Princeton Tigers at Northeastern Huskies: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Dec 6, 12:00 AM ETCabot Center · at Northeastern

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Princeton and Northeastern
PRIN	This season	NE
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRIN 75–72 · win probability PRIN 58%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 147.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PRIN has more of the edges

PRIN 5, NE 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

PRINBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: PRIN 34.6, NE 29.4. Allowed: PRIN 34.0, NE 41.9

PRINBig

Three-pointers

PRIN hits 33.9% and allows 31.1%; NE hits 33.7% and allows 35.8%. Threes are 44.5% and 37.8% of their shots

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: PRIN plays 65.0 a game (344th fastest), NE 69.9 (120th). Faster games mean more points

NEBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: PRIN 17.1%, NE 16.3%. Forced: PRIN 14.2%, NE 16.8%

PRINSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: PRIN 100%, NE 43%. Transfers in: PRIN 0, NE 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

PRINSmall

PRIN offense vs NE defense

Offense 177th of 366 against a defense 263rd, on the model’s ratings

PRINSmall

NE offense vs PRIN defense

Offense 194th of 366 against a defense 115th, on the model’s ratings

NESmall

Home court

NE at home. This season: NE 0-0 at home, PRIN 0-0 away

Context

Schedule so far

PRIN has played the 137th-hardest schedule, NE the 185th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: PRIN 27.2%, NE 27.3%. Defensive: PRIN 71.5%, NE 69.8%

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: PRIN 49.6 and allows 52.0; NE 52.4 and allows 56.4

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	PRIN -2.2	—
Total	—	147.1	—
Projected score	—	PRIN 74.7 · NE 72.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	PRIN -1.5	—
1H total	68.8	—
1H projected score	PRIN 35.1 · NE 33.7	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PRIN LLWWL	16-12	57%	6-7	—
NE WLLWL	11-20	35%	2-10	—

Venue/role: PRIN away; NE home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
PRIN OOUOU	13-15	46%	8-20
NE UUOOO	20-11	65%	7-24

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PRIN	3-7 30%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
NE	1-9 10%	2-8 20%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Princeton

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 12	@ LIU	No recent meeting

Northeastern

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 9	@ BC	No recent meeting
Dec 13	@ UVM	L74–85LO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

PRIN 4–0 NEPRIN leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · PRIN has won the last 4 meetings · PRIN 2-2 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 20, 2025-26	NE 57 @ PRIN 70	PRIN -2.5	PRIN W
Nov 10, 2024-25	PRIN 79 @ NE 76	NE +7.5	NE W
Nov 25, 2023-24	NE 66 @ PRIN 80	PRIN -12.5	PRIN W
Nov 26, 2022-23	NE 54 vs PRIN 56	PRIN -8.5	NE W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Princeton

28 games played

Straight up

8-20

29% wins

Against the spread

16-12

57% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-15

46% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

8-2029%

L W L L W L L L L L L L L W W W L L W L W L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

16-1257%

L W W L W L W W W W W L W W L W L L W L W W L L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-1546%

O U U O U O O O U U O U U O O U O U U U O U U O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@AKR	L 69-104	+13.5	L −21.5	156.5	O 173
Nov 11	vsBUCK	W 73-63	-4.5	W +5.5	146.5	U 136
Nov 15	@KU	L 57-76	+22.5	W +3.5	144.5	U 133
Nov 18	@IONA	L 69-89	+2.5	L −17.5	154.5	O 158
Nov 20	vsNE	W 70-57	-2.5	W +10.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 24	vsBRAD	L 64-88	+9.5	L −14.5	141.5	O 152
Nov 25	vsTEM	L 75-79	+8.5	W +4.5	145.5	O 154
Nov 26	vsUVM	L 74-79	+5.5	W +0.5	140.5	O 153
Nov 30	vsJOES	L 58-60	+5.5	W +3.5	146.5	U 118
Dec 3	@MONM	L 58-63	+5.5	W +0.5	139.5	U 121
Dec 6	@LUC	L 68-73	+6.5	W +1.5	136.5	O 141
Dec 10	vsMRMK	L 56-59	-2.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 115
Dec 22	@TEM	L 61-65	+8.5	W +4.5	139.5	U 126
Dec 30	vsUVM	W 75-69	+3.5	W +9.5	136.5	O 144
Jan 5	vsPENN	W 78-76	-3.5	L −1.5	145.5	O 154
Jan 10	vsYALE	W 76-60	+7.5	W +23.5	142.5	U 136
Jan 17	@HARV	L 80-87	+4.5	L −2.5	133.5	O 167
Jan 19	@DART	L 69-71	-1.5	L −3.5	147.5	U 140
Jan 24	vsBRWN	W 63-53	-4.5	W +5.5	134.5	U 116
Jan 30	@COR	L 64-87	+7.5	L −15.5	158.5	U 151
Jan 31	@COLU	W 80-68	+5.5	W +17.5	139.5	O 148
Feb 7	@PENN	L 60-61	+3.5	W +2.5	144.5	U 121
Feb 13	vsCOR	L 65-89	+3.5	L −20.5	155.5	U 154
Feb 14	vsCOLU	L 65-75	+1.5	L −8.5	137.5	O 140
Feb 20	@BRWN	L 71-80	+2.5	L −6.5	129.5	O 151
Feb 27	vsHARV	L 56-58	+3.5	W +1.5	130.5	U 114
Feb 28	vsDART	W 82-61	-1.5	W +19.5	142.5	O 143
Mar 7	@YALE	L 53-78	+14.5	L −10.5	137.5	U 131

