Carver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
IOWA -1.5✓ IOWA covered by 3.5
IOWA -1.5✓ IOWA covered by 3.5Closing total139.5Under by 30.5
 NEB | This season | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| 22-3 | Record | 18-7 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 15-10 |
| 8-17 | O/U | 15-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEB 70–71 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| IOWA | 33 | 24 | 57 |
1st half: NEB 28, IOWA 33 (IOWA by 5). The model had IOWA by 0.3 and a total of 66.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| NEB | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-44 41% | Field goals | 17-51 33% |
| 5-24 21% | 3-pointers | 6-23 26% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 17-18 94% |
| 24 2 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 5 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 37 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 36 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Rienk Mast F | 32 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-3 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Quentin Rhymes, Leo Curtis, Will Cooper, Justin Bolis, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt, Jared Garcia
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 40 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 8-22 | 2-8 |
| Cooper Koch F | 32 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Tavion Banks G | 30 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Kael Combs G | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaia Howard G | 24 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Tate Sage G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Joey Matteoni, Trevin Jirak, Jacob Koch, Brendan Hausen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIOWA -1.5
ModelIOWA -0.8
Model edgeNEB +0.7
L IOWA covered
Total
Market139.5
Model141.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
L Under
Projected score
NEB 70.1 · IOWA 70.9
NEB 52 · IOWA 57
Win probability
IOWA 53%
1st half
Spread
IOWA -0.3
IOWA -5.0
Total
66.0
61 points
Projected score
NEB 32.8 · IOWA 33.2
NEB 28 · IOWA 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -1.5
3 → IOWA
CloseIOWA -1.5
3 pts toward IOWA
Total
Open136.5
▲ 3
Close139.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
NEB +100 · IOWA -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -1.5 · closed IOWA -1.5 · moved 3 toward IOWAmodel IOWA -1
model IOWA -1
Opened 136.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 3 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| IOWA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
NEB 2–5 IOWAIOWA leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · IOWA has won the last 3 meetings · NEB 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | IOWA 83 @ NEB 68 | NEB -7.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | NEB 87 @ IOWA 97 | IOWA -4.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | NEB 76 @ IOWA 94 | IOWA -4.5 | IOWA W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | NEB 81 @ IOWA 77 | IOWA -11.5 | NEB W |
| Dec 29, 2022-23 | IOWA 50 @ NEB 66 | NEB +4.5 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nebraska
25 games played
Straight up
22-3
88% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-17
32% overs · avg −7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @ OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs ORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vs WASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @ MICH | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 1 | vsILL | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ RUTG | W 80-68 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 10 | vs PUR | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsNU | W 68-49 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
+8.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−10.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
−0.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
−5.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
+5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
−10.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−7.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
+2.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
+10.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
−29.5
over 8under 17avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa
25 games played
Straight up
18-7
72% wins
Against the spread
15-10
60% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vsILL | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @PUR | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @IU | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | vsRUTG | W 68-62 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs USC | W 73-72 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ORE | W 84-66 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @WASH | W 84-74 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 8 | vsNU | W 76-70 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | @MD | L 70-77 | -10.5 | L −17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | vsPUR | L 57-78 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
−4.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+3.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
+20.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−11.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
−8.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+8.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+7.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
−4.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
−17.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−18.5
covered 15didn’t cover 10avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
+1.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+5.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
−15.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−10.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
+3.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+16.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+16.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
+6.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
+8.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−7.5
over 15under 10avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nebraska
22-3 overall · 11-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northwestern68–49
- Lvs Purdue77–80
- W@ Rutgers80–68
- Lvs Illinois69–78
- L@ Michigan72–75
3 days since their last game.
Iowa
18-7 overall · 8-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue57–78
- L@ Maryland70–77
- Wvs Northwestern76–70
- W@ Washington84–74
- W@ Oregon84–66
3 days since their last game.