Spectrum Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
DUKE -16.5✓ FSU covered by 15.5
DUKE -16.5✓ FSU covered by 15.5Closing total150.5Over by 8.5
 FSU | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 18-14 | Record | 29-2 |
| 19-13 | ATS | 19-12 |
| 16-16 | O/U | 10-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FSU 67–85 DUKE · ✓ DUKE (94%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 44 | 35 | 79 |
| DUKE | 43 | 37 | 80 |
1st half: FSU 44, DUKE 43 (FSU by 1). The model had DUKE by 10.5 and a total of 70.8 (actual 87).
Team stats
| FSU | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-54 52% | Field goals | 28-64 44% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 10-34 29% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 14-23 61% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 46 22 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 36 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| Robert McCray V G | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 10-19 | 2-8 |
| Alex Steen F | 33 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Lajae Jones G | 32 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8-15 | 4-8 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Martin Somerville G | 30 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jasen Lopez, Xavier Osceola, Cam Miles, Max Garcia-Plata, Alier Maluk, Jalen Crawford, Shah Muhammad, AJ Swinton
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Evans G | 39 | 32 | 6 | 3 | 11-20 | 7-16 |
| Cameron Boozer F | 39 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 7-16 | 2-5 |
| Dame Sarr F | 35 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Maliq Brown F | 28 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Khamenia F | 29 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Darren Harris G | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jack Scott, Caleb Foster, Sebastian Wilkins, Cameron Sheffield, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Patrick Ngongba II
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUKE -18.5
2 → FSU
CloseDUKE -16.5
2 pts toward FSU
Total
Open152.5
▼ 2
Close150.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
FSU +1100 · DUKE -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUKE -18.5 · closed DUKE -16.5 · moved 2 toward FSUmodel DUKE -18
model DUKE -18
Opened 152.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 downmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -16.5 | DUKE -17.8 | DUKE +1.3 | L FSU covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 151.3 | Over 0.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | FSU 66.7 · DUKE 84.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -10.5 | FSU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 70.8 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | FSU 30.1 · DUKE 40.6 | FSU 44 · DUKE 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| DUKE | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
FSU 1–5 DUKEDUKE leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · DUKE has won the last 5 meetings · FSU 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | DUKE 91 @ FSU 87 | FSU +16.5 | FSU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | FSU 65 @ DUKE 100 | DUKE -22.5 | DUKE W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | DUKE 76 @ FSU 67 | FSU +6.5 | DUKE W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | FSU 67 @ DUKE 86 | DUKE -17.5 | DUKE W |
| Feb 19, 2021-22 | FSU 70 @ DUKE 88 | DUKE -16.5 | DUKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Florida St
32 games played
Straight up
18-14
56% wins
Against the spread
19-13
59% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ALCN | W 108-76 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | vs ALST | W 101-64 | -24.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ FLA | L 76-78 | +17.5 | W +15.5 | 180.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs UTM | W 87-73 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs GASO | W 98-72 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs CSUB | W 89-59 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs TA&M | L 59-95 | -1.5 | L −37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs UGA | L 73-107 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs HOU | L 67-82 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs MASS | L 95-103 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 165.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 16 | @ DAY | L 69-97 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs MVSU | W 96-49 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 22 | vs JAX | W 87-63 | -23.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 30 | @ UNC | L 66-79 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsDUKE | L 87-91 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs NCSU | L 69-113 | +4.5 | L −39.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 13 | @ SYR | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIA | W 65-63 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ SMU | L 80-83 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 28 | vs CAL | W 63-61 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vs STAN | W 88-80 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 7 | @ ND | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 10 | vs UVA | L 58-61 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | @ VT | W 92-69 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 156.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 17 | vs BC | W 80-72 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | @ CLEM | W 70-65 | +8.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 24 | vsMIA | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ GT | W 80-71 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 4 | @ PITT | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 7 | vsSMU | W 91-78 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 158.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 11 | vsCAL | W 95-89 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−37.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
−35.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
