Sanford Coyote Sports Center · at South Dakota · Conference game
Closing line
SDST -3.5✓ SDAK covered by 8.5
SDST -3.5✓ SDAK covered by 8.5Closing total151.5Under by 6.5
| SDST | This season | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| 11-16 | Record | 12-15 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 15-12 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDST 81–79 SDAK · ✗ SDST (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 42 | 28 | 70 |
| SDAK | 38 | 37 | 75 |
1st half: SDST 42, SDAK 38 (SDST by 4). The model had SDST by 1.6 and a total of 74.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| SDST | SDAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-64 42% | Field goals | 23-51 45% |
| 7-16 44% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 25-31 81% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 27 3 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 23 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sayler G | 38 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 10-23 | 3-6 |
| Matthew Mors F | 36 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Jackson G | 34 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Damon Wilkinson F | 26 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Kalen Garry G | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Haertle G | 29 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Alec Squires C | 14 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Delzell F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Trey Buchanan, Bubz Alvarez, Andrell Burton Jr., Jadyn Cascio Jensen, Jaden Rogers, Davis Kern
| SDAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford G | 37 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Vince Buzelis G | 34 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Uzziah Buntyn G | 34 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4-14 | 0-5 |
| Cameron Fens C | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Kizer F | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Silas Bennion G | 23 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jesse McIntosh G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jake Brack F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trent Hudgens, Caleb Kizer, Jalen Hayes, Porter Ihnen, Evan Anderson, Isaac Bruns, Shey Eberwein, Josiah Dotzler, Luke Bruns, Ashton Smith, Jonah Funk
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDST -3.5
ModelSDST -2.6
Model edgeSDAK +0.9
W SDAK covered
Total
Market151.5
Model159.6
Model edgeOver 8.1
L Under
Projected score
SDST 81.1 · SDAK 78.5
SDST 70 · SDAK 75
Win probability
SDST 59%
1st half
Spread
SDST -1.6
SDST -4.0
Total
74.6
80 points
Projected score
SDST 38.1 · SDAK 36.5
SDST 42 · SDAK 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSDST -2.5
1 → SDST
CloseSDST -3.5
1 pt toward SDST
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SDST -170 · SDAK +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SDST -2.5 · closed SDST -3.5 · moved 1 toward SDSTmodel SDST -2.5
model SDST -2.5
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDST | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| SDAK | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SDST 9–1 SDAKSDST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · SDST 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | SDAK 68 @ SDST 67 | SDST -11.5 | SDAK W |
| Feb 16, 2024-25 | SDST 94 @ SDAK 91 | SDAK +5.5 | SDAK W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | SDAK 71 @ SDST 90 | SDST -12.5 | SDST W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | SDAK 67 @ SDST 70 | SDST -15.5 | SDAK W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | SDST 73 @ SDAK 55 | SDAK +7.5 | SDST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
S Dakota St
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRMK | W 75-66 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 9 | @ UNI | L 58-65 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORE | L 69-83 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs GAST | W 105-58 | -12.5 | W +34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs UVU | L 52-75 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCI | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 3 | @ NAU | W 75-62 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs IDHO | L 81-84 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | @ BALL | W 68-64 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 15 | vs WYO | L 72-87 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 19 | @ MILW | L 87-88 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 29 | @ ARIZ | L 71-99 | +31.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 1 | vs OMA | W 84-69 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ UND | L 87-90 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEN | W 87-79 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ NDSU | L 65-76 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vs KC | W 90-62 | -13.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 22 | @ STMN | L 69-74 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | @OMA | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs ORU | W 95-72 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 4 | vsSTMN | L 62-77 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsSDAK | L 67-68 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 12 | @DEN | L 61-79 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 14 | @ORU | W 87-69 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 18 | vsNDSU | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | vsUND | W 91-83 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 26 | @KC | W 73-59 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
+2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
+3.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+2.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+34.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−21.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−9.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
+10.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
−8.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−1.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
−11.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
−2.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+3.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+5.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
