1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. NDSU @ WSU
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

North Dakota State Bison at Washington State Cougars

Beasley Coliseum · at Washington St
#213NDSUN Dakota St
@
#139WSUWashington St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NDSUThis seasonWSU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WSU 78–72 · win probability WSU 71%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: NDSU has more of the edges

NDSU 4, WSU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NDSUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NDSU 15.6%, WSU 18.5%. Forced: NDSU 18.7%, WSU 14.5%
Context
Schedule so far
NDSU has played the 315th-hardest schedule, WSU the 100th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NDSUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NDSU 32.9%, WSU 29.5%. Defensive: NDSU 74.5%, WSU 71.8%
WSUSmall
WSU offense vs NDSU defense
Offense 130th of 366 against a defense 209th, on the model’s ratings
NDSUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: NDSU 30.6, WSU 30.2. Allowed: NDSU 29.2, WSU 33.0
WSUSmall
Home court
WSU at home. This season: WSU 0-0 at home, NDSU 0-0 away
WSUSmall
NDSU offense vs WSU defense
Offense 212th of 366 against a defense 166th, on the model’s ratings
NDSUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NDSU 25%, WSU 1%. Transfers in: NDSU 4, WSU 8. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
NDSU hits 35.4% and allows 33.9%; WSU hits 36.5% and allows 35.4%. Threes are 42.8% and 44.8% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: NDSU plays 69.2 a game (169th fastest), WSU 68.9 (183rd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NDSU 53.2 and allows 52.0; WSU 54.7 and allows 52.6
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WSU -6.3—
Total—149.5—
Projected score—NDSU 71.6 · WSU 77.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWSU -3.6—
1H total69.9—
1H projected scoreNDSU 33.1 · WSU 36.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Washington St has the better starters

Position by position: N Dakota St 1, Washington St 2, even 2
N Dakota StBetterWashington St
G M. Bell TR8.8 pts · 4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 19
WSUBig
G S. Akins TR5.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 57
G A. Stefonowicz9.3 pts · 3 reb · 4.7 ast Score 42
NDSUSmall
F F. Roxburgh TR10.9 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.1 ast Score 21
G R. Diaz TR8.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 79
Even
F R. Harrison TR14.2 pts · 6.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 67
G C. Smith2.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F L. Dembele TR5.2 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.4 ast Not ranked
F K. Poom TR8.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.1 ast Score 31
WSUSmall
F T. Kropp TR3.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 48
N Dakota StBetterWashington St
NDSU offense212th of 366 · -6.5
Even
WSU defense166th of 366 · -3.7
NDSU defense209th of 366 · -5.3
WSUSmall
WSU offense130th of 366 · -3.5
Backcourt-4.6 · 4 players
WSUBig
Backcourt-0.2 · 1 player
Frontcourt-1.0 · 1 player
NDSUSmall
Frontcourt-2.6 · 4 players
Bench-1.0 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.5 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestNDSU betterWSU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
N Dakota St
Guards
M. Bell34 min · TRA. Stefonowicz33 minR. Diaz22 min · TRC. Smith9 minR. Massey8 minJ. Robison2 min · TR
Forwards
K. Poom20 min · TRA. NagyNewK. TateNewC. SchoenfeldNewO. JunkerNewC. StackNew
Washington St
Guards
S. Akins15 min · TRJ. Phillips11 min · TRJ. Harrell9 min · TRR. Jones7 min · TRD. Blakely1 minC. JonesNew
Forwards
F. Roxburgh31 min · TRR. Harrison31 min · TRL. Dembele20 min · TRT. Kropp12 min · TRM. SankheNewB. KymanNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NDSUWSU
Scoring
78.7 #87Points per game75.7 #152
1.14 #76Points per possession1.10 #136
69.2 #169Pace (possessions)68.9 #183
Shooting
53.2 #92Effective FG%54.7 #48
35.4 #933-point %36.5 #40
42.8 #1223-point attempt rate44.8 #73
30.6 #289Free throw rate30.2 #305
Possessions
15.6 #108Turnover rate18.5 #295
32.9 #89Offensive rebound rate29.5 #221
14.8 #97Assists per game13.8 #163
Defense
71.4 #90Points allowed77.3 #245
1.03 #63Points allowed per possession1.12 #266
52.0 #215Opponent effective FG%52.6 #248
33.9 #173Opponent 3-point %35.4 #273
18.7 #62Turnovers forced14.5 #322
74.5 #15Defensive rebound rate71.8 #71
7.7 #64Steals per game5.5 #299
2.8 #265Blocks per game2.9 #242
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

N Dakota St

24-8 in 2025-26 overall · 17-2 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan St67–92
  • Wvs North Dakota70–62
  • Wvs Omaha74–50
  • Wvs Oral Roberts76–65
  • Wvs North Dakota96–63

A week or more of rest.

Washington St

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Portland68–74
  • L@ Pepperdine79–88
  • L@ LMU66–67
  • Lvs Saint Mary's67–83
  • Wvs Pacific87–70

A week or more of rest.