Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon · Conference game
Closing line
ORE -3.5✓ MINN covered by 20.5
Closing total136.5Under by 31.5
| This season | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-14 | Record | 9-16 |
| 9-16 | ATS | 8-17 |
| 9-16 | O/U | 12-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MINN 68–70 ORE · ✗ ORE (58%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINN | 22 | 39 | 61 |
| ORE | 17 | 27 | 44 |
1st half: MINN 22, ORE 17 (MINN by 5). The model had ORE by 1.2 and a total of 64.8 (actual 39).
Team stats
| MINN | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-55 40% | Field goals | 20-53 38% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 2-20 10% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 2-2 100% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MINN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Tyson G | 40 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-4 |
| Grayson Grove F | 38 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Bobby Durkin F | 37 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Isaac Asuma G | 36 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6-14 | 3-10 |
| Langston Reynolds G | 33 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kai Shinholster G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Chansey Willis Jr., Max Lorenson, Maximus Gizzi, RJ Spencer
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 36 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Nate Bittle C | 35 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 7-15 | 1-5 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-10 | 0-5 |
| Drew Carter G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Sean Stewart F | 18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-3 |
| Wei Lin G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devon Pryor, Miles Stewart, Luke Johnson, Efe Vatan, JJ Frakes, Rian Gonzales, Ege Demir, Jackson Shelstad
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -1.5
2 → ORE
CloseORE -3.5
2 pts toward ORE
Total
Open134.5
▲ 2
Close136.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MINN +150 · ORE -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -1.5 · closed ORE -3.5 · moved 2 toward OREmodel ORE -2.5
model ORE -2.5
Opened 134.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 2 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ORE -3.5 | ORE -2.3 | MINN +1.2 | W MINN covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 138.3 | Over 1.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MINN 68 · ORE 70.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ORE -1.2 | MINN -5.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 39 |
| 1H projected score | MINN 31.8 · ORE 33 | MINN 22 · ORE 17 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | |
| 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MINN 1–0 OREMINN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MINN 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | ORE 69 @ MINN 77 | MINN +4.5 | MINN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Minnesota
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
9-16
36% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-16
36% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 87-60 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 95-50 | -31.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 60-83 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 72-65 | -25.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 66-54 | -27.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 65-77 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 75-86 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 73-64 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 57-85 | +19.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 89-53 | -21.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 78-50 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 60-43 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 103 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 84-78 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 70-67 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 9 | vs | L 69-70 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 67-77 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 74-82 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 57-76 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 63-67 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | @ | L 75-77 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 76-73 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 8 | vs | L 62-67 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 57-69 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
+13.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−18.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−15.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
−13.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−1.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
−5.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
+16.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−8.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
+14.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
+14.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−8.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+10.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+7.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−4.5
13
vs
WIS
L 75-78
−1.5
17
@
ILL
L 67-77
+5.5
20
@
OSU
L 74-82
−0.5
24
vs
NEB
L 57-76
−14.5
28
@
WIS
L 63-67
+5.5
1
@
PSU
L 75-77
−4.5
4
vs
MSU
W 76-73
+11.5
8
vs
MD
L 62-67
−15.5
14
@
WASH
L 57-69
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 16avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
GWEB
W 87-60
−1.5
8
vs
ALCN
W 95-50
−7.5
12
@
MIZ
L 60-83
−15.5
15
vs
GB
W 72-65
−9.5
18
vs
CHST
W 66-54
−24.5
22
vs
SF
L 65-77
+1.5
27
vs
STAN
L 68-72
−2.5
28
vs
SCU
L 75-86
+22.5
3
vs
IU
W 73-64
−7.5
10
@
PUR
L 57-85
−1.5
14
vs
TXSO
W 89-53
−2.5
21
vs
CAM
W 78-50
−17.5
29
vs
FDU
W 60-43
−36.5
3
@
NU
W 84-78
+23.5
6
vs
IOWA
W 70-67
+6.5
9
vs
USC
L 69-70
−8.5
13
vs
WIS
L 75-78
+6.5
17
@
ILL
L 67-77
+1.5
20
@
OSU
L 74-82
+12.5
24
vs
NEB
L 57-76
−7.5
28
@
WIS
L 63-67
−16.5
1
@
PSU
L 75-77
+9.5
4
vs
MSU
W 76-73
+12.5
8
vs
MD
L 62-67
−9.5
14
@
WASH
L 57-69
−12.5
over 9under 16avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
25 games played
Straight up
9-16
36% wins
Against the spread
8-17
32% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ | W 64-54 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 5 | @ | L 85-88 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 62-72 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 55-90 | +10.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 71-81 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs | L 52-68 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 25 | @ | L 57-72 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 57-73 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 66-84 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 64-68 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 9 | @ | L 74-92 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
HAW
W 60-59
−10.5
7
vs
RICE
W 67-63
−11.5
12
vs
SDST
W 83-69
−2.5
17
vs
ORST
W 87-75
−1.5
24
vs
AUB
L 73-84
−6.5
25
vs
SDSU
L 80-97
−19.5
27
vs
CREI
L 66-76
−7.5
2
vs
USC
L 77-82
−2.5
6
@
UCLA
L 63-74
−2.5
13
vs
UCD
W 104-62
+28.5
17
vs
PORT
W 94-69
+5.5
21
vs
GONZ
L 82-91
+3.5
28
vs
OMA
W 80-57
+1.5
2
@
MD
W 64-54
+8.5
5
@
RUTG
L 85-88
−7.5
8
vs
OSU
L 62-72
−11.5
13
@
NEB
L 55-90
−24.5
17
vs
MICH
L 71-81
+8.5
20
vs
MSU
L 52-68
−5.5
25
@
WASH
L 57-72
−7.5
28
vs
UCLA
L 57-73
−11.5
1
vs
IOWA
L 66-84
−8.5
7
@
PUR
L 64-68
+15.5
9
@
IU
L 74-92
−7.5
14
vs
PSU
W 83-72
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 17avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
HAW
W 60-59
−25.5
7
vs
RICE
W 67-63
−15.5
12
vs
SDST
W 83-69
+6.5
17
vs
ORST
W 87-75
+20.5
24
vs
AUB
L 73-84
+1.5
25
vs
SDSU
L 80-97
+35.5
27
vs
CREI
L 66-76
−8.5
2
vs
USC
L 77-82
+4.5
6
@
UCLA
L 63-74
−9.5
13
vs
UCD
W 104-62
+19.5
17
vs
PORT
W 94-69
+8.5
21
vs
GONZ
L 82-91
+17.5
28
vs
OMA
W 80-57
−14.5
2
@
MD
W 64-54
−28.5
5
@
RUTG
L 85-88
+33.5
8
vs
OSU
L 62-72
−18.5
13
@
NEB
L 55-90
−1.5
17
vs
MICH
L 71-81
−5.5
20
vs
MSU
L 52-68
−19.5
25
@
WASH
L 57-72
−14.5
28
vs
UCLA
L 57-73
−6.5
1
vs
IOWA
L 66-84
+16.5
7
@
PUR
L 64-68
−12.5
9
@
IU
L 74-92
+22.5
14
vs
PSU
W 83-72
+9.5
over 12under 13avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Minnesota
11-14 overall · 4-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington57–69
- Lvs Maryland62–67
- Wvs Michigan St76–73
- L@ Penn State75–77
- L@ Wisconsin63–67
3 days since their last game.
Oregon
9-16 overall · 2-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn State83–72
- L@ Indiana74–92
- L@ Purdue64–68
- Lvs Iowa66–84
- Lvs UCLA57–73
3 days since their last game.