Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana · Conference game
Closing line
MSU -2.5✓ MSU covered by 10.5
MSU -2.5✓ MSU covered by 10.5Closing total144.5Under by 3.5
| MSU | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 23-5 | Record | 17-11 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 13-15 |
| 12-16 | O/U | 13-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSU 75–72 IU · ✓ MSU (61%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 45 | 32 | 77 |
| IU | 37 | 27 | 64 |
1st half: MSU 45, IU 37 (MSU by 8). The model had MSU by 2.1 and a total of 68.5 (actual 82).
Team stats
| MSU | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-51 49% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 12-24 50% | 3-pointers | 10-35 29% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 8 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 37 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Coen Carr F | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 32 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-5 |
| Carson Cooper C | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Scott F | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kur Teng G | 29 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 6-8 |
| Cam Ward F | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brennan Walton, Colin Walton, Jesse McCulloch, Nick Sanders, Divine Ugochukwu, Kaleb Glenn
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 40 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6-16 | 3-12 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 40 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 11-21 | 5-14 |
| Sam Alexis F | 31 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Nick Dorn G | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Conor Enright G | 27 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jasai Miles G | 19 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Reed Bailey F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Deuce Drake, Josh Harris, Aleksa Ristic, Andrej Acimovic, Tryce Grensing, Drew Snively, Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford, Trent Sisley
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSU -2.5
ModelMSU -3.3
Model edgeMSU +0.8
W MSU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model146.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
MSU 74.9 · IU 71.6
MSU 77 · IU 64
Win probability
MSU 61%
1st half
Spread
MSU -2.1
MSU -8.0
Total
68.5
82 points
Projected score
MSU 35.3 · IU 33.2
MSU 45 · IU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -3.5
1 → IU
CloseMSU -2.5
1 pt toward IU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 1
Close144.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MSU -170 · IU +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -3.5 · closed MSU -2.5 · moved 1 toward IUmodel MSU -3.5
model MSU -3.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 1 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| IU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MSU 3–3 IUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MSU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025-26 | IU 60 @ MSU 81 | MSU -6.5 | MSU W |
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | IU 71 @ MSU 67 | MSU -11.5 | IU W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | MSU 64 @ IU 65 | IU +3.5 | IU W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | IU 65 @ MSU 80 | MSU -3.5 | MSU W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | MSU 69 @ IU 82 | IU -4.5 | IU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan St
28 games played
Straight up
23-5
82% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 2 | @ NEB | L 56-58 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | vs USC | W 80-51 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 8 | vs NU | W 76-66 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 13 | vsIU | W 81-60 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | @ WASH | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | @ ORE | W 68-52 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 24 | vs MD | W 91-48 | -18.5 | W +24.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 27 | @ RUTG | W 88-79 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 30 | vs MICH | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | @ MINN | L 73-76 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 7 | vs ILL | W 85-82 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 13 | @ WIS | L 71-92 | -1.5 | L −22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | vs UCLA | W 82-59 | -8.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 22 | vs OSU | W 66-60 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 26 | @ PUR | W 76-74 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
+0.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
+17.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−3.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
+14.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
+13.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
+5.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
+24.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
−5.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
−9.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
−11.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+1.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
−22.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+14.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−4.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
2
@NEB
NEBL 56-58
−32.5
5
vsUSC
USCW 80-51
−20.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-66
−1.5
13
vsIU
IUW 81-60
−4.5
17
@WASH
WASHW 80-63
−2.5
20
@ORE
OREW 68-52
−19.5
24
vsMD
MDW 91-48
−2.5
27
@RUTG
RUTGW 88-79
+28.5
30
vsMICH
MICHL 71-83
+4.5
4
@MINN
MINNL 73-76
+12.5
7
vsILL
ILLW 85-82
+24.5
13
@WIS
WISL 71-92
+13.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 82-59
+1.5
22
vsOSU
OSUW 66-60
−20.5
26
@PUR
PURW 76-74
+6.5
over 12under 16avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
28 games played
Straight up
17-11
61% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-15
46% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vsPSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsWASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsNEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsIOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vsPUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @UCLA | W 98-97 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | @USC | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsWIS | W 78-77 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 9 | vsORE | W 92-74 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 15 | @ILL | L 51-71 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 20 | @PUR | L 64-93 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsNU | L 68-72 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+4.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
−7.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+7.5
15
@ILL
ILLL 51-71
−11.5
20
@PUR
PURL 64-93
−17.5
24
vsNU
NUL 68-72
−13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+50.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
+2.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+22.5
15
@ILL
ILLL 51-71
−31.5
20
@PUR
PURL 64-93
+6.5
24
vsNU
NUL 68-72
−5.5
over 13under 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan St
23-5 overall · 13-4 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Purdue76–74
- Wvs Ohio State66–60
- Wvs UCLA82–59
- L@ Wisconsin71–92
- Wvs Illinois85–82
3 days since their last game.
Indiana
17-11 overall · 8-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Northwestern68–72
- L@ Purdue64–93
- L@ Illinois51–71
- Wvs Oregon92–74
- Wvs Wisconsin78–77
5 days since their last game.