Bon Secours Wellness Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
DUKE -28.5✓ SIE covered by 22.5
DUKE -28.5✓ SIE covered by 22.5Closing total137.5Under by 1.5
 SIE | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 23-11 | Record | 32-2 |
| 20-14 | ATS | 20-14 |
| 11-23 | O/U | 12-22 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SIE 55–83 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (99%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 43 | 22 | 65 |
| DUKE | 32 | 39 | 71 |
1st half: SIE 43, DUKE 32 (SIE by 11). The model had DUKE by 16.7 and a total of 64.8 (actual 75).
Team stats
| SIE | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-65 38% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 5-26 19% |
| 6-6 100% | Free throws | 18-21 86% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 43 16 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Mulvey C | 40 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Doty G | 40 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 7-20 | 3-12 |
| Justice Shoats G | 40 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 40 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Francis Folefac F | 40 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 7-16 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Christian Jones, Owen Schlager, Antonio Chandler, Danny Murray, Isaiah Henderson, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 39 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 39 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 9-16 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 32 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6-14 | 2-8 |
| Dame Sarr F | 31 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Maliq Brown F | 26 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Khamenia F | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Darren Harris G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Cameron Sheffield, Brock Davis, Sebastian Wilkins, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Jack Scott, Patrick Ngongba II, Caleb Foster
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -25.5
3 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -28.5
3 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open137.5
no move
Close137.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SIE +3500 · DUKE -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -25.5 · closed DUKE -28.5 · moved 3 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -28.5 matches the line
model DUKE -28.5 = line ✓
Opened 137.5 · unchangedmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -28.5 | DUKE -28.3 | SIE +0.2 | W SIE covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 138.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | SIE 55 · DUKE 83.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -16.7 | SIE -11.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | SIE 24 · DUKE 40.7 | SIE 43 · DUKE 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIE | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 1-9 10% |
| DUKE | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Siena
34 games played
Straight up
23-11
68% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-23
32% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vs NIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs CAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @ IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @ RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs MRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vs SHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @ MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vs FAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vs MRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsIONA | W 79-72 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @ SPU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vs QUIN | L 62-74 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 15 | @MRST | W 67-63 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 20 | @MRMK | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 22 | vsSPU | W 72-63 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 27 | @FAIR | L 58-72 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 1 | vsRID | W 76-61 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 7 | vsMSM | W 63-58 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 8 | vsFAIR | W 76-61 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 10 | vsMRMK | W 64-54 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 128.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
−1.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−6.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−15.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
+6.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
+3.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−15.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
+0.5
7
vsMSM
MSMW 63-58
+2.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-61
+13.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKW 64-54
+12.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
+10.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−0.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−8.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
−3.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
+17.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
−0.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−12.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
−0.5
7
vsMSM
MSMW 63-58
−14.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-61
−1.5
10
vsMRMK
MRMKW 64-54
−10.5
over 11under 23avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
34 games played
Straight up
32-2
94% wins
Against the spread
20-14
59% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-22
35% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vsNIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs GT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vs SMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs WAKE | W 90-69 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 26 | vsLOU | W 83-52 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VT | W 72-58 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 3 | vs BC | W 67-49 | -26.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | @ UNC | L 68-71 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @ PITT | W 70-54 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | vs CLEM | W 67-54 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 16 | vs SYR | W 101-64 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vs MICH | W 68-63 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | @ ND | W 100-56 | -16.5 | W +27.5 | 141.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vs UVA | W 77-51 | -9.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 2 | @ NCSU | W 93-64 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNC | W 76-61 | -18.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 12 | vsFSU | W 80-79 | -16.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vsCLEM | W 73-61 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 14 | vsUVA | W 74-70 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+1.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
+22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
+0.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−8.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−9.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−1.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
+0.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+16.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
+8.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+27.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
+16.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+20.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−3.5
12
vsFSU
FSUW 80-79
−15.5
13
vsCLEM
CLEMW 73-61
+1.5
14
vsUVA
UVAW 74-70
−2.5
covered 20didn’t cover 14avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+5.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
−22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
−18.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−25.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−13.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−12.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
−13.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+20.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
−20.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+14.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
−15.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+6.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−10.5
12
vsFSU
FSUW 80-79
+8.5
13
vsCLEM
CLEMW 73-61
−0.5
14
vsUVA
UVAW 74-70
+3.5
over 12under 22avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Siena
23-11 overall · 16-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Merrimack64–54
- Wvs Fairfield76–61
- Wvs Mount St Marys63–58
- Wvs Rider76–61
- L@ Fairfield58–72
A week or more of rest.
Duke
32-2 overall · 20-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Virginia74–70
- Wvs Clemson73–61
- Wvs Florida St80–79
- Wvs North Carolina76–61
- W@ NC State93–64
5 days since their last game.