Ford Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
TNST -5.5✓ TNST covered by 20.5
Closing total143.5Over by 16.5
| This season | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-12 | Record | 19-9 |
| 18-11 | ATS | 17-11 |
| 15-14 | O/U | 12-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MORE 74–79 TNST · ✓ TNST (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORE | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| TNST | 55 | 38 | 93 |
1st half: MORE 34, TNST 55 (TNST by 21). The model had TNST by 2.9 and a total of 71.8 (actual 89).
Team stats
| MORE | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 33-67 49% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 16-26 62% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 44 14 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| MORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anouar Mellouk F | 35 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Jon Carroll F | 31 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| George Marshall G | 31 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 5-13 | 4-9 |
| Chase Dawson G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Vince Dawson III G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Cunningham G | 31 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-1 |
| Josiah LeGree G | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Tamaury Releford C | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyonne Farrell F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Clayton Parker F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jace Winkleman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaden Priester, Jarvis Wright, Kameren Wright, Jacob Wilson
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 36 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 6-20 | 4-8 |
| Travis Harper II G | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 5-7 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 31 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 20 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 29 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 7-11 | 2-2 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kavien Jones F | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| JC Brooks F | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Alex Garcia F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Khalil London, Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -3.5
2 → TNST
CloseTNST -5.5
2 pts toward TNST
Total
Open152.5
▼ 9
Close143.5
Down 9 since the open
Moneyline
MORE +185 · TNST -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -3.5 · closed TNST -5.5 · moved 2 toward TNSTmodel TNST -5
model TNST -5
Opened 152.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 9 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TNST -5.5 | TNST -5.1 | MORE +0.4 | L TNST covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 153.6 | Over 10.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MORE 74.2 · TNST 79.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TNST -2.9 | TNST -21.0 |
| 1H total | 71.8 | 89 |
| 1H projected score | MORE 34.4 · TNST 37.4 | MORE 34 · TNST 55 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | |
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MORE 8–2 TNSTMORE leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MORE 7-2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025-26 | TNST 86 @ MORE 94 | MORE +1.5 | MORE W |
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | MORE 100 @ TNST 105 | TNST -7.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | MORE 55 @ TNST 64 | TNST -5.5 | TNST W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | TNST 68 @ MORE 74 | MORE -3.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | MORE 68 @ TNST 49 | TNST +4.5 | MORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Morehead St
29 games played
Straight up
17-12
59% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-14
52% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 65-81 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 81-120 | +28.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 56-83 | +29.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 62-77 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 83-80 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | U 165 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 52-84 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 78-64 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 64-60 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 73-72 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 68-76 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 100-105 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 76-70 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 71-66 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 73-68 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 67-65 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 78-79 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 70-82 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 61-55 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 12 | vs | W 73-66 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 94-86 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 19 | @ | W 73-70 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 21 | @ | W 81-59 | -8.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 64-63 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 26 | @ | W 76-70 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 146 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 66-61 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
