Ford Center · at Evansville · Conference game
Closing line
SIU -9.5✓ SIU covered by 4.5
SIU -9.5✓ SIU covered by 4.5Closing total139.5Over by 8.5
| SIU | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 14-15 | Record | 5-23 |
| 15-14 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 8-21 | O/U | 14-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIU 74–67 EVAN · ✓ SIU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 38 | 43 | 81 |
| EVAN | 27 | 40 | 67 |
1st half: SIU 38, EVAN 27 (SIU by 11). The model had SIU by 4.7 and a total of 66.0 (actual 65).
Team stats
| SIU | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 12-13 92% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Steffe G | 39 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. G | 32 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 6-15 | 4-10 |
| Prince Aligbe F | 29 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Quel'Ron House G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 4-12 | 0-1 |
| Rolyns Aligbe F | 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Haynes G | 21 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4-11 | 1-4 |
| Davion Sykes G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaheem Webber C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Max Pikaar F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caden Hawkins G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jorge Moreno F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Daniel Pauliukonis, Luke Walsh, Isaiah Stafford
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller G | 40 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 39 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| AJ Casey F | 37 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 35 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Hundley F | 22 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Gutman, James Dyson-Merwe, Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler, Leo Amari IV, Connor Turnbull, Keishon Porter, Marlon Barnes Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIU -9.5
ModelSIU -7.7
Model edgeEVAN +1.8
L SIU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
W Over
Projected score
SIU 74.4 · EVAN 66.7
SIU 81 · EVAN 67
Win probability
SIU 75%
1st half
Spread
SIU -4.7
SIU -11.0
Total
66.0
65 points
Projected score
SIU 35.4 · EVAN 30.7
SIU 38 · EVAN 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIU -8.5
1 → SIU
CloseSIU -9.5
1 pt toward SIU
Total
Open138.5
▲ 1
Close139.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SIU -440 · EVAN +340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIU -8.5 · closed SIU -9.5 · moved 1 toward SIUmodel SIU -7.5
model SIU -7.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
| EVAN | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SIU 7–1 EVANSIU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SIU has won the last 2 meetings · SIU 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | EVAN 60 @ SIU 86 | SIU -12.5 | SIU W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | SIU 68 @ EVAN 59 | EVAN -1.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | EVAN 68 @ SIU 53 | SIU -7.5 | EVAN W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | SIU 65 @ EVAN 53 | EVAN +3.5 | SIU W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | EVAN 70 @ SIU 77 | SIU -17.5 | EVAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Illinois
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
15-14
52% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-21
28% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs KC | W 101-78 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 12 | @ NEV | L 81-86 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 17 | @ NDSU | L 85-92 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | vs DEL | W 79-59 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs UAB | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 26 | @ MEM | L 58-74 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 29 | vs LR | W 74-65 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ HPU | W 86-84 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs UTM | W 83-54 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | @ RICH | L 84-93 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 18 | vs ILST | L 68-75 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ BRAD | L 69-73 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ MUR | L 81-84 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | vs VAL | W 75-70 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ BEL | W 68-67 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UIC | L 57-70 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 14 | vs DRKE | L 73-76 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 17 | vsBEL | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 21 | @VAL | L 63-69 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vs UNI | W 65-50 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | vsUIC | L 66-68 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 3 | @ILST | W 54-50 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 6 | vsMUR | L 81-91 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 9 | @ INST | W 80-65 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 12 | vsEVAN | W 86-60 | -12.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 15 | vsBRAD | L 60-70 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @DRKE | W 66-61 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 21 | @UNI | W 59-57 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 25 | vsINST | W 66-55 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+10.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+6.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
−5.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
+11.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−5.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−5.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−4.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+11.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
