1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 15
  3. UNA @ MORE
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 15

North Alabama Lions at Morehead State Eagles

Ellis T. Johnson Arena · at Morehead St
#292UNANorth Alabama
@
#350MOREMorehead St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UNAThis seasonMORE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MORE 72–71 · win probability MORE 52%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MORE has more of the edges

UNA 2, MORE 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MOREBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: UNA 48.0 and allows 55.2; MORE 49.1 and allows 50.2
UNASmall
MORE offense vs UNA defense
Offense 349th of 366 against a defense 251st, on the model’s ratings
UNASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UNA 37.6, MORE 37.7. Allowed: UNA 30.3, MORE 35.6
MORESmall
Three-pointers
UNA hits 30.7% and allows 35.7%; MORE hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 33.6% and 30.5% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
UNA has played the 294th-hardest schedule, MORE the 346th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MORESmall
Home court
MORE at home. This season: MORE 0-0 at home, UNA 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UNA 31.2%, MORE 35.8%. Defensive: UNA 67.8%, MORE 64.2%
Even
UNA offense vs MORE defense
Offense 308th of 366 against a defense 333rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UNA 16%, MORE 29%. Transfers in: UNA 5, MORE 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: UNA plays 66.2 a game (304th fastest), MORE 67.4 (262nd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UNA 17.5%, MORE 18.1%. Forced: UNA 14.6%, MORE 15.4%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MORE -0.6—
Total—142.8—
Projected score—UNA 71.1 · MORE 71.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMORE -0.2—
1H total66.8—
1H projected scoreUNA 33.3 · MORE 33.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

North Alabama has the better starters

Position by position: North Alabama 1, Morehead St 0, even 4
North AlabamaBetterMorehead St
G M. Evbagharu TR9.2 pts · 7 reb · 3.1 ast Score 43
UNASmall
G C. Dawson8.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 22
G B. Patton6 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.5 ast Score 17
Even
G V. Dawson3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7
G J. Clark TR6.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Winkleman1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F D. Yates TR6.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 59
No call
G I. Day NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F J. Whitted TR2.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast Score 9
Even
F C. Parker2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 1
North AlabamaBetterMorehead St
UNA offense308th of 366 · -9.6
Even
MORE defense333rd of 366 · -8.7
UNA defense251st of 366 · -6.6
UNASmall
MORE offense349th of 366 · -12.3
Backcourt-3.3 · 3 players
UNASmall
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.6 · 2 players
UNASmall
Frontcourt-2.7 · 1 player
Bench-3.8 · 2 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestUNA betterMORE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
North Alabama
Guards
M. Evbagharu34 min · TRB. Patton18 minJ. Clark15 min · TRQ. Lax15 min · TRC. Graham-Howard14 minC. HarrisNew
Forwards
D. Yates17 min · TRJ. Whitted15 min · TRD. CarterNewA. OsmanNewJ. GulleyNew
Centers
M. ChaffeeNew
Morehead St
Guards
C. Dawson26 minV. Dawson16 minJ. Winkleman1 minI. DayNewK. CarbonNewK. ShawNew
Forwards
C. Parker16 minD. AlexanderNewL. BassNewT. TangioraNewJ. PriesterNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UNAMORE
Scoring
67.9 #317Points per game72.0 #243
1.02 #300Points per possession1.07 #202
66.2 #304Pace (possessions)67.4 #262
Shooting
48.0 #312Effective FG%49.1 #285
30.7 #3273-point %32.0 #281
33.6 #3063-point attempt rate30.5 #349
37.6 #111Free throw rate37.7 #109
Possessions
17.5 #238Turnover rate18.1 #275
31.2 #160Offensive rebound rate35.8 #27
9.7 #363Assists per game12.0 #285
Defense
78.0 #267Points allowed75.5 #205
1.18 #350Points allowed per possession1.12 #264
55.2 #337Opponent effective FG%50.2 #109
35.7 #292Opponent 3-point %34.5 #221
14.6 #319Turnovers forced15.4 #259
67.8 #268Defensive rebound rate64.2 #351
6.3 #202Steals per game6.0 #234
3.7 #112Blocks per game3.0 #213
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

North Alabama

7-21 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs FGCU58–69
  • L@ West Georgia63–75
  • Wvs Bellarmine73–68
  • L@ Lipscomb51–73
  • Lvs Queens University Royals78–85

A week or more of rest.

Morehead St

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St67–93
  • Wvs SE Missouri66–61
  • W@ Little Rock76–70
  • Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–63
  • W@ W Illinois81–59

A week or more of rest.