WAKE
L 65-81
+6.5
9
@
UGA
L 81-120
−10.5
11
@
CLEM
L 56-83
+2.5
21
@
ETSU
L 62-77
−4.5
22
vs
ULM
W 83-80
−3.5
29
@
IUIN
L 80-85
−1.5
2
@
MUR
L 52-84
−15.5
6
@
PRES
L 72-80
−0.5
16
vs
LR
W 78-64
+11.5
20
@
USI
W 64-60
+2.5
1
@
LIN
L 64-77
−6.5
3
@
SIUE
W 73-72
+5.5
8
vs
UTM
L 68-76
−5.5
10
vs
SEMO
W 71-69
+7.5
15
@
TNST
L 100-105
+2.5
17
@
TNTC
W 76-70
+7.5
22
vs
WIU
W 71-66
−3.5
24
vs
EIU
W 73-68
+0.5
29
vs
SIUE
W 67-65
+0.5
31
vs
LIN
L 78-79
+0.5
5
@
SEMO
L 70-82
−4.5
7
@
UTM
W 61-55
+14.5
12
vs
TNTC
W 73-66
+2.5
14
vs
TNST
W 94-86
+9.5
19
@
EIU
W 73-70
+1.5
21
@
WIU
W 81-59
+13.5
24
vs
USI
W 64-63
−6.5
26
@
LR
W 76-70
+8.5
6
vs
SEMO
W 66-61
+8.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
WAKE
L 65-81
−6.5
9
@
UGA
L 81-120
+50.5
11
@
CLEM
L 56-83
−12.5
21
@
ETSU
L 62-77
−5.5
22
vs
ULM
W 83-80
+17.5
29
@
IUIN
L 80-85
−16.5
2
@
MUR
L 52-84
−22.5
6
@
PRES
L 72-80
+17.5
16
vs
LR
W 78-64
+5.5
20
@
USI
W 64-60
−21.5
1
@
LIN
L 64-77
−6.5
3
@
SIUE
W 73-72
+13.5
8
vs
UTM
L 68-76
+8.5
10
vs
SEMO
W 71-69
−4.5
15
@
TNST
L 100-105
+56.5
17
@
TNTC
W 76-70
+4.5
22
vs
WIU
W 71-66
−1.5
24
vs
EIU
W 73-68
+6.5
29
vs
SIUE
W 67-65
+1.5
31
vs
LIN
L 78-79
+8.5
5
@
SEMO
L 70-82
+7.5
7
@
UTM
W 61-55
−20.5
12
vs
TNTC
W 73-66
−4.5
14
vs
TNST
W 94-86
+31.5
19
@
EIU
W 73-70
+5.5
21
@
WIU
W 81-59
−3.5
24
vs
USI
W 64-63
−15.5
26
@
LR
W 76-70
+7.5
6
vs
SEMO
W 66-61
−12.5
over 15under 14avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee St
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-16
43% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 105-100 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 73-67 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 66-74 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 96-86 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 2 | vs | L 85-90 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 77-68 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 83-56 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | @ | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 86-94 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 19 | vs | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 80-53 | -2.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 26 | @ | W 79-71 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 67-42 | +2.5 | W +27.5 | 143.5 | U 109 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 68-55 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
BEL
L 79-87
+5.5
16
@
WKU
L 82-95
−0.5
20
@
TENN
L 60-89
+2.5
25
@
UNCA
W 75-73
+7.5
30
@
UTC
W 70-64
+14.5
3
@
AAMU
L 53-80
−31.5
13
@
UNLV
W 63-60
+15.5
18
vs
UTM
W 78-71
+4.5
20
vs
SEMO
L 82-91
−7.5
30
@
TNTC
W 88-76
+10.5
3
@
LR
W 84-79
+3.5
8
@
WIU
W 90-68
+15.5
10
@
EIU
L 70-74
−7.5
15
vs
MORE
W 105-100
−2.5
17
vs
USI
W 73-67
−2.5
22
@
SIUE
L 66-74
−6.5
24
@
LIN
W 96-86
+14.5
29
vs
LR
W 70-63
+2.5
2
vs
TNTC
L 85-90
−12.5
5
vs
EIU
W 77-68
−0.5
7
vs
WIU
W 83-56
+11.5
12
@
USI
W 73-71
−4.5
14
@
MORE
L 86-94
−9.5
19
vs
LIN
W 89-80
+5.5
21
vs
SIUE
W 80-53
+24.5
26
@
SEMO
W 79-71
+10.5
28
@
UTM
W 67-42
+27.5
6
vs
UTM
W 68-55
+11.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
BEL
L 79-87
+7.5
16
@
WKU
L 82-95
+9.5
20
@
TENN
L 60-89
−8.5
25
@
UNCA
W 75-73
−16.5
30
@
UTC
W 70-64
−21.5
3
@
AAMU
L 53-80
−14.5
13
@
UNLV
W 63-60
−38.5
18
vs
UTM
W 78-71
+7.5
20
vs
SEMO
L 82-91
+21.5
30
@
TNTC
W 88-76
+8.5
3
@
LR
W 84-79
+18.5
8
@
WIU
W 90-68
+12.5
10
@
EIU
L 70-74
−0.5
15
vs
MORE
W 105-100
+56.5
17
vs
USI
W 73-67
−10.5
22
@
SIUE
L 66-74
−2.5
24
@
LIN
W 96-86
+21.5
29
vs
LR
W 70-63
−17.5
2
vs
TNTC
L 85-90
+21.5
5
vs
EIU
W 77-68
−0.5
7
vs
WIU
W 83-56
−12.5
12
@
USI
W 73-71
−3.5
14
@
MORE
L 86-94
+31.5
19
vs
LIN
W 89-80
+9.5
21
vs
SIUE
W 80-53
−10.5
26
@
SEMO
W 79-71
−1.5
28
@
UTM
W 67-42
−34.5
6
vs
UTM
W 68-55
−14.5
over 12under 16avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Morehead St
17-12 overall · 16-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SE Missouri66–61
- W@ Little Rock76–70
- Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–63
- W@ W Illinois81–59
- W@ E Illinois73–70
1 day since their last game.
Tennessee St
19-9 overall · 16-5 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Martin68–55
- W@ UT Martin67–42
- W@ SE Missouri79–71
- Wvs SIUE80–53
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions89–80
1 day since their last game.