1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Dec 3
  3. IDHO @ UNCO
NCAAB · Thu, Dec 3

Idaho Vandals at Northern Colorado Bears

Bank of Colorado Arena · at N Colorado · Conference game
#247IDHOIdaho
@
#219UNCON Colorado
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IDHOThis seasonUNCO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UNCO 78–73 · win probability UNCO 65%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UNCO has more of the edges

IDHO 2, UNCO 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
UNCOBig
Three-pointers
IDHO hits 34.1% and allows 35.2%; UNCO hits 35.0% and allows 30.7%. Threes are 47.0% and 41.5% of their shots
UNCOSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: IDHO 51.4 and allows 50.5; UNCO 55.7 and allows 50.1
IDHOSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: IDHO 34.6, UNCO 27.5. Allowed: IDHO 38.5, UNCO 38.8
UNCOSmall
UNCO offense vs IDHO defense
Offense 167th of 366 against a defense 233rd, on the model’s ratings
IDHOSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IDHO 15.0%, UNCO 15.5%. Forced: IDHO 15.0%, UNCO 12.4%
UNCOSmall
Home court
UNCO at home. This season: UNCO 0-0 at home, IDHO 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: IDHO plays 69.4 a game (153rd fastest), UNCO 71.3 (60th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
IDHO has played the 262nd-hardest schedule, UNCO the 303rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
IDHO offense vs UNCO defense
Offense 253rd of 366 against a defense 281st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IDHO 28.4%, UNCO 27.2%. Defensive: IDHO 75.8%, UNCO 75.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IDHO 23%, UNCO 28%. Transfers in: IDHO 3, UNCO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UNCO -4.3—
Total—151.2—
Projected score—IDHO 73.4 · UNCO 77.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUNCO -2.4—
1H total70.7—
1H projected scoreIDHO 34.1 · UNCO 36.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Idaho 1, N Colorado 1, even 3
IdahoBetterN Colorado
G K. Gonzalez18 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G L. Reynolds TR11.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 79
G R. Lafferty TR0.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G V. Delano6.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 11
G M. Klapper2.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 35
IDHOSmall
G C. Tramble TR3.6 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 16
F H. Ward TR5 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 35
Even
F K. Rayfield TR6.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 40
F S. Joba4.9 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 25
UNCOSmall
C E. Shields6.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 41
IdahoBetterN Colorado
IDHO offense253rd of 366 · -7.6
Even
UNCO defense281st of 366 · -7.0
IDHO defense233rd of 366 · -6.2
UNCOSmall
UNCO offense167th of 366 · -5.1
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-2.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.9 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.0 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 1 player
IDHOSmall
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestIDHO betterUNCO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Idaho
Guards
K. Gonzalez18 minR. Lafferty13 min · TRM. Klapper12 minK. Wynott10 min · TRB. KennisonNewT. WalNew
Forwards
H. Ward19 min · TRS. Joba17 minD. Trejo-DelgadoNewM. DiaoNewW. JensonNewN. Newman-GomezNew
N Colorado
Guards
L. Reynolds33 min · TRV. Delano20 minC. Tramble12 min · TRA. Mawien8 minT. Braketa5 minC. BloggNew
Forwards
K. Rayfield20 min · TRA. Crawford5 min · TRM. ShareefNewD. PaineNew
Centers
E. Shields18 minH. Caldwell4 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IDHOUNCO
Scoring
75.8 #147Points per game80.8 #51
1.10 #145Points per possession1.14 #75
69.4 #153Pace (possessions)71.3 #60
Shooting
51.4 #177Effective FG%55.7 #24
34.1 #1683-point %35.0 #121
47.0 #343-point attempt rate41.5 #140
34.6 #193Free throw rate27.5 #348
Possessions
15.0 #69Turnover rate15.5 #103
28.4 #250Offensive rebound rate27.2 #288
11.4 #313Assists per game15.8 #54
Defense
74.1 #157Points allowed78.1 #270
1.06 #112Points allowed per possession1.09 #209
50.5 #128Opponent effective FG%50.1 #106
35.2 #264Opponent 3-point %30.7 #28
15.0 #288Turnovers forced12.4 #363
75.8 #5Defensive rebound rate75.8 #6
5.6 #282Steals per game4.0 #364
2.4 #319Blocks per game2.7 #273
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Idaho

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Houston47–78
  • Wvs Montana77–66
  • Wvs E Washington81–68
  • Wvs Montana St78–74
  • Wvs Sacramento St68–45

A week or more of rest.

N Colorado

17-12 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana89–95
  • Wvs Montana85–57
  • W@ Idaho76–67
  • L@ E Washington72–82
  • Wvs N Arizona78–77

A week or more of rest.