1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 6
  3. UNA @ CLT
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 6

North Alabama Lions at Charlotte 49ers

Halton Arena · at Charlotte
#292UNANorth Alabama
@
#141CLTCharlotte
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNAThis seasonCLT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CLT 78–65 · win probability CLT 88%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CLT has more of the edges

UNA 1, CLT 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CLTBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNA 48.0 and allows 55.2; CLT 53.4 and allows 50.9
CLTBig
Three-pointers
UNA hits 30.7% and allows 35.7%; CLT hits 35.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 33.6% and 45.4% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
UNA has played the 294th-hardest schedule, CLT the 113th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CLTBig
UNA offense vs CLT defense
Offense 308th of 366 against a defense 129th, on the model’s ratings
UNASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNA 37.6, CLT 36.4. Allowed: UNA 30.3, CLT 36.2
CLTSmall
CLT offense vs UNA defense
Offense 164th of 366 against a defense 251st, on the model’s ratings
CLTSmall
Home court
CLT at home. This season: CLT 0-0 at home, UNA 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNA 31.2%, CLT 33.9%. Defensive: UNA 67.8%, CLT 67.5%
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNA 17.5%, CLT 18.1%. Forced: UNA 14.6%, CLT 13.6%
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: UNA plays 66.2 a game (304th fastest), CLT 65.5 (331st). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNA 16%, CLT 10%. Transfers in: UNA 5, CLT 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CLT -13.6—
Total—143.2—
Projected score—UNA 64.8 · CLT 78.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCLT -7.9—
1H total67.0—
1H projected scoreUNA 29.5 · CLT 37.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Charlotte has the better starters

Position by position: North Alabama 1, Charlotte 3, even 1
North AlabamaBetterCharlotte
G M. Evbagharu TR9.2 pts · 7 reb · 3.1 ast Score 43
CLTBig
G D. Finister TR14.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 84
G B. Patton6 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.5 ast Score 17
CLTBig
G K. Tillery TR3.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 63
G J. Clark TR6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Grant TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 71
F D. Yates TR6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 59
UNASmall
F A. Conyers7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
F J. Whitted TR2.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 9
CLTBig
F J. Fort TR3.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 49
North AlabamaBetterCharlotte
UNA offense308th of 366 · -9.6
CLTBig
CLT defense129th of 366 · -2.3
UNA defense251st of 366 · -6.6
CLTSmall
CLT offense164th of 366 · -5.0
Backcourt-3.3 · 3 players
CLTBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
CLTSmall
Frontcourt-0.1 · 3 players
Bench-3.8 · 2 players
CLTSmall
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestUNA betterCLT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
North Alabama
Guards
M. Evbagharu34 min · TRB. Patton18 minJ. Clark15 min · TRQ. Lax15 min · TRC. Graham-Howard14 minC. HarrisNew
Forwards
D. Yates17 min · TRJ. Whitted15 min · TRD. CarterNewA. OsmanNewJ. GulleyNew
Centers
M. ChaffeeNew
Charlotte
Guards
D. Finister33 min · TRK. Tillery12 min · TRJ. Rodriguez-Stegemeijer8 min · TRR. EvansNewF. OgucheNewL. BarnesNew
Forwards
D. Grant24 min · TRA. Conyers20 minJ. Fort14 min · TRT. McKinley12 min · TRM. AllenNew
Centers
P. Marshall11 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNACLT
Scoring
67.9 #317Points per game73.0 #225
1.02 #300Points per possession1.12 #105
66.2 #304Pace (possessions)65.5 #331
Shooting
48.0 #312Effective FG%53.4 #86
30.7 #3273-point %35.2 #101
33.6 #3063-point attempt rate45.4 #58
37.6 #111Free throw rate36.4 #140
Possessions
17.5 #238Turnover rate18.1 #278
31.2 #160Offensive rebound rate33.9 #71
9.7 #363Assists per game12.9 #217
Defense
78.0 #267Points allowed74.3 #164
1.18 #350Points allowed per possession1.13 #291
55.2 #337Opponent effective FG%50.9 #152
35.7 #292Opponent 3-point %33.5 #153
14.6 #319Turnovers forced13.6 #345
67.8 #268Defensive rebound rate67.5 #283
6.3 #202Steals per game4.5 #353
3.7 #112Blocks per game3.5 #150
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

North Alabama

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs FGCU58–69
  • L@ West Georgia63–75
  • Wvs Bellarmine73–68
  • L@ Lipscomb51–73
  • Lvs Queens University Royals78–85

A week or more of rest.

Charlotte

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs South Florida64–86
  • Wvs UAB83–78
  • Wvs Tulane74–60
  • L@ South Florida60–83
  • Lvs UAB74–80

A week or more of rest.