Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
#70MINNMinnesota61▲ winner
Final
#57OREOregon44final
Closing lineORE -3.5✓ MINN covered by 20.5
Closing total136.5Under by 31.5
Season records: Minnesota and Oregon
MINNThis seasonORE
11-14Record9-16
9-16ATS8-17
9-16O/U12-13

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: MINN 68–70 ORE · ✗ ORE (58%) lost
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
MINN223961
ORE172744

1st half: MINN 22, ORE 17 (MINN by 5). The model had ORE by 1.2 and a total of 64.8 (actual 39).

Team stats

MINNORE
22-55 40%Field goals20-53 38%
9-29 31%3-pointers2-20 10%
8-10 80%Free throws2-2 100%
38 13 offRebounds28 6 off
16Assists14
7Steals8
2Blocks3
13Turnovers12
9Fouls10
22Points in paint32
3Fast-break points4

Players

MINNMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Cade Tyson G4012833-101-4
Grayson Grove F3813845-92-4
Bobby Durkin F3711524-113-8
Isaac Asuma G3615546-143-10
Langston Reynolds G338433-80-1
Bench
Kai Shinholster G162301-30-2

Did not play: Chansey Willis Jr., Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, RJ Spencer

OREMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Kwame Evans Jr. F3613945-91-2
Nate Bittle C3515747-151-5
Takai Simpkins G340220-100-5
Drew Carter G200200-20-2
Sean Stewart F186213-60-0
Bench
Dez Lindsay F288314-70-3
Wei Lin G232111-40-3
Oleksandr Kobzystyi F40010-00-0
Jamari Phillips G20000-00-0

Did not play: Devon Pryor, Miles Stewart, Luke Johnson, Efe Vatan, JJ Frakes, Rian Gonzales, Ege Demir, Jackson Shelstad

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Market

Open → close
Spread
2 pts toward ORE
Total
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +150 · ORE -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -1.5 · closed ORE -3.5 · moved 2 toward OREmodel ORE -2.5
Opened 134.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 upmodel 138.5
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edgeResult
SpreadORE -3.5ORE -2.3MINN +1.2W MINN covered
Total136.5138.3Over 1.8L Under
Projected score—MINN 68 · ORE 70.3

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadORE -1.2MINN -5.0
1H total64.839
1H projected scoreMINN 31.8 · ORE 33MINN 22 · ORE 17

Minnesota

11-14 overall · 4-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Washington57–69
  • Lvs Maryland62–67
  • Wvs Michigan St76–73
  • L@ Penn State75–77
  • L@ Wisconsin63–67

3 days since their last game.

Oregon

9-16 overall · 2-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Penn State83–72
  • L@ Indiana74–92
  • L@ Purdue64–68
  • Lvs Iowa66–84
  • Lvs UCLA57–73

3 days since their last game.