Mullins Center · at UMass · Conference game
Closing line
M-OH -3.5✓ M-OH covered by 5.5
M-OH -3.5✓ M-OH covered by 5.5Closing total163.5Under by 0.5
| M-OH | This season | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| 22-0 | Record | 14-11 |
| 15-7 | ATS | 11-14 |
| 16-6 | O/U | 16-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 86–83 MASS · ✓ M-OH (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 41 | 45 | 86 |
| MASS | 36 | 41 | 77 |
1st half: M-OH 41, MASS 36 (M-OH by 5). The model had M-OH by 2.1 and a total of 78.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| M-OH | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-52 50% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 10-20 50% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 9-16 56% |
| 26 4 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 26 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brant Byers F | 38 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Peter Suder G | 36 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 7-12 | 2-3 |
| Eian Elmer G | 33 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 22 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Justin Kirby G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Trey Perry G | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Tyler Robbins, Kyle Waltz, Evan Ipsaro, Leshawn Stowers, Brady Ganley, Ethan Wright, Eli Yofan, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki
| MASS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. G | 37 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-6 |
| Daniel Hankins-Sanford F | 35 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Leonardo Bettiol F | 31 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Danny Carbuccia G | 24 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Jayden Ndjigue G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K'Jei Parker G | 19 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Placide G | 18 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 6-9 | 5-7 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Luka Damjanac F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimitri Clerc, CJ Outlaw, Bilal Osman, Donovan Brown, Josh Engel, Rollie Castineyra
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -3.5
ModelM-OH -3.3
Model edgeMASS +0.2
L M-OH covered
Total
Market163.5
Model168.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
L Under
Projected score
M-OH 85.8 · MASS 82.5
M-OH 86 · MASS 77
Win probability
M-OH 61%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -2.1
M-OH -5.0
Total
78.6
77 points
Projected score
M-OH 40.3 · MASS 38.3
M-OH 41 · MASS 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -3.5
no move
CloseM-OH -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open164.5
▼ 1
Close163.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -175 · MASS +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -3.5 · unchangedmodel M-OH -3.5 matches the line
model M-OH -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 164.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 downmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| MASS | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
M-OH 1–0 MASSM-OH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · M-OH 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025-26 | MASS 84 @ M-OH 86 | M-OH -9.5 | MASS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
22 games played
Straight up
22-0
100% wins
Against the spread
15-7
68% covers · avg +4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-6
73% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | @ AF | W 76-61 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | vs MERC | W 76-71 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs UAPB | W 111-84 | -21.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCG | W 82-71 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs ME | W 93-61 | -17.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 10 | @ UNCA | W 90-87 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | @ EKU | W 79-69 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 16 | @ WRST | W 83-76 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ BALL | W 86-77 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 30 | @ BGSU | W 93-83 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vs AKR | W 76-73 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 177.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 6 | vs WMU | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 9 | @ TOL | W 87-73 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs CMU | W 100-61 | -15.5 | W +23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 17 | vs BUF | W 105-102 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 207 |
| Jan 20 | @ KENT | W 107-101 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 167.5 | O 208 |
| Jan 27 | vsMASS | W 86-84 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vs NIU | W 85-61 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | @BUF | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 7 | @ MRSH | W 90-74 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 13 | vs OHIO | W 90-74 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+0.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
−3.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
+4.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+5.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+1.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+16.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
+7.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
−3.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
+15.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+23.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
−7.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+7.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
−7.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
+7.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−2.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+14.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 7avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
26
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-71
+2.5
6
vsME
MEW 93-61
+14.5
10
@UNCA
UNCAW 90-87
+24.5
13
@EKU
EKUW 79-69
−10.5
16
@WRST
WRSTW 83-76
+9.5
20
@BALL
BALLW 86-77
+15.5
30
@BGSU
BGSUW 93-83
+25.5
3
vsAKR
AKRW 76-73
−28.5
6
vsWMU
WMUW 87-76
+2.5
9
@TOL
TOLW 87-73
−6.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 100-61
+2.5
17
vsBUF
BUFW 105-102
+44.5
20
@KENT
KENTW 107-101
+40.5
27
vsMASS
MASSW 86-84
+5.5
31
vsNIU
NIUW 85-61
−12.5
3
@BUF
BUFW 73-71
−21.5
7
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-74
+1.5
13
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-74
+0.5
over 16under 6avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
11-14
44% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-9
64% overs · avg +4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsMRSH | L 72-78 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | vs UALB | W 83-62 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 13 | vs LEM | W 94-80 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 16 | vs CCSU | W 84-77 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | vs COFC | L 65-69 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 22 | vs GB | L 75-79 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORST | W 73-65 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 3 | vs HARV | W 78-71 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 6 | vs UML | W 80-60 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs BC | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs FSU | W 103-95 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | vsKENT | L 59-69 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 30 | @ EMU | L 74-80 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | vsBGSU | L 100-101 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @OHIO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsBALL | W 79-71 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 13 | @WMU | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @NIU | L 68-70 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vsTOL | W 84-82 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 23 | @BUF | W 68-67 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @M-OH | L 84-86 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | vsEMU | W 70-67 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | vsCMU | W 95-89 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 7 | @ CCU | L 91-94 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 13 | @AKR | L 92-99 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 191 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−10.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
+11.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
−2.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
−5.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−0.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
−9.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
+11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+1.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
+8.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+3.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+20.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−8.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
−8.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+0.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+1.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
−2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
−2.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−10.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
−0.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
+2.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+7.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−5.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
−5.5
7
@CCU
CCUL 91-94
−5.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 92-99
+5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 14avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRSH
MRSHL 72-78
−2.5
8
vsUALB
UALBW 83-62
−10.5
13
vsLEM
LEMW 94-80
+20.5
16
vsCCSU
CCSUW 84-77
+16.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 65-69
−27.5
22
vsGB
GBL 75-79
+7.5
24
vsORST
ORSTW 73-65
−11.5
3
vsHARV
HARVW 78-71
+5.5
6
vsUML
UMLW 80-60
−15.5
10
vsBC
BCW 76-74
+6.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 103-95
+32.5
20
vsKENT
KENTL 59-69
−35.5
30
@EMU
EMUL 74-80
+5.5
3
vsBGSU
BGSUL 100-101
+48.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 83-86
+8.5
10
vsBALL
BALLW 79-71
+2.5
13
@WMU
WMUW 85-82
+9.5
17
@NIU
NIUL 68-70
−19.5
20
vsTOL
TOLW 84-82
+1.5
23
@BUF
BUFW 68-67
−24.5
27
@M-OH
M-OHL 84-86
+5.5
31
vsEMU
EMUW 70-67
−11.5
3
vsCMU
CMUW 95-89
+31.5
7
@CCU
CCUL 91-94
+37.5
13
@AKR
AKRL 92-99
+27.5
over 16under 9avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
22-0 overall · 12-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio90–74
- W@ Marshall90–74
- W@ Buffalo73–71
- Wvs N Illinois85–61
- Wvs UMass86–84
4 days since their last game.
UMass
14-11 overall · 6-7 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Akron92–99
- L@ Coastal91–94
- Wvs C Michigan95–89
- Wvs E Michigan70–67
- L@ Miami OH84–86
4 days since their last game.