−2.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
−20.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
−21.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
+6.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
+0.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−0.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+12.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
−39.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
−3.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+0.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
+12.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
+8.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−1.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+4.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+4.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
+5.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+27.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
−3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
+13.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
−7.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
+3.5
4
@PITT
PITTW 75-74
−0.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 91-78
+11.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 95-89
+4.5
covered 19didn’t cover 13avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
28
vsTA&M
TA&ML 59-95
−20.5
2
vsUGA
UGAL 73-107
+3.5
6
vsHOU
HOUL 67-82
+0.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 95-103
+32.5
16
@DAY
DAYL 69-97
+3.5
19
vsMVSU
MVSUW 96-49
−19.5
22
vsJAX
JAXW 87-63
−9.5
30
@UNC
UNCL 66-79
−21.5
3
vsDUKE
DUKEL 87-91
+14.5
10
vsNCSU
NCSUL 69-113
+21.5
13
@SYR
SYRL 86-94
+19.5
17
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−31.5
20
@MIA
MIAW 65-63
−35.5
24
@SMU
SMUL 80-83
−0.5
28
vsCAL
CALW 63-61
−33.5
31
vsSTAN
STANW 88-80
+15.5
7
@ND
NDW 82-79
+6.5
10
vsUVA
UVAL 58-61
−36.5
14
@VT
VTW 92-69
+4.5
17
vsBC
BCW 80-72
+3.5
21
@CLEM
CLEMW 70-65
−10.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 73-83
+3.5
28
@GT
GTW 80-71
−7.5
4
@PITT
PITTW 75-74
+4.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 91-78
+10.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 95-89
+29.5
over 16under 16avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
31 games played
Straight up
29-2
94% wins
Against the spread
19-12
61% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-21
32% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vs ARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vsFLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs TTU | L 81-82 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vsGT | W 85-79 | -27.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @FSU | W 91-87 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 6 | @ LOU | W 84-73 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vsSMU | W 82-75 | -15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | @CAL | W 71-56 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @STAN | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vsWAKE | W 90-69 | -19.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 26 | vsLOU | W 83-52 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @VT | W 72-58 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 3 | vsBC | W 67-49 | -26.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | @UNC | L 68-71 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 10 | @PITT | W 70-54 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | vsCLEM | W 67-54 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 16 | vsSYR | W 101-64 | -20.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vs MICH | W 68-63 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 24 | @ND | W 100-56 | -16.5 | W +27.5 | 141.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | vsUVA | W 77-51 | -9.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 2 | @NCSU | W 93-64 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNC | W 76-61 | -18.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
−10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
−21.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
−12.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
+9.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
−8.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
+0.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
+18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+1.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
+22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
+0.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−8.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−9.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−1.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
+0.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+16.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
+8.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+27.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
+16.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+20.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−3.5
covered 19didn’t cover 12avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 81-82
+10.5
31
vsGT
GTW 85-79
+10.5
3
@FSU
FSUW 91-87
+14.5
6
@LOU
LOUW 84-73
−4.5
10
vsSMU
SMUW 82-75
+1.5
14
@CAL
CALW 71-56
−22.5
17
@STAN
STANW 80-50
−18.5
24
vsWAKE
WAKEW 90-69
+5.5
26
vsLOU
LOUW 83-52
−22.5
31
@VT
VTW 72-58
−18.5
3
vsBC
BCW 67-49
−25.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 68-71
−13.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 70-54
−12.5
14
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-54
−13.5
16
vsSYR
SYRW 101-64
+20.5
21
vsMICH
MICHW 68-63
−20.5
24
@ND
NDW 100-56
+14.5
28
vsUVA
UVAW 77-51
−15.5
2
@NCSU
NCSUW 93-64
+6.5
7
vsUNC
UNCW 76-61
−10.5
over 10under 21avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Florida St
18-14 overall · 11-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs California95–89
- Wvs SMU91–78
- W@ Pitt75–74
- W@ Georgia Tech80–71
- Lvs Miami73–83
1 day since their last game.
Duke
29-2 overall · 17-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Carolina76–61
- W@ NC State93–64
- Wvs Virginia77–51
- W@ Notre Dame100–56
- Wvs Michigan68–63
5 days since their last game.