1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. IDHO @ SDST
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Idaho Vandals at South Dakota State Jackrabbits

First Bank & Trust Arena · at S Dakota St
#247IDHOIdaho
@
#201SDSTS Dakota St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IDHOThis seasonSDST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SDST 76–72 · win probability SDST 65%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SDST has more of the edges

IDHO 1, SDST 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
IDHOSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IDHO 15.0%, SDST 16.2%. Forced: IDHO 15.0%, SDST 14.5%
SDSTSmall
Home court
SDST at home. This season: SDST 0-0 at home, IDHO 0-0 away
SDSTSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IDHO 23%, SDST 51%. Transfers in: IDHO 3, SDST 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SDSTSmall
SDST offense vs IDHO defense
Offense 185th of 366 against a defense 233rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
IDHO hits 34.1% and allows 35.2%; SDST hits 34.0% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 47.0% and 38.8% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: IDHO plays 69.4 a game (153rd fastest), SDST 68.2 (220th). Faster games mean more points
Even
IDHO offense vs SDST defense
Offense 253rd of 366 against a defense 221st, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IDHO 28.4%, SDST 30.3%. Defensive: IDHO 75.8%, SDST 74.9%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: IDHO 51.4 and allows 50.5; SDST 52.0 and allows 51.8
Context
Schedule so far
IDHO has played the 262nd-hardest schedule, SDST the 271st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: IDHO 34.6, SDST 29.7. Allowed: IDHO 38.5, SDST 34.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SDST -4.3—
Total—148.1—
Projected score—IDHO 71.9 · SDST 76.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSDST -2.5—
1H total69.3—
1H projected scoreIDHO 33.4 · SDST 35.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Idaho has the better starters

Position by position: Idaho 1, S Dakota St 0, even 4
IdahoBetterS Dakota St
G K. Gonzalez18 pts · 1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Sayler14.8 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 54
G R. Lafferty TR0.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G K. Garry10.6 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 49
G M. Klapper2.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 35
IDHOSmall
G E. Ryans TR7.7 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 12
F H. Ward TR5 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 35
Even
F M. Thompson TR10.8 pts · 6.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 38
F S. Joba4.9 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.4 ast Score 25
Even
C A. Squires4.4 pts · 3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 29
IdahoBetterS Dakota St
IDHO offense253rd of 366 · -7.6
Even
SDST defense221st of 366 · -5.7
IDHO defense233rd of 366 · -6.2
Even
SDST offense185th of 366 · -5.7
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
IDHOSmall
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.9 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.8 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 1 player
IDHOSmall
Bench-1.4 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestIDHO betterSDST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Idaho
Guards
K. Gonzalez18 minR. Lafferty13 min · TRM. Klapper12 minK. Wynott10 min · TRB. KennisonNewT. WalNew
Forwards
H. Ward19 min · TRS. Joba17 minD. Trejo-DelgadoNewM. DiaoNewW. JensonNewN. Newman-GomezNew
S Dakota St
Guards
J. Sayler33 minK. Garry30 minE. Ryans27 min · TRT. Buchanan13 minJ. Rogers9 minJ. Cascio Jensen2 min
Forwards
M. Thompson29 min · TRJ. Mekonnen4 min · TRJ. Van KalsbeekNewD. KernNewY. YatabareNewB. EllweinNew
Centers
A. Squires14 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IDHOSDST
Scoring
75.8 #147Points per game74.4 #182
1.10 #145Points per possession1.09 #150
69.4 #153Pace (possessions)68.2 #220
Shooting
51.4 #177Effective FG%52.0 #143
34.1 #1683-point %34.0 #174
47.0 #343-point attempt rate38.8 #193
34.6 #193Free throw rate29.7 #317
Possessions
15.0 #69Turnover rate16.2 #150
28.4 #250Offensive rebound rate30.3 #186
11.4 #313Assists per game13.8 #160
Defense
74.1 #157Points allowed74.5 #177
1.06 #112Points allowed per possession1.09 #198
50.5 #128Opponent effective FG%51.8 #204
35.2 #264Opponent 3-point %34.1 #191
15.0 #288Turnovers forced14.5 #323
75.8 #5Defensive rebound rate74.9 #9
5.6 #282Steals per game5.5 #291
2.4 #319Blocks per game2.2 #336
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Idaho

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Houston47–78
  • Wvs Montana77–66
  • Wvs E Washington81–68
  • Wvs Montana St78–74
  • Wvs Sacramento St68–45

A week or more of rest.

S Dakota St

11-18 in 2025-26 overall · 7-10 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs St Thomas67–80
  • L@ South Dakota70–75
  • W@ Kansas City73–59
  • Wvs North Dakota91–83
  • Lvs N Dakota St66–74

A week or more of rest.