Sanford Coyote Sports Center · at South Dakota · Conference game
Closing line
SDAK -1.5✓ SDAK covered by 15.5
SDAK -1.5✓ SDAK covered by 15.5Closing total152.5Over by 8.5
 OMA | This season | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| 11-14 | Record | 11-15 |
| 13-12 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 13-12 | O/U | 11-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OMA 81–81 SDAK · ✓ SDAK (50%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| SDAK | 45 | 44 | 89 |
1st half: OMA 35, SDAK 45 (SDAK by 10). The model had OMA by 0.1 and a total of 75.9 (actual 80).
Team stats
| OMA | SDAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 28-58 48% |
| 5-14 36% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 19-28 68% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 33 5 off |
| 5 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 23 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Osburn G | 39 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Paul Djobet F | 36 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 7-15 | 1-3 |
| Valentino Simon F | 30 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Lance Waddles G | 27 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Grant Stubblefield G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 24 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Kamryn Thomas F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brock Scholl F | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Christian Richardson C | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Benji Nelson, Khamani Cooper, Aidan Skradis, Rob Matos, Isaac Ondekane, Deng Mayar, Julian Margrave
| SDAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford G | 39 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 8-12 | 5-7 |
| Uzziah Buntyn G | 36 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Vince Buzelis G | 30 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Fens C | 24 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Kizer F | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Silas Bennion G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Jesse McIntosh G | 13 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Jake Brack F | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Hayes, Luke Bruns, Jonah Funk, Evan Anderson, Porter Ihnen, Trent Hudgens, Isaac Bruns, Shey Eberwein, Josiah Dotzler, Caleb Kizer, Ashton Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSDAK -1.5
ModelSDAK -0.1
Model edgeOMA +1.4
L SDAK covered
Total
Market152.5
Model162.4
Model edgeOver 9.9
W Over
Projected score
OMA 81.1 · SDAK 81.3
OMA 72 · SDAK 89
Win probability
SDAK 50%
1st half
Spread
OMA -0.1
SDAK -10.0
Total
75.9
80 points
Projected score
OMA 38 · SDAK 37.9
OMA 35 · SDAK 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOMA -1.5
3 → SDAK
CloseSDAK -1.5
3 pts toward SDAK
Total
Open156.5
▼ 4
Close152.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
OMA -108 · SDAK -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OMA -1.5 · closed SDAK -1.5 · moved 3 toward SDAKmodel SDAK -0
model SDAK -0
Opened 156.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| SDAK | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
OMA 5–5 SDAKSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · OMA 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | SDAK 68 @ OMA 64 | OMA -6.5 | SDAK W |
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | SDAK 75 vs OMA 100 | OMA -5.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SDAK 85 @ OMA 93 | OMA -4.5 | OMA W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | OMA 87 @ SDAK 91 | SDAK +1.5 | SDAK W |
| Feb 15, 2023-24 | SDAK 84 @ OMA 91 | OMA -8.5 | SDAK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Omaha
25 games played
Straight up
11-14
44% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MUR | L 77-85 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 6 | @ ACU | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | @ CSU | L 74-97 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | vs SUU | W 90-85 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | @ LSU | L 73-99 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs JMU | L 77-88 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FIU | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNCO | L 70-75 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRST | W 60-55 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 20 | @ LAM | W 85-82 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORE | L 57-80 | +21.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 1 | @ SDST | L 69-84 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs KC | L 66-73 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs UND | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vs NDSU | L 76-78 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORU | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vsSDAK | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @KC | W 77-60 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 28 | vsSDST | W 80-71 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | @ DEN | W 84-82 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 5 | @UND | L 73-76 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @NDSU | L 84-92 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 12 | vs STMN | W 98-94 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 15 | vsDEN | W 83-76 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Feb 18 | vsORU | W 80-71 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
−9.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−1.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
+17.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+8.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−1.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
−5.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−15.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+5.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+3.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
+12.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−10.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
+12.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+10.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+3.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+1.5
12
vsSTMN
STMNW 98-94
+8.5
15
vsDEN
DENW 83-76
+4.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 80-71
+2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
+12.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−22.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−12.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
−29.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+25.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−14.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
+0.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−9.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+22.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+6.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
−14.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−28.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
−11.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+0.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+7.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+29.5
12
vsSTMN
STMNW 98-94
+35.5
15
vsDEN
DENW 83-76
−1.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 80-71
−0.5
over 13under 12avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Dakota
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UTU | L 79-81 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 5 | @ CREI | L 76-92 | +29.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | vs USI | W 89-74 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs WMU | W 83-78 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ MIZ | L 68-102 | +24.5 | L −9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 23 | vs SCST | W 82-81 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | vs AF | W 80-63 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vsPRST | L 71-77 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @UNCO | L 87-89 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 9 | @ WYO | L 79-106 | +14.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs PV | W 97-85 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 20 | @ KSU | L 76-106 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 31 | @NDSU | L 61-84 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @STMN | L 86-99 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 10 | vsDEN | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 169.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | vsKC | W 99-83 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @UND | L 80-96 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | @OMA | W 68-64 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | vsSTMN | L 78-90 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 29 | vsORU | W 77-69 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | vsNDSU | L 84-89 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 4 | @KC | W 82-75 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @SDST | W 68-67 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 11 | vsUND | L 71-72 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 19 | @DEN | L 70-90 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 21 | @ORU | L 62-67 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−3.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
+13.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
+7.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
+1.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−9.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
−14.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
+13.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−3.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+6.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
−12.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+5.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
−8.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−11.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+1.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+8.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
−14.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
+10.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
−1.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
+4.5
31
vsNDSU
NDSUL 84-89
+3.5
4
@KC
KCW 82-75
+4.5
7
@SDST
SDSTW 68-67
+12.5
11
vsUND
UNDL 71-72
−3.5
19
@DEN
DENL 70-90
−14.5
21
@ORU
ORUL 62-67
−3.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUTU
UTUL 79-81
−4.5
5
@CREI
CREIL 76-92
−1.5
12
vsUSI
USIW 89-74
−1.5
16
vsWMU
WMUW 83-78
−11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZL 68-102
−1.5
23
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-81
+2.5
29
vsAF
AFW 80-63
−4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 71-77
−10.5
6
@UNCO
UNCOL 87-89
+13.5
9
@WYO
WYOL 79-106
+23.5
13
vsPV
PVW 97-85
+13.5
20
@KSU
KSUL 76-106
+5.5
31
@NDSU
NDSUL 61-84
−19.5
7
@STMN
STMNL 86-99
+22.5
10
vsDEN
DENW 82-72
−15.5
15
vsKC
KCW 99-83
+25.5
17
@UND
UNDL 80-96
+15.5
21
@OMA
OMAW 68-64
−28.5
24
vsSTMN
STMNL 78-90
+6.5
29
vsORU
ORUW 77-69
−8.5
31
vsNDSU
NDSUL 84-89
+18.5
4
@KC
KCW 82-75
+0.5
7
@SDST
SDSTW 68-67
−24.5
11
vsUND
UNDL 71-72
−13.5
19
@DEN
DENL 70-90
−3.5
21
@ORU
ORUL 62-67
−22.5
over 11under 15avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Omaha
11-14 overall · 8-6 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oral Roberts80–71
- Wvs Denver83–76
- Wvs St Thomas98–94
- L@ N Dakota St84–92
- L@ North Dakota73–76
A week or more of rest.
South Dakota
11-15 overall · 6-8 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oral Roberts62–67
- L@ Denver70–90
- Lvs North Dakota71–72
- W@ S Dakota St68–67
- W@ Kansas City82–75
4 days since their last game.