MVP Arena · at Siena · Conference game
Closing line
SIE -14.5✓ SIE covered by 0.5
SIE -14.5✓ SIE covered by 0.5Closing total137.5Under by 0.5
 RID | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 3-24 | Record | 19-11 |
| 9-18 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 9-18 | O/U | 11-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RID 62–76 SIE · ✓ SIE (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RID | 35 | 26 | 61 |
| SIE | 33 | 43 | 76 |
1st half: RID 35, SIE 33 (RID by 2). The model had SIE by 8.4 and a total of 64.5 (actual 68).
Team stats
| RID | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 6-14 43% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 22-25 88% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| RID | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Burton G | 38 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 7-18 | 3-11 |
| Zion Cruz G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 7-17 | 2-6 |
| Caleb Smith G | 33 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Shemani Fuller F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Davis Bynum F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AB Coulibaly G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jamir McNeil G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cole McCabe F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Helterhoff F | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Antwan Wilson G | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xaviel Rodriguez, Kristupas Kepežinskas, Maurizio D'Alessandro, Mohamad Diallo, Devean Williams
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty G | 40 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-4 |
| Justice Shoats G | 39 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7-16 | 0-1 |
| Francis Folefac F | 38 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 33 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 33 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 6-10 | 5-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Henderson G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Danny Murray, Chris Torres, Mosi Clayton, Owen Schlager, Antonio Chandler, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Tasman Goodrick, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -14.5
ModelSIE -14.4
Model edgeRID +0.1
L SIE covered
Total
Market137.5
Model137.7
Model edgeOver 0.2
L Under
Projected score
RID 61.7 · SIE 76.1
RID 61 · SIE 76
Win probability
SIE 90%
1st half
Spread
SIE -8.4
RID -2.0
Total
64.5
68 points
Projected score
RID 28 · SIE 36.5
RID 35 · SIE 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -16.5
2 → RID
CloseSIE -14.5
2 pts toward RID
Total
Open137.5
no move
Close137.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
RID +850 · SIE -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -16.5 · closed SIE -14.5 · moved 2 toward RIDmodel SIE -14.5 matches the line
model SIE -14.5 = line ✓
Opened 137.5 · unchangedmodel 137.5 matches the line
model 137.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RID | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| SIE | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
RID 5–4 SIERID leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · RID 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025-26 | SIE 74 @ RID 65 | RID +8.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | SIE 76 vs RID 78 | RID +4.5 | RID W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | SIE 59 @ RID 61 | RID +2.5 | RID W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | SIE 50 @ RID 91 | RID -9.5 | RID W |
| Dec 1, 2023-24 | RID 65 @ SIE 67 | SIE +2.5 | SIE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rider
27 games played
Straight up
3-24
11% wins
Against the spread
9-18
33% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-18
33% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UVA | L 53-87 | +26.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 5 | @ RUTG | L 53-81 | +18.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | @ TEX | L 65-99 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | @ HOU | L 45-91 | +40.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs COPP | L 65-68 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ MRMK | L 66-68 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ QUIN | L 58-72 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUCK | L 38-51 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 16 | @ DEL | L 57-65 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | @ VCU | L 79-100 | +30.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MAN | L 71-74 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vsSIE | L 65-74 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ FAIR | L 62-68 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 11 | vs MRST | L 49-71 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 14 | vs IONA | W 72-68 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | @ SPU | L 58-69 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 19 | vs SHU | L 85-105 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSM | L 61-71 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 30 | @MAN | L 90-95 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 1 | vsSPU | W 81-78 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 5 | @MRST | L 52-81 | +14.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | vsMRMK | L 47-73 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 13 | vsMSM | L 55-65 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 15 | @SHU | L 75-86 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 20 | vs CAN | L 66-72 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 22 | vs NIA | W 67-62 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 27 | @IONA | L 58-80 | +11.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UVA
UVAL 53-87
−7.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 53-81
−9.5
18
@TEX
TEXL 65-99
−3.5
20
@HOU
HOUL 45-91
−5.5
25
vsCOPP
COPPL 65-68
−11.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-68
+7.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 58-72
+0.5
9
vsBUCK
BUCKL 38-51
−10.5
16
@DEL
DELL 57-65
+0.5
22
@VCU
VCUL 79-100
+9.5
29
vsMAN
MANL 71-74
−0.5
4
vsSIE
SIEL 65-74
−0.5
9
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-68
+2.5
11
vsMRST
MRSTL 49-71
−11.5
14
vsIONA
IONAW 72-68
+11.5
17
@SPU
SPUL 58-69
−0.5
19
vsSHU
SHUL 85-105
−15.5
24
@MSM
MSML 61-71
−0.5
30
@MAN
MANL 90-95
+0.5
1
vsSPU
SPUW 81-78
+10.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 52-81
−14.5
7
vsMRMK
MRMKL 47-73
−17.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 55-65
−4.5
15
@SHU
SHUL 75-86
−1.5
20
vsCAN
CANL 66-72
−7.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 67-62
+6.5
27
@IONA
IONAL 58-80
−10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 18avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UVA
UVAL 53-87
−8.5
5
@RUTG
RUTGL 53-81
−5.5
18
@TEX
TEXL 65-99
+20.5
20
@HOU
HOUL 45-91
+1.5
25
vsCOPP
COPPL 65-68
−6.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-68
−4.5
7
@QUIN
QUINL 58-72
−17.5
9
vsBUCK
BUCKL 38-51
−46.5
16
@DEL
DELL 57-65
−7.5
22
@VCU
VCUL 79-100
+33.5
29
vsMAN
MANL 71-74
−2.5
4
vsSIE
SIEL 65-74
+3.5
9
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-68
−15.5
11
vsMRST
MRSTL 49-71
−11.5
14
vsIONA
IONAW 72-68
−1.5
17
@SPU
SPUL 58-69
−7.5
19
vsSHU
SHUL 85-105
+45.5
24
@MSM
MSML 61-71
−7.5
30
@MAN
MANL 90-95
+39.5
1
vsSPU
SPUW 81-78
+22.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 52-81
−2.5
7
vsMRMK
MRMKL 47-73
−17.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 55-65
−17.5
15
@SHU
SHUL 75-86
+14.5
20
vsCAN
CANL 66-72
+6.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 67-62
−2.5
27
@IONA
IONAL 58-80
−3.5
over 9under 18avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
30 games played
Straight up
19-11
63% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-19
37% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vsNIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vsCAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vsMRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vsSHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsMRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsIONA | W 79-72 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @SPU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vsQUIN | L 62-74 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 15 | @MRST | W 67-63 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 20 | @MRMK | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 22 | vsSPU | W 72-63 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 27 | @FAIR | L 58-72 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
−1.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−6.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−15.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
+6.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
+3.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−15.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
+10.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−0.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−8.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
−3.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
+17.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
−0.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−12.5
over 11under 19avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rider
3-24 overall · 3-16 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iona58–80
- Wvs Niagara67–62
- Lvs Canisius66–72
- L@ Sacred Heart75–86
- Lvs Mount St Marys55–65
2 days since their last game.
Siena
19-11 overall · 12-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Fairfield58–72
- Wvs Saint Peter's72–63
- L@ Merrimack72–79
- W@ Marist67–63
- Lvs Quinnipiac62–74
2 days since their last game.