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

AKR

L 69-104

−21.5

BUCK

W 73-63

+5.5

L 57-76

+3.5

IONA

L 69-89

−17.5

W 70-57

+10.5

BRAD

L 64-88

−14.5

TEM

L 75-79

+4.5

UVM

L 74-79

+0.5

JOES

L 58-60

+3.5

MONM

L 58-63

+0.5

LUC

L 68-73

+1.5

MRMK

L 56-59

−5.5

TEM

L 61-65

+4.5

UVM

W 75-69

+9.5

PENN

W 78-76

−1.5

YALE

W 76-60

+23.5

HARV

L 80-87

−2.5

DART

L 69-71

−3.5

BRWN

W 63-53

+5.5

COR

L 64-87

−15.5

COLU

W 80-68

+17.5

PENN

L 60-61

+2.5

COR

L 65-89

−20.5

COLU

L 65-75

−8.5

BRWN

L 71-80

−6.5

HARV

L 56-58

+1.5

DART

W 82-61

+19.5

YALE

L 53-78

−10.5

covered 16didn’t cover 12avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

AKR

L 69-104

+16.5

BUCK

W 73-63

−10.5

L 57-76

−11.5

IONA

L 69-89

+3.5

W 70-57

−18.5

BRAD

L 64-88

+10.5

TEM

L 75-79

+8.5

UVM

L 74-79

+12.5

JOES

L 58-60

−28.5

MONM

L 58-63

−18.5

LUC

L 68-73

+4.5

MRMK

L 56-59

−19.5

TEM

L 61-65

−13.5

UVM

W 75-69

+7.5

PENN

W 78-76

+8.5

YALE

W 76-60

−6.5

HARV

L 80-87

+33.5

DART

L 69-71

−7.5

BRWN

W 63-53

−18.5

COR

L 64-87

−7.5

COLU

W 80-68

+8.5

PENN

L 60-61

−23.5

COR

L 65-89

−1.5

COLU

L 65-75

+2.5

BRWN

L 71-80

+21.5

HARV

L 56-58

−16.5

DART

W 82-61

+0.5

YALE

L 53-78

−6.5

over 13under 15avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Northeastern

31 games played

Straight up

7-24

23% wins

Against the spread

11-20

35% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

20-11

65% overs · avg +7.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-2423%

L W W L L W L L W L L L W L L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

11-2035%

L W W L L W W L W W W L W L L L W L L L L L L L L L W L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

