1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Dec 3
  3. WSU @ SIU
NCAAB · Thu, Dec 3

Washington State Cougars at Southern Illinois Salukis

Banterra Center · at S Illinois
#139WSUWashington St
@
#195SIUS Illinois
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WSUThis seasonSIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIU 74–74 · win probability SIU 50%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

WSU 2, SIU 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SIUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WSU 18.5%, SIU 17.1%. Forced: WSU 14.5%, SIU 18.5%
WSUSmall
SIU offense vs WSU defense
Offense 227th of 366 against a defense 166th, on the model’s ratings
SIUSmall
Home court
SIU at home. This season: SIU 0-0 at home, WSU 0-0 away
WSUSmall
WSU offense vs SIU defense
Offense 130th of 366 against a defense 181st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: WSU plays 68.9 a game (183rd fastest), SIU 70.6 (91st). Faster games mean more points
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WSU 29.5%, SIU 30.9%. Defensive: WSU 71.8%, SIU 72.7%
Context
Schedule so far
WSU has played the 100th-hardest schedule, SIU the 139th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WSU 1%, SIU 22%. Transfers in: WSU 8, SIU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WSU 30.2, SIU 31.3. Allowed: WSU 33.0, SIU 31.4
Even
Three-pointers
WSU hits 36.5% and allows 35.4%; SIU hits 27.8% and allows 30.4%. Threes are 44.8% and 29.2% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WSU 54.7 and allows 52.6; SIU 49.1 and allows 49.0
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PK—
Total—148.1—
Projected score—WSU 74 · SIU 74

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWSU -0.1—
1H total69.3—
1H projected scoreWSU 34.7 · SIU 34.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Washington St has the better starters

Position by position: Washington St 1, S Illinois 0, even 4
Washington StBetterS Illinois
G S. Akins TR5.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 57
Even
G J. Haynes7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 71
F F. Roxburgh TR10.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 21
No call
G C. Hawkins1.1 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
F R. Harrison TR14.2 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 67
WSUBig
F M. Pikaar1.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast Score 19
F L. Dembele TR5.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Hill NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F T. Kropp TR3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 48
No call
C J. Webber1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
Washington StBetterS Illinois
WSU offense130th of 366 · -3.5
Even
SIU defense181st of 366 · -4.1
WSU defense166th of 366 · -3.7
WSUSmall
SIU offense227th of 366 · -7.0
Backcourt-0.2 · 1 player
Even
Backcourt+0.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.6 · 4 players
SIUSmall
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestWSU betterSIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Washington St
Guards
S. Akins15 min · TRJ. Phillips11 min · TRJ. Harrell9 min · TRR. Jones7 min · TRD. Blakely1 minC. JonesNew
Forwards
F. Roxburgh31 min · TRR. Harrison31 min · TRL. Dembele20 min · TRT. Kropp12 min · TRM. SankheNewB. KymanNew
S Illinois
Guards
J. Haynes21 minC. Hawkins5 minB. McClureNewJ. FugateNewL. WalshNewJ. JacksonNew
Forwards
M. Pikaar11 minD. HillNewD. PauliukonisNewP. RanieriNewT. LaurNew
Centers
J. Webber7 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WSUSIU
Scoring
75.7 #152Points per game72.7 #229
1.10 #136Points per possession1.03 #285
68.9 #183Pace (possessions)70.6 #91
Shooting
54.7 #48Effective FG%49.1 #286
36.5 #403-point %27.8 #363
44.8 #733-point attempt rate29.2 #355
30.2 #305Free throw rate31.3 #275
Possessions
18.5 #295Turnover rate17.1 #207
29.5 #221Offensive rebound rate30.9 #167
13.8 #163Assists per game13.3 #188
Defense
77.3 #245Points allowed70.5 #62
1.12 #266Points allowed per possession1.00 #25
52.6 #248Opponent effective FG%49.0 #70
35.4 #273Opponent 3-point %30.4 #17
14.5 #322Turnovers forced18.5 #74
71.8 #71Defensive rebound rate72.7 #44
5.5 #299Steals per game8.0 #38
2.9 #242Blocks per game3.4 #157
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Washington St

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland68–74
  • L@ Pepperdine79–88
  • L@ LMU66–67
  • Lvs Saint Mary's67–83
  • Wvs Pacific87–70

A week or more of rest.

S Illinois

15-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drake63–67
  • W@ Evansville81–67
  • Wvs Indiana St66–55
  • W@ Northern Iowa59–57
  • W@ Drake66–61

A week or more of rest.