+20.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
−5.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−8.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
+2.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
+3.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−2.5
4
@BEL
BELW 68-67
+7.5
7
@UIC
UICL 57-70
−14.5
14
vsDRKE
DRKEL 73-76
−8.5
17
vsBEL
BELL 68-73
−1.5
21
@VAL
VALL 63-69
−4.5
28
vsUNI
UNIW 65-50
+16.5
31
vsUIC
UICL 66-68
−5.5
3
@ILST
ILSTW 54-50
+12.5
6
vsMUR
MURL 81-91
−8.5
9
@INST
INSTW 80-65
+13.5
12
vsEVAN
EVANW 86-60
+13.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADL 60-70
−12.5
18
@DRKE
DRKEW 66-61
+3.5
21
@UNI
UNIW 59-57
+8.5
25
vsINST
INSTW 66-55
+2.5
covered 15didn’t cover 14avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsKC
KCW 101-78
+37.5
12
@NEV
NEVL 81-86
+14.5
17
@NDSU
NDSUL 85-92
+23.5
23
vsDEL
DELW 79-59
−15.5
24
vsUAB
UABL 73-81
−7.5
26
@MEM
MEML 58-74
−24.5
29
vsLR
LRW 74-65
−2.5
3
@HPU
HPUW 86-84
+7.5
10
vsUTM
UTMW 83-54
−9.5
13
@RICH
RICHL 84-93
+23.5
18
vsILST
ILSTL 68-75
−10.5
21
@BRAD
BRADL 69-73
−10.5
29
@MUR
MURL 81-84
−0.5
1
vsVAL
VALW 75-70
−0.5
4
@BEL
BELW 68-67
−23.5
7
@UIC
UICL 57-70
−19.5
14
vsDRKE
DRKEL 73-76
+4.5
17
vsBEL
BELL 68-73
−10.5
21
@VAL
VALL 63-69
−10.5
28
vsUNI
UNIW 65-50
−15.5
31
vsUIC
UICL 66-68
−8.5
3
@ILST
ILSTW 54-50
−36.5
6
vsMUR
MURL 81-91
+14.5
9
@INST
INSTW 80-65
−1.5
12
vsEVAN
EVANW 86-60
+3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADL 60-70
−16.5
18
@DRKE
DRKEW 66-61
−22.5
21
@UNI
UNIW 59-57
−18.5
25
vsINST
INSTW 66-55
−26.5
over 8under 21avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
28 games played
Straight up
5-23
18% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ PUR | L 51-82 | +33.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTSU | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTA | L 76-84 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs ORST | W 73-69 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs AKR | L 59-97 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs COFC | L 59-78 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs BALL | W 64-52 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 6 | @ WKU | L 79-80 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | @ ND | L 58-82 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 16 | vsBEL | L 78-83 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 21 | vsDRKE | L 65-66 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 29 | @BRAD | L 68-76 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 1 | @ILST | L 47-73 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 4 | vsUNI | L 48-62 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | vsMUR | L 69-79 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | @INST | W 72-69 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vsBRAD | L 90-94 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 20 | @UIC | L 49-76 | +8.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 28 | @DRKE | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @UNI | L 55-71 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 128.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 3 | vsINST | L 63-84 | +1.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 6 | @VAL | L 63-70 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 9 | vsILST | W 88-80 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 137.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 12 | @SIU | L 60-86 | +12.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 18 | vsUIC | L 46-84 | +8.5 | L −29.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 21 | @MUR | L 75-88 | +15.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 25 | @BEL | L 64-98 | +18.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 28 | vsVAL | W 80-79 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
+5.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+10.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
−9.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+3.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−3.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
+3.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−13.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−9.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−1.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
+10.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+3.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−18.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+4.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−4.5
3
vsINST
INSTL 63-84
−19.5
6
@VAL
VALL 63-70
+1.5
9
vsILST
ILSTW 88-80
+18.5
12
@SIU
SIUL 60-86
−13.5
18
vsUIC
UICL 46-84
−29.5
21
@MUR
MURL 75-88
+2.5
25
@BEL
BELL 64-98
−15.5
28
vsVAL
VALW 80-79
+6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 64-52
−20.5
6
@WKU
WKUL 79-80
+11.5
13
@ND
NDL 58-82
+3.5
16
vsBEL
BELL 78-83
+13.5
21
vsDRKE
DRKEL 65-66
−10.5
29
@BRAD
BRADL 68-76
−0.5
1
@ILST
ILSTL 47-73
−24.5
4
vsUNI
UNIL 48-62
−21.5
7
vsMUR
MURL 69-79
−5.5
10
@INST
INSTW 72-69
−4.5
13
vsBRAD
BRADL 90-94
+41.5
20
@UIC
UICL 49-76
−14.5
28
@DRKE
DRKEL 78-82
+16.5
31
@UNI
UNIL 55-71
−2.5
3
vsINST
INSTL 63-84
+1.5
6
@VAL
VALL 63-70
−3.5
9
vsILST
ILSTW 88-80
+30.5
12
@SIU
SIUL 60-86
+3.5
18
vsUIC
UICL 46-84
−10.5
21
@MUR
MURL 75-88
+9.5
25
@BEL
BELL 64-98
+9.5
28
vsVAL
VALW 80-79
+21.5
over 14under 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Illinois
14-15 overall · 9-10 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Indiana St66–55
- W@ Northern Iowa59–57
- W@ Drake66–61
- Lvs Bradley60–70
- Wvs Evansville86–60
4 days since their last game.
Evansville
5-23 overall · 3-16 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Valparaiso80–79
- L@ Belmont64–98
- L@ Murray St75–88
- Lvs UIC46–84
- L@ S Illinois60–86
1 day since their last game.