−10.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
−0.5
14
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-76
−5.5
17
vsKC
KCW 90-62
+14.5
22
@STMN
STMNL 69-74
+1.5
28
@OMA
OMAL 71-80
−10.5
31
vsORU
ORUW 95-72
+9.5
4
vsSTMN
STMNL 62-77
−16.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKL 67-68
−12.5
12
@DEN
DENL 61-79
−20.5
14
@ORU
ORUW 87-69
+12.5
18
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-74
−6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 91-83
−1.5
26
@KC
KCW 73-59
+1.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRMK
MRMKW 75-66
−2.5
9
@UNI
UNIL 58-65
−27.5
12
@ORE
OREL 69-83
+6.5
21
vsGAST
GASTW 105-58
+19.5
25
vsUVU
UVUL 52-75
−24.5
26
vsUCI
UCIL 52-64
−28.5
3
@NAU
NAUW 75-62
−11.5
6
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-84
+17.5
9
@BALL
BALLW 68-64
−10.5
15
vsWYO
WYOL 72-87
+9.5
19
@MILW
MILWL 87-88
+23.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 71-99
+10.5
1
vsOMA
OMAW 84-69
+0.5
3
@UND
UNDL 87-90
+24.5
8
vsDEN
DENW 87-79
+3.5
14
@NDSU
NDSUL 65-76
−10.5
17
vsKC
KCW 90-62
+0.5
22
@STMN
STMNL 69-74
−12.5
28
@OMA
OMAL 71-80
+0.5
31
vsORU
ORUW 95-72
+16.5
4
vsSTMN
STMNL 62-77
−18.5
7
vsSDAK
SDAKL 67-68
−24.5
12
@DEN
DENL 61-79
−20.5
14
@ORU
ORUW 87-69
+8.5
18
vsNDSU
NDSUL 66-74
−6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 91-83
+22.5
26
@KC
KCW 73-59
−20.5
over 14under 13avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Dakota
27 games played
Straight up
12-15
44% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UTU | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 5 | @ CREI | L 76-92 | +29.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | vs USI | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs WMU | W 83-78 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ MIZ | L 68-102 | +24.5 | L −9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 23 | vs SCST | W 82-81 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | vs AF | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRST | L 71-77 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNCO | L 87-89 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 9 | @WYO | L 79-106 | +14.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs PV | W 97-85 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 20 | @ KSU | L 76-106 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 31 | @NDSU | L 61-84 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @STMN | L 86-99 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEN | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vsKC | W 99-83 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @UND | L 80-96 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | @OMA | W 68-64 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | vsSTMN | L 78-90 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsORU | W 77-69 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsNDSU | L 84-89 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 4 | @KC | W 82-75 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @SDST | W 68-67 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 11 | vsUND | L 71-72 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 19 | @DEN | L 70-90 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 21 | @ORU | L 62-67 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 25 | vsOMA | W 89-72 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−3.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
+13.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
+7.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
+1.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−9.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
−14.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
+13.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−3.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+6.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
−12.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+5.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
−8.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−11.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+1.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+8.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
−14.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
+10.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
−1.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
+4.5
31
vsNDSU
NDSUL 84-89
+3.5
4
@KC
KCW 82-75
+4.5
7
@SDST
SDSTW 68-67
+12.5
11
vsUND
UNDL 71-72
−3.5
19
@DEN
DENL 70-90
−14.5
21
@ORU
ORUL 62-67
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 89-72
+15.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−4.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
−1.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
−1.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
−11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−1.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
+2.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
−4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−10.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+13.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
+23.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+13.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
+5.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−19.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+22.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
−15.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+25.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
+15.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
−28.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
+6.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
−8.5
31
vsNDSU
NDSUL 84-89
+18.5
4
@KC
KCW 82-75
+0.5
7
@SDST
SDSTW 68-67
−24.5
11
vsUND
UNDL 71-72
−13.5
19
@DEN
DENL 70-90
−3.5
21
@ORU
ORUL 62-67
−22.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 89-72
+8.5
over 12under 15avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
S Dakota St
11-16 overall · 7-8 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas City73–59
- Wvs North Dakota91–83
- Lvs N Dakota St66–74
- W@ Oral Roberts87–69
- L@ Denver61–79
2 days since their last game.
South Dakota
12-15 overall · 7-8 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Omaha89–72
- L@ Oral Roberts62–67
- L@ Denver70–90
- Lvs North Dakota71–72
- W@ S Dakota St68–67
3 days since their last game.