Watsco Center · at Miami · Conference game
Closing line
MIA -8.5✓ VT covered by 7.5
MIA -8.5✓ VT covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Under by 15.5
 VT | This season | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 17-9 | Record | 20-5 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 13-12 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 16-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VT 74–82 MIA · ✓ MIA (76%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 34 | 32 | 66 |
| MIA | 31 | 36 | 67 |
1st half: VT 34, MIA 31 (VT by 3). The model had MIA by 4.8 and a total of 72.6 (actual 65).
Team stats
| VT | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-56 50% | Field goals | 27-61 44% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 2-3 67% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 33 13 off |
| 20 | Assists | 7 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hammond G | 39 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 32 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 7-15 | 2-5 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 30 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 29 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 24 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Schutt G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 13 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Dorn C | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Izaiah Pasha G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sin'Cere Jones, Brett Freeman, Shamarius Peterkin, Tyler Johnson, Solomon Davis
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Henderson F | 37 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Tre Donaldson G | 36 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 13-24 | 3-7 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 33 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Dante Allen G | 30 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Malik Reneau F | 24 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tru Washington G | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Timo Malovec F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordyn Kee, Treyvon Maddox, JJ Laboy, Marcus Allen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIA -8.5
ModelMIA -8.2
Model edgeVT +0.3
W VT covered
Total
Market148.5
Model155.3
Model edgeOver 6.8
L Under
Projected score
VT 73.5 · MIA 81.8
VT 66 · MIA 67
Win probability
MIA 76%
1st half
Spread
MIA -4.8
VT -3.0
Total
72.6
65 points
Projected score
VT 33.9 · MIA 38.7
VT 34 · MIA 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -8.5
no move
CloseMIA -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 2
Close148.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
VT +340 · MIA -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -8.5 · unchangedmodel MIA -8
model MIA -8
Opened 150.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| MIA | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
VT 3–5 MIAMIA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · VT has won the last 2 meetings · VT 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | VT 81 @ MIA 68 | MIA +1.5 | VT W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | MIA 85 @ VT 86 | VT +1.5 | VT W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | VT 74 @ MIA 82 | MIA -4.5 | MIA W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | MIA 75 @ VT 71 | VT -1.5 | MIA W |
| Feb 21, 2022-23 | MIA 76 @ VT 70 | VT -2.5 | MIA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia Tech
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vs UMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs UVA | W 95-85 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ WAKE | L 78-81 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs STAN | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | vs CAL | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 14 | @ SMU | L 76-77 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs ND | W 89-76 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 21 | @ SYR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ LOU | L 71-85 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 27 | vs GT | W 71-65 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vs DUKE | L 58-72 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ NCSU | L 73-82 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ CLEM | W 76-66 | +8.5 | W +18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | vs FSU | L 69-92 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+15.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+2.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−4.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
−2.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
+7.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+6.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
+5.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
+0.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−3.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−0.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 73-82
+1.5
11
@CLEM
CLEMW 76-66
+18.5
14
vsFSU
FSUL 69-92
−27.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+26.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+5.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−11.5
10
vsCAL
CALW 78-75
+4.5
14
@SMU
SMUL 76-77
−2.5
17
vsND
NDW 89-76
+21.5
21
@SYR
SYRW 76-74
−2.5
24
@LOU
LOUL 71-85
−4.5
27
vsGT
GTW 71-65
−19.5
31
vsDUKE
DUKEL 58-72
−18.5
7
@NCSU
NCSUL 73-82
+0.5
11
@CLEM
CLEMW 76-66
+3.5
14
vsFSU
FSUL 69-92
+4.5
over 14under 12avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Miami
25 games played
Straight up
20-5
80% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-9
64% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vsELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs GTWN | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 2 | @ MISS | W 75-66 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | vs USM | W 88-64 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ULM | W 104-79 | -35.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 16 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -22.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNF | W 105-67 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 30 | vs PITT | W 76-69 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 7 | @WAKE | W 81-77 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vsGT | W 91-81 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ND | W 81-69 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | @CLEM | L 59-69 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vsFSU | L 63-65 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @SYR | W 85-76 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vsSTAN | W 79-70 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | vsCAL | L 85-86 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | @ BC | W 74-68 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vs UNC | W 75-66 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 14 | @NCSU | W 77-76 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
+7.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
+10.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+4.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
−10.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−5.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
−2.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+5.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
−5.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−5.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−12.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+7.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
−0.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
−12.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
−2.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
+7.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
+6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
28
vsGTWN
GTWNW 78-65
−8.5
2
@MISS
MISSW 75-66
−4.5
6
vsUSM
USMW 88-64
+6.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 104-79
+29.5
16
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+17.5
21
vsUNF
UNFW 105-67
+0.5
30
vsPITT
PITTW 76-69
+0.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 81-77
+0.5
10
vsGT
GTW 91-81
+15.5
13
@ND
NDW 81-69
+6.5
17
@CLEM
CLEML 59-69
−15.5
20
vsFSU
FSUL 63-65
−35.5
24
@SYR
SYRW 85-76
+11.5
28
vsSTAN
STANW 79-70
+1.5
31
vsCAL
CALL 85-86
+22.5
7
@BC
BCW 74-68
+0.5
10
vsUNC
UNCW 75-66
−15.5
14
@NCSU
NCSUW 77-76
−4.5
over 16under 9avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia Tech
17-9 overall · 6-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida St69–92
- W@ Clemson76–66
- L@ NC State73–82
- Lvs Duke58–72
- Wvs Georgia Tech71–65
3 days since their last game.
Miami
20-5 overall · 9-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NC State77–76
- Wvs North Carolina75–66
- W@ Boston College74–68
- Lvs California85–86
- Wvs Stanford79–70
3 days since their last game.