Moda Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
WIS -10.5✓ HPU covered by 11.5
WIS -10.5✓ HPU covered by 11.5Closing total161.5Over by 3.5
 HPU | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 27-4 | Record | 24-10 |
| 14-17 | ATS | 21-13 |
| 20-11 | O/U | 21-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 78–88 WIS · ✗ WIS (82%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 39 | 44 | 83 |
| WIS | 41 | 41 | 82 |
1st half: HPU 39, WIS 41 (WIS by 2). The model had WIS by 6.0 and a total of 77.4 (actual 80).
Team stats
| HPU | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-74 42% | Field goals | 31-65 48% |
| 15-40 38% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 37 6 off |
| 18 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 2 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Aquino F | 36 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Rob Martin G | 36 | 23 | 3 | 10 | 9-23 | 4-10 |
| Terry Anderson F | 30 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 7-15 | 1-6 |
| Braden Hausen F | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Scotty Washington G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 33 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Chase Johnston G | 22 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Conrad Martinez G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dorian Grosber, Caden Miller, Kasen Krueger, Mavrick Miller, Birgir Irving, Josh Ibukunoluwa, David Fonville, Liam Carney, Vincent Brady II, Babacar Diallo
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 37 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 8-16 | 3-5 |
| Nick Boyd G | 35 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 10-20 | 1-2 |
| Austin Rapp F | 33 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 27 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nolan Winter F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Hayden Jones, Riccardo Greppi, Will Garlock, Jack Janicki, Zach Kinziger, Jack Robison, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -12.5
2 → HPU
CloseWIS -10.5
2 pts toward HPU
Total
Open166.5
▼ 5
Close161.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
HPU +400 · WIS -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -12.5 · closed WIS -10.5 · moved 2 toward HPUmodel WIS -10.5 matches the line
model WIS -10.5 = line ✓
Opened 166.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 5 downmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -10.5 | WIS -10.3 | HPU +0.2 | W HPU covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 165.8 | Over 4.3 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | HPU 77.8 · WIS 88.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -6.0 | WIS -2.0 |
| 1H total | 77.4 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | HPU 35.7 · WIS 41.7 | HPU 39 · WIS 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 10-0 100% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
31 games played
Straight up
27-4
87% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-11
65% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 14 | vs APP | L 78-86 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs LAS | W 84-72 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs BRY | W 93-47 | -19.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 31 | @ UNCA | W 87-69 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | vs LONG | W 80-67 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs GWEB | W 104-49 | -26.5 | W +28.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @ CHSO | W 84-82 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 14 | @ WIN | L 75-92 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 162.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs UPST | W 89-69 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ RAD | W 93-83 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 29 | vs PRES | W 84-81 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 31 | @LONG | W 71-59 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | vsCHSO | W 80-55 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vsRAD | W 86-77 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 12 | @UPST | W 95-70 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @GWEB | W 112-87 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Feb 19 | vsUNCA | W 74-48 | -14.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 21 | vsWIN | W 89-87 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 26 | @PRES | W 79-73 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Mar 6 | vsGWEB | W 81-59 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNCA | W 75-71 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 8 | vsWIN | W 91-76 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
−20.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
−1.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
+26.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+7.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−3.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
+28.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
−6.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
−19.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+3.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+2.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
−11.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
+2.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
+10.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
−5.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
−0.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
+11.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
−7.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
−6.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−5.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−10.5
8
vsWIN
WINW 91-76
+8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
14
vsAPP
APPL 78-86
+19.5
19
vsLAS
LASW 84-72
+6.5
22
vsBRY
BRYW 93-47
−13.5
31
@UNCA
UNCAW 87-69
+4.5
3
vsLONG
LONGW 80-67
−13.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 104-49
−9.5
10
@CHSO
CHSOW 84-82
+2.5
14
@WIN
WINL 75-92
+4.5
17
vsUPST
UPSTW 89-69
+5.5
23
@RAD
RADW 93-83
+10.5
29
vsPRES
PRESW 84-81
+15.5
31
@LONG
LONGW 71-59
−26.5
4
vsCHSO
CHSOW 80-55
−27.5
7
vsRAD
RADW 86-77
+0.5
12
@UPST
UPSTW 95-70
+10.5
14
@GWEB
GWEBW 112-87
+37.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 74-48
−30.5
21
vsWIN
WINW 89-87
+9.5
26
@PRES
PRESW 79-73
+0.5
6
vsGWEB
GWEBW 81-59
−15.5
7
vsUNCA
UNCAW 75-71
−1.5
8
vsWIN
WINW 91-76
+9.5
over 20under 11avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
34 games played
Straight up
24-10
71% wins
Against the spread
21-13
62% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-13
62% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 6 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ MICH | W 91-88 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 13 | @ MINN | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs RUTG | W 96-87 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 22 | @ PSU | W 98-71 | -5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 25 | vs USC | L 71-73 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 67-63 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs OSU | W 92-82 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | @ IU | L 77-78 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 10 | @ ILL | W 92-90 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 13 | vs MSU | W 92-71 | +1.5 | W +22.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 17 | @OSU | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | vs IOWA | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | @ ORE | L 71-85 | -5.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 28 | @ WASH | W 90-73 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 4 | vs MD | W 78-45 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 7 | @PUR | W 97-93 | +9.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vsWASH | W 85-82 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 13 | vsILL | W 91-88 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Mar 14 | vsMICH | L 65-68 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+4.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+22.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+1.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
−6.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+21.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−9.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−5.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+5.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
+2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+11.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+22.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−15.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+10.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
−19.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+15.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
+18.5
7
@PUR
PURW 97-93
+13.5
12
vsWASH
WASHW 85-82
−3.5
13
vsILL
ILLW 91-88
+11.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 65-68
+9.5
covered 21didn’t cover 13avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
6
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
−0.5
10
@MICH
MICHW 91-88
+9.5
13
@MINN
MINNW 78-75
+6.5
17
vsRUTG
RUTGW 96-87
+33.5
22
@PSU
PSUW 98-71
+11.5
25
vsUSC
USCL 71-73
−14.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 67-63
−16.5
31
vsOSU
OSUW 92-82
+18.5
7
@IU
IUL 77-78
−2.5
10
@ILL
ILLW 92-90
+28.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 92-71
+13.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 69-86
−2.5
22
vsIOWA
IOWAW 84-71
+7.5
25
@ORE
OREL 71-85
+3.5
28
@WASH
WASHW 90-73
+9.5
4
vsMD
MDW 78-45
−30.5
7
@PUR
PURW 97-93
+35.5
12
vsWASH
WASHW 85-82
+9.5
13
vsILL
ILLW 91-88
+20.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 65-68
−28.5
over 21under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
27-4 overall · 18-1 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Winthrop91–76
- Wvs UNC Asheville75–71
- Wvs Gardner-Webb81–59
- W@ Presbyterian79–73
- Wvs Winthrop89–87
A week or more of rest.
Wisconsin
24-10 overall · 16-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan65–68
- Wvs Illinois91–88
- Wvs Washington85–82
- W@ Purdue97–93
- Wvs Maryland78–45
5 days since their last game.