20-1165%

O U U O U O O U U O O O O O O O O O O O O U U U U O U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsBU	L 75-76	-2.5	L −3.5	142.5	O 151
Nov 7	@COLG	W 68-65	+5.5	W +8.5	147.5	U 133
Nov 11	@HARV	W 77-60	+5.5	W +22.5	144.5	U 137
Nov 15	vsUVM	L 74-85	-1.5	L −12.5	134.5	O 159
Nov 20	@PRIN	L 57-70	+2.5	L −10.5	145.5	U 127
Nov 22	vsDUQ	W 93-86	+7.5	W +14.5	147.5	O 179
Nov 28	@WAKE	L 73-86	+17.5	W +4.5	154.5	O 159
Dec 3	@HC	L 59-76	-8.5	L −25.5	145.5	U 135
Dec 7	vsCCSU	W 73-56	-1.5	W +15.5	138.5	U 129
Dec 20	@SYR	L 83-91	+14.5	W +6.5	140.5	O 174
Dec 22	@URI	L 77-85	+10.5	W +2.5	144.5	O 162
Dec 29	@ELON	L 91-103	+4.5	L −7.5	153.5	O 194
Dec 31	@NCAT	W 85-74	-3.5	W +7.5	151.5	O 159
Jan 3	@CAM	L 82-97	+3.5	L −11.5	154.5	O 179
Jan 8	vsUNCW	L 78-87	+4.5	L −4.5	142.5	O 165
Jan 10	vsTOW	L 78-87	+2.5	L −6.5	143.5	O 165
Jan 15	vsELON	W 85-78	+3.5	W +10.5	157.5	O 163
Jan 19	@MONM	L 68-81	+3.5	L −9.5	143.5	O 149
Jan 22	vsSTBK	L 80-95	-3.5	L −18.5	148.5	O 175
Jan 24	@DREX	L 78-83	+4.5	L −0.5	139.5	O 161
Jan 31	vsCOFC	L 84-89	+3.5	L −1.5	161.5	O 173
Feb 5	@HOF	L 63-80	+8.5	L −8.5	153.5	U 143
Feb 7	@STBK	L 55-69	+3.5	L −10.5	153.5	U 124
Feb 12	vsW&M	L 67-94	+5.5	L −21.5	167.5	U 161
Feb 19	vsDREX	L 61-70	-1.5	L −10.5	143.5	U 131
Feb 21	vsHOF	L 68-82	+6.5	L −7.5	144.5	O 150
Feb 26	@W&M	L 77-84	+11.5	W +4.5	164.5	U 161
Feb 28	@HAMP	L 65-76	+3.5	L −7.5	145.5	U 141
Mar 3	vsMONM	L 83-89	+3.5	L −2.5	148.5	O 172
Mar 6	vsNCAT	W 88-72	-2.5	W +13.5	151.5	O 160
Mar 7	vsDREX	L 77-84	+4.5	L −2.5	138.5	O 161

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 75-76

−3.5

COLG

W 68-65

+8.5

HARV

W 77-60

+22.5

UVM

L 74-85

−12.5

PRIN

L 57-70

−10.5

DUQ

W 93-86

+14.5

WAKE

L 73-86

+4.5

L 59-76

−25.5

CCSU

W 73-56

+15.5

SYR

L 83-91

+6.5

URI

L 77-85

+2.5

ELON

L 91-103

−7.5

NCAT

W 85-74

+7.5

CAM

L 82-97

−11.5

UNCW

L 78-87

−4.5

TOW

L 78-87

−6.5

ELON

W 85-78

+10.5

MONM

L 68-81

−9.5

STBK

L 80-95

−18.5

DREX

L 78-83

−0.5

COFC

L 84-89

−1.5

HOF

L 63-80

−8.5

STBK

L 55-69

−10.5

W&M

L 67-94

−21.5

DREX

L 61-70

−10.5

HOF

L 68-82

−7.5

W&M

L 77-84

+4.5

HAMP

L 65-76

−7.5

MONM

L 83-89

−2.5

NCAT

W 88-72

+13.5

DREX

L 77-84

−2.5

covered 11didn’t cover 20avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 75-76

+8.5

COLG

W 68-65

−14.5

HARV

W 77-60

−7.5

UVM

L 74-85

+24.5

PRIN

L 57-70

−18.5

DUQ

W 93-86

+31.5

WAKE

L 73-86

+4.5

L 59-76

−10.5

CCSU

W 73-56

−9.5

SYR

L 83-91

+33.5

URI

L 77-85

+17.5

ELON

L 91-103

+40.5

NCAT

W 85-74

+7.5

CAM

L 82-97

+24.5

UNCW

L 78-87

+22.5

TOW

L 78-87

+21.5

ELON

W 85-78

+5.5

MONM

L 68-81

+5.5

STBK

L 80-95

+26.5

DREX

L 78-83

+21.5

COFC

L 84-89

+11.5

HOF

L 63-80

−10.5

STBK

L 55-69

−29.5

W&M

L 67-94

−6.5

DREX

L 61-70

−12.5

HOF

L 68-82

+5.5

W&M

L 77-84

−3.5

HAMP

L 65-76

−4.5

MONM

L 83-89

+23.5

NCAT

W 88-72

+8.5

DREX

L 77-84

+22.5

over 20under 11avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Princeton has the better starters

