1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. IONA @ CLT
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

Iona Gaels at Charlotte 49ers

Halton Arena · at Charlotte
#233IONAIona
@
#141CLTCharlotte
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IONAThis seasonCLT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CLT 77–68 · win probability CLT 78%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CLT has more of the edges

IONA 2, CLT 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
IONA has played the 326th-hardest schedule, CLT the 113th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CLTBig
IONA offense vs CLT defense
Offense 262nd of 366 against a defense 130th, on the model’s ratings
IONABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IONA 17.2%, CLT 18.1%. Forced: IONA 16.6%, CLT 13.6%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: IONA plays 69.8 a game (129th fastest), CLT 65.5 (331st). Faster games mean more points
CLTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IONA 27.8%, CLT 33.9%. Defensive: IONA 68.8%, CLT 67.5%
IONASmall
Three-pointers
IONA hits 35.1% and allows 30.6%; CLT hits 35.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 45.9% and 45.4% of their shots
CLTSmall
Home court
CLT at home. This season: CLT 0-0 at home, IONA 0-0 away
Even
CLT offense vs IONA defense
Offense 164th of 366 against a defense 204th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IONA 31%, CLT 10%. Transfers in: IONA 5, CLT 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: IONA 51.9 and allows 48.9; CLT 53.4 and allows 50.9
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: IONA 29.3, CLT 36.4. Allowed: IONA 28.8, CLT 36.2
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CLT -9.0—
Total—144.8—
Projected score—IONA 67.9 · CLT 76.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCLT -5.2—
1H total67.8—
1H projected scoreIONA 31.3 · CLT 36.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Charlotte has the better starters

Position by position: Iona 0, Charlotte 4, even 1
IonaBetterCharlotte
G K. Vanderhorst TR9.3 pts · 2.7 reb · 2.8 ast Score 44
CLTBig
G D. Finister TR14.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 84
G M. Kheil TR9.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 17
CLTBig
G K. Tillery TR3.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 63
G K. Akametu11 pts · 5 reb · 0.9 ast Score 53
CLTSmall
F D. Grant TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 71
F A. Disu TR11 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
Even
F A. Conyers7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
F A. Fall2.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 3
CLTBig
F J. Fort TR3.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 49
IonaBetterCharlotte
IONA offense262nd of 366 · -8.0
CLTBig
CLT defense130th of 366 · -2.3
IONA defense204th of 366 · -5.0
Even
CLT offense164th of 366 · -5.0
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
CLTBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-3.0 · 2 players
CLTSmall
Frontcourt-0.1 · 3 players
Bench-0.9 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestIONA betterCLT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Iona
Guards
K. Vanderhorst30 min · TRM. Kheil30 min · TRK. Akametu24 minO. Hourruitiner2 minP. LefasNewD. DoyleNew
Forwards
A. Disu28 min · TRA. Fall19 minL. Jungers16 minK. Mitchell11 min · TRS. Ibine Ayo8 min · TRO. OdutayoNew
Charlotte
Guards
D. Finister33 min · TRK. Tillery12 min · TRJ. Rodriguez-Stegemeijer8 min · TRR. EvansNewF. OgucheNewL. BarnesNew
Forwards
D. Grant24 min · TRA. Conyers20 minJ. Fort14 min · TRT. McKinley12 min · TRM. AllenNew
Centers
P. Marshall11 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IONACLT
Scoring
73.8 #206Points per game73.0 #225
1.06 #228Points per possession1.12 #105
69.8 #129Pace (possessions)65.5 #331
Shooting
51.9 #149Effective FG%53.4 #86
35.1 #1053-point %35.2 #101
45.9 #493-point attempt rate45.4 #58
29.3 #326Free throw rate36.4 #140
Possessions
17.2 #220Turnover rate18.1 #278
27.8 #274Offensive rebound rate33.9 #71
14.0 #147Assists per game12.9 #217
Defense
73.1 #136Points allowed74.3 #164
1.05 #85Points allowed per possession1.13 #291
48.9 #64Opponent effective FG%50.9 #152
30.6 #25Opponent 3-point %33.5 #153
16.6 #180Turnovers forced13.6 #345
68.8 #212Defensive rebound rate67.5 #283
6.6 #159Steals per game4.5 #353
3.0 #227Blocks per game3.5 #150
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Iona

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Sacred Heart80–91
  • W@ Manhattan69–65
  • Wvs Rider80–58
  • L@ Merrimack86–88
  • Wvs Saint Peter's72–64

A week or more of rest.

Charlotte

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs South Florida64–86
  • Wvs UAB83–78
  • Wvs Tulane74–60
  • L@ South Florida60–83
  • Lvs UAB74–80

A week or more of rest.