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  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. NE @ UVM
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

Northeastern Huskies at Vermont Catamounts

Patrick Gymnasium · at Vermont
#228NENortheastern
@
#186UVMVermont
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NEThis seasonUVM
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects UVM 76–72 · win probability UVM 64%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: UVM has more of the edges

NE 0, UVM 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
NE has played the 185th-hardest schedule, UVM the 325th. A record against a soft schedule means less
UVMBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: NE 52.4 and allows 56.4; UVM 53.1 and allows 50.4
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: NE plays 69.9 a game (120th fastest), UVM 65.2 (342nd). Faster games mean more points
UVMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: NE 29.4, UVM 31.1. Allowed: NE 41.9, UVM 36.4
UVMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NE 27.3%, UVM 26.2%. Defensive: NE 69.8%, UVM 77.0%
UVMSmall
NE offense vs UVM defense
Offense 194th of 366 against a defense 134th, on the model’s ratings
UVMSmall
Home court
UVM at home. This season: UVM 0-0 at home, NE 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NE 43%, UVM 31%. Transfers in: NE 3, UVM 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NE 16.3%, UVM 14.3%. Forced: NE 16.8%, UVM 14.8%
Even
Three-pointers
NE hits 33.7% and allows 35.8%; UVM hits 33.3% and allows 35.3%. Threes are 37.8% and 44.6% of their shots
Even
UVM offense vs NE defense
Offense 264th of 366 against a defense 263rd, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—UVM -4.0—
Total—147.3—
Projected score—NE 71.6 · UVM 75.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadUVM -2.3—
1H total68.9—
1H projected scoreNE 33.3 · UVM 35.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Northeastern has the better starters

Position by position: Northeastern 2, Vermont 1, even 2
NortheasternBetterVermont
G M. Loughnane10.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.8 ast Score 45
NESmall
G D. Yepdo TR10.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.3 ast Score 24
G R. King TR5.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 46
NESmall
G J. Broom TR2 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.4 ast Score 14
G M. Newton5.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Nkugwa2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 31
G R. Williams7.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 89
Even
F G. Yalden16.1 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 96
C P. Pinter3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 5
UVMBig
F N. Barnett5.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 41
NortheasternBetterVermont
NE offense194th of 366 · -6.0
UVMSmall
UVM defense134th of 366 · -2.5
NE defense263rd of 366 · -6.8
Even
UVM offense264th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-0.9 · 4 players
NEBig
Backcourt-5.2 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
UVMBig
Frontcourt+3.3 · 2 players
Bench-1.8 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestNE betterUVM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Northeastern
Guards
M. Loughnane31 minR. King19 min · TRM. Newton17 minR. Williams15 minL. Bond14 min · TRD. GrosberNew
Forwards
B. Young5 min · TRJ. IcitovicNewD. JungNewS. BaptisteNew
Centers
P. Pinter14 minL. Koelsch9 min
Vermont
Guards
D. Yepdo32 min · TRJ. Broom15 min · TRM. Nkugwa13 minD. Glazkov13 min · TRK. Badru10 min · TRS. Clemons2 min
Forwards
G. Yalden26 minN. Barnett22 minM. BrunettoNewM. MasicNewS. GbiegbaNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NEUVM
Scoring
74.9 #168Points per game72.1 #237
1.07 #210Points per possession1.11 #124
69.9 #120Pace (possessions)65.2 #342
Shooting
52.4 #130Effective FG%53.1 #95
33.7 #1873-point %33.3 #208
37.8 #2183-point attempt rate44.6 #77
29.4 #324Free throw rate31.1 #279
Possessions
16.3 #159Turnover rate14.3 #34
27.3 #286Offensive rebound rate26.2 #318
15.3 #75Assists per game12.3 #266
Defense
80.9 #331Points allowed68.8 #44
1.16 #335Points allowed per possession1.05 #96
56.4 #351Opponent effective FG%50.4 #121
35.8 #297Opponent 3-point %35.3 #267
16.8 #163Turnovers forced14.8 #307
69.8 #169Defensive rebound rate77.0 #2
7.0 #131Steals per game4.5 #354
3.0 #229Blocks per game2.7 #279
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Northeastern

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drexel77–84
  • Wvs NC A&T88–72
  • Lvs Monmouth83–89
  • L@ Hampton65–76
  • L@ William & Mary77–84

A week or more of rest.

Vermont

20-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ UMBC59–74
  • Wvs NJIT63–54
  • Wvs Bryant77–57
  • Wvs UAlbany69–56
  • Wvs UMass Lowell66–64

A week or more of rest.