsUAB | L 68-72 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 4 | @RICE | L 83-86 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 7 | @UTSA | W 81-58 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−0.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
+2.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
+9.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
+0.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+7.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
+0.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
−2.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
+9.5
21
vsUTSA
UTSAW 81-62
+3.5
23
vsECU
ECUL 59-63
−14.5
28
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-82
−7.5
31
vsUAB
UABL 68-72
−5.5
4
@RICE
RICEL 83-86
−4.5
7
@UTSA
UTSAW 81-58
+12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−15.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
−20.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
−16.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
−32.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+0.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
−3.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
+9.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
−3.5
21
vsUTSA
UTSAW 81-62
+4.5
23
vsECU
ECUL 59-63
−12.5
28
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-82
+6.5
31
vsUAB
UABL 68-72
−1.5
4
@RICE
RICEL 83-86
+34.5
7
@UTSA
UTSAW 81-58
−2.5
over 8under 14avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Memphis
12-11 overall · 7-4 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charlotte77–54
- W@ UAB90–80
- Lvs Tulane76–78
- Wvs FAU92–65
- L@ Wichita St59–74
4 days since their last game.
North Texas
11-11 overall · 4-7 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UTSA81–58
- L@ Rice83–86
- Lvs UAB68–72
- L@ Tulsa66–82
- Lvs East Carolina59–63
5 days since their last game.