1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. SIE @ MONM
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

Siena Saints at Monmouth Hawks

OceanFirst Bank Center · at Monmouth
#259SIESiena
@
#155MONMMonmouth
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SIEThis seasonMONM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MONM 75–67 · win probability MONM 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIE has more of the edges

SIE 3, MONM 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MONMBig
SIE offense vs MONM defense
Offense 309th of 366 against a defense 145th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SIE has played the 320th-hardest schedule, MONM the 190th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SIESmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SIE 31.8%, MONM 31.2%. Defensive: SIE 70.5%, MONM 67.2%
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: SIE plays 64.4 a game (354th fastest), MONM 67.9 (234th). Faster games mean more points
MONMSmall
Home court
MONM at home. This season: MONM 0-0 at home, SIE 0-0 away
SIESmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: SIE 33.4, MONM 32.7. Allowed: SIE 27.5, MONM 32.2
SIESmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: SIE 50.4 and allows 48.5; MONM 49.6 and allows 50.0
Even
Three-pointers
SIE hits 30.6% and allows 32.4%; MONM hits 34.2% and allows 33.9%. Threes are 32.2% and 34.4% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SIE 15.8%, MONM 16.7%. Forced: SIE 17.0%, MONM 19.8%
Even
MONM offense vs SIE defense
Offense 173rd of 366 against a defense 194th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SIE 28%, MONM 37%. Transfers in: SIE 1, MONM 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MONM -8.6—
Total—142.0—
Projected score—SIE 66.7 · MONM 75.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMONM -5.0—
1H total66.5—
1H projected scoreSIE 30.7 · MONM 35.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Monmouth has the better starters

Position by position: Siena 0, Monmouth 1, even 4
SienaBetterMonmouth
G T. Yildizoglu TR10.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 30
Even
G J. Collins6.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 4.4 ast Score 18
G B. Coyle8.7 pts · 4.6 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
MONMSmall
G J. Sanders TR10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.4 ast Score 39
G I. Henderson3.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 12
No call
G L. Walker TR14.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Not ranked
G O. Schlager2.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.6 ast Not ranked
No call
G A. Walker TR7.8 pts · 3.7 reb · 3.2 ast Score 47
G C. Torres0.5 pts · 0 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F S. Spartalis10.5 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 54
SienaBetterMonmouth
SIE offense309th of 366 · -9.6
MONMBig
MONM defense145th of 366 · -3.1
SIE defense194th of 366 · -4.7
Even
MONM offense173rd of 366 · -5.3
Backcourt-7.7 · 5 players
MONMSmall
Backcourt-5.3 · 4 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSIE betterMONM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Siena
Guards
T. Yildizoglu32 min · TRB. Coyle31 minI. Henderson14 minO. Schlager10 minC. Torres3 minR. DucharmeNew
Monmouth
Guards
J. Collins35 minJ. Sanders30 min · TRL. Walker28 min · TRA. Walker28 min · TRM. Durr21 min · TRJ. Dobuol6 min
Forwards
S. Spartalis24 minO. Harvey3 minS. Osei3 min · TRQ. Peters2 minD. PerryNewS. MarjanovicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SIEMONM
Scoring
70.4 #276Points per game72.0 #241
1.09 #154Points per possession1.07 #212
64.4 #354Pace (possessions)67.9 #234
Shooting
50.4 #222Effective FG%49.6 #259
30.6 #3303-point %34.2 #156
32.2 #3273-point attempt rate34.4 #288
33.4 #226Free throw rate32.7 #244
Possessions
15.8 #126Turnover rate16.7 #176
31.8 #133Offensive rebound rate31.2 #157
13.5 #182Assists per game13.7 #167
Defense
65.8 #12Points allowed70.9 #73
1.02 #44Points allowed per possession1.04 #74
48.5 #48Opponent effective FG%50.0 #103
32.4 #82Opponent 3-point %33.9 #174
17.0 #154Turnovers forced19.8 #28
70.5 #133Defensive rebound rate67.2 #287
5.8 #262Steals per game7.6 #69
3.1 #205Blocks per game4.2 #57
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Siena

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 16-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Duke65–71
  • Wvs Merrimack64–54
  • Wvs Fairfield76–61
  • Wvs Mount St Marys63–58
  • Wvs Rider76–61

A week or more of rest.

Monmouth

18-15 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra69–75
  • Wvs Campbell74–64
  • Wvs Drexel65–57
  • W@ Northeastern89–83
  • Wvs Elon73–57

A week or more of rest.