Knapp Center · at Drake · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -4.5✓ UNI covered by 17.5
UNI -4.5✓ UNI covered by 17.5Closing total137.5Under by 9.5
| UNI | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 17-12 | Record | 10-18 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 10-18 |
| 12-17 | O/U | 17-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNI 69–65 DRKE · ✓ UNI (61%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 39 | 36 | 75 |
| DRKE | 24 | 29 | 53 |
1st half: UNI 39, DRKE 24 (UNI by 15). The model had UNI by 2.1 and a total of 62.8 (actual 63).
Team stats
| UNI | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 18-58 31% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 9-37 24% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 41 16 off |
| 14 | Assists | 9 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Campbell G | 32 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Max Weisbrod G | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Leon Bond III G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
| Will Hornseth F | 25 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Tristan Smith F | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Schwieger F | 27 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| RJ Taylor G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Kyle Pock F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Jacobson G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Marino Dubravcic, Redek Born, Chase Courbat, Cade Courbat, Jalen Wilson, Levi Valdo
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Alia G | 35 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 32 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 5-12 |
| Owen Larson G | 30 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4-13 | 2-10 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Okku Federiko F | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Griffen Goodbary F | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-5 |
| Wilguens Jr. Exacte F | 16 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braden Appelhans, LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -4.5
ModelUNI -3.3
Model edgeDRKE +1.2
L UNI covered
Total
Market137.5
Model134.1
Model edgeUnder 3.4
W Under
Projected score
UNI 68.7 · DRKE 65.4
UNI 75 · DRKE 53
Win probability
UNI 61%
1st half
Spread
UNI -2.1
UNI -15.0
Total
62.8
63 points
Projected score
UNI 32.5 · DRKE 30.4
UNI 39 · DRKE 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -3.5
1 → UNI
CloseUNI -4.5
1 pt toward UNI
Total
Open138.5
▼ 1
Close137.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNI -192 · DRKE +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -3.5 · closed UNI -4.5 · moved 1 toward UNImodel UNI -3.5
model UNI -3.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 downmodel 134
model 134
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNI | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| DRKE | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNI 3–6 DRKEDRKE leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNI 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025-26 | DRKE 62 @ UNI 86 | UNI -8.5 | UNI W |
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | DRKE 64 @ UNI 58 | UNI -1.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | UNI 52 @ DRKE 66 | DRKE -7.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | DRKE 77 @ UNI 91 | UNI +1.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UNI 63 @ DRKE 77 | DRKE -9.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northern Iowa
29 games played
Straight up
17-12
59% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @ UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @ UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs VAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vs INST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @ EVAN | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vs BEL | L 65-78 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ BRAD | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 13 | vsUIC | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 17 | @VAL | L 44-54 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 130.5 | U 98 |
| Jan 21 | @ ILST | L 54-59 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 24 | vs MUR | W 81-76 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | @ SIU | L 50-65 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 130.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | vsEVAN | W 71-55 | -11.5 | W +4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 6 | vsBRAD | W 61-49 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 9 | @MUR | W 89-60 | +4.5 | W +33.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @BEL | L 86-91 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 15 | vsDRKE | W 86-62 | -8.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 18 | @INST | W 81-60 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 21 | vsSIU | L 57-59 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 25 | vsILST | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
+9.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
−15.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
−1.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
−14.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−11.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
+1.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+6.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−16.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
+4.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
+8.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+33.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
−0.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+15.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+15.5
21
vsSIU
SIUL 57-59
−8.5
25
vsILST
ILSTL 69-71
−6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
−21.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 65-78
+5.5
10
@BRAD
BRADL 69-75
+12.5
13
vsUIC
UICL 61-69
+1.5
17
@VAL
VALL 44-54
−32.5
21
@ILST
ILSTL 54-59
−19.5
24
vsMUR
MURW 81-76
+11.5
28
@SIU
SIUL 50-65
−15.5
31
vsEVAN
EVANW 71-55
−2.5
6
vsBRAD
BRADW 61-49
−24.5
9
@MUR
MURW 89-60
+3.5
12
@BEL
BELL 86-91
+38.5
15
vsDRKE
DRKEW 86-62
+9.5
18
@INST
INSTW 81-60
+4.5
21
vsSIU
SIUL 57-59
−18.5
25
vsILST
ILSTL 69-71
+7.5
over 12under 17avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
28 games played
Straight up
10-18
36% wins
Against the spread
10-18
36% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-11
61% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 18 | @MUR | L 72-81 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @EVAN | W 66-65 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | vsILST | L 56-73 | +4.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 4 | vsINST | W 74-72 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 7 | @BRAD | L 66-93 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | vsBEL | L 76-78 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | @SIU | W 76-73 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | @UIC | L 67-74 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 21 | vsMUR | W 101-90 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @INST | W 76-62 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 28 | vsEVAN | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vsBRAD | L 73-87 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 3 | @BEL | L 90-103 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @ILST | L 76-86 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 9 | vsVAL | L 76-81 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 12 | vsUIC | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @UNI | L 62-86 | +8.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 18 | vsSIU | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 25 | @VAL | L 71-74 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−1.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
+3.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−12.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−4.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
−20.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+2.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+8.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
−1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+15.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
+17.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
−4.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
−11.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
−3.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 76-86
+0.5
9
vsVAL
VALL 76-81
−8.5
12
vsUIC
UICL 70-80
−8.5
15
@UNI
UNIL 62-86
−15.5
18
vsSIU
SIUL 61-66
−3.5
25
@VAL
VALL 71-74
−0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 18avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
18
@MUR
MURL 72-81
−3.5
21
@EVAN
EVANW 66-65
−10.5
29
vsILST
ILSTL 56-73
−16.5
4
vsINST
INSTW 74-72
−3.5
7
@BRAD
BRADL 66-93
+14.5
10
vsBEL
BELL 76-78
+5.5
14
@SIU
SIUW 76-73
+4.5
17
@UIC
UICL 67-74
+1.5
21
vsMUR
MURW 101-90
+34.5
24
@INST
INSTW 76-62
−13.5
28
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-78
+16.5
31
vsBRAD
BRADL 73-87
+9.5
3
@BEL
BELL 90-103
+38.5
6
@ILST
ILSTL 76-86
+17.5
9
vsVAL
VALL 76-81
+12.5
12
vsUIC
UICL 70-80
+3.5
15
@UNI
UNIL 62-86
+9.5
18
vsSIU
SIUL 61-66
−22.5
25
@VAL
VALL 71-74
−1.5
over 17under 11avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northern Iowa
17-12 overall · 10-9 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Illinois St69–71
- Lvs S Illinois57–59
- W@ Indiana St81–60
- Wvs Drake86–62
- L@ Belmont86–91
4 days since their last game.
Drake
10-18 overall · 6-13 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Valparaiso71–74
- Lvs S Illinois61–66
- L@ Northern Iowa62–86
- Lvs UIC70–80
- Lvs Valparaiso76–81
4 days since their last game.