Position by position: Princeton 3, Northeastern 1, even 1

PrincetonBetterNortheastern

G J. Hicke15.8 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.4 ast Score 85

PRINBig

G M. Loughnane10.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.8 ast Score 45

G J. Stanton11.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 64

PRINSmall

G R. King TR5.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 46

G L. Clark6.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.9 ast Score 29

No call

G M. Newton5.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked

G D. Davis14.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 69

NESmall

G R. Williams7.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 89

F M. Abdullahi9.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54

PRINBig

C P. Pinter3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 5

PrincetonBetterNortheastern

PRIN offense177th of 366 · -5.5

PRINSmall

NE defense263rd of 366 · -6.8

PRIN defense115th of 366 · -1.5

PRINSmall

NE offense194th of 366 · -6.0

Backcourt+0.9 · 4 players

PRINSmall

Backcourt-0.9 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player

PRINSmall

Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player

Bench-4.6 · 5 players

NESmall

Bench-1.8 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestPRIN betterNE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Princeton

Guards

J. Hicke35 minJ. Stanton32 minL. Clark29 minD. Davis28 minS. Whitfield12 minP. Seals8 min

Forwards

M. Abdullahi29 minJ. Huggins22 minC. Happy19 minJ. Hammond7 minC. McSweeney5 minW. Kutzler1 min

Centers

W. HiggsNew

Northeastern

Guards

M. Loughnane31 minR. King19 min · TRM. Newton17 minR. Williams15 minL. Bond14 min · TRD. GrosberNew

Forwards

B. Young5 min · TRJ. IcitovicNewD. JungNewS. BaptisteNew

Centers

P. Pinter14 minL. Koelsch9 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

PRIN67.5 #324

NE74.9 #168

Points per possession

PRIN1.04 #268

NE1.07 #210

Pace (possessions)

PRIN65.0 #344

NE69.9 #120

Shooting

Effective FG%

PRIN49.6 #260

NE52.4 #130

3-point %

PRIN33.9 #177

NE33.7 #187

3-point attempt rate

PRIN44.5 #78

NE37.8 #218

Free throw rate

PRIN34.6 #192

NE29.4 #324

Possessions

Turnover rate

PRIN17.1 #216

NE16.3 #159

Offensive rebound rate

PRIN27.2 #287

NE27.3 #286

Assists per game

PRIN12.5 #254

NE15.3 #75

Defense

Points allowed

PRIN72.4 #114

NE80.9 #331

Points allowed per possession

PRIN1.11 #242

NE1.16 #335

Opponent effective FG%

PRIN52.0 #209

NE56.4 #351

Opponent 3-point %

PRIN31.1 #36

NE35.8 #297

Turnovers forced

PRIN14.2 #328

NE16.8 #163

Defensive rebound rate

PRIN71.5 #82

NE69.8 #169

Steals per game

PRIN4.6 #349

NE7.0 #131

Blocks per game

PRIN2.1 #341

NE3.0 #229

PRIN		NE
Scoring
67.5 #324	Points per game	74.9 #168
1.04 #268	Points per possession	1.07 #210
65.0 #344	Pace (possessions)	69.9 #120
Shooting
49.6 #260	Effective FG%	52.4 #130
33.9 #177	3-point %	33.7 #187
44.5 #78	3-point attempt rate	37.8 #218
34.6 #192	Free throw rate	29.4 #324
Possessions
17.1 #216	Turnover rate	16.3 #159
27.2 #287	Offensive rebound rate	27.3 #286
12.5 #254	Assists per game	15.3 #75
Defense
72.4 #114	Points allowed	80.9 #331
1.11 #242	Points allowed per possession	1.16 #335
52.0 #209	Opponent effective FG%	56.4 #351
31.1 #36	Opponent 3-point %	35.8 #297
14.2 #328	Turnovers forced	16.8 #163
71.5 #82	Defensive rebound rate	69.8 #169
4.6 #349	Steals per game	7.0 #131
2.1 #341	Blocks per game	3.0 #229

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Princeton

8-20 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26

L@ Yale53–78
Wvs Dartmouth82–61
Lvs Harvard56–58
L@ Brown71–80
Lvs Columbia65–75

A week or more of rest.

Northeastern

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Drexel77–84
Wvs NC A&T88–72
Lvs Monmouth83–89
L@ Hampton65–76
L@ William & Mary77–84

A week or more of rest.

Princeton Tigers at Northeastern Huskies

What could decide it: PRIN has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Princeton

Northeastern

Princeton has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Princeton

Northeastern