1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. PRIN @ LIU
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Princeton Tigers at Long Island University Sharks

Brooklyn Athletic Center · at Long Island
#135PRINPrinceton
@
#324LIULong Island
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRINThis seasonLIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRIN 73–67 · win probability PRIN 70%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 140.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

PRIN 3, LIU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PRINBig
LIU offense vs PRIN defense
Offense 339th of 366 against a defense 115th, on the model’s ratings
PRINBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRIN 100%, LIU 6%. Transfers in: PRIN 0, LIU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
PRIN has played the 137th-hardest schedule, LIU the 290th. A record against a soft schedule means less
LIUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRIN 49.6 and allows 52.0; LIU 52.8 and allows 50.0
PRINSmall
PRIN offense vs LIU defense
Offense 177th of 366 against a defense 283rd, on the model’s ratings
LIUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRIN 17.1%, LIU 19.0%. Forced: PRIN 14.2%, LIU 18.7%
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: PRIN plays 65.0 a game (344th fastest), LIU 68.5 (206th). Faster games mean more points
LIUSmall
Home court
LIU at home. This season: LIU 0-0 at home, PRIN 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
PRIN hits 33.9% and allows 31.1%; LIU hits 35.8% and allows 32.2%. Threes are 44.5% and 29.3% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRIN 34.6, LIU 34.0. Allowed: PRIN 34.0, LIU 34.7
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRIN 27.2%, LIU 33.9%. Defensive: PRIN 71.5%, LIU 67.0%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PRIN -6.1—
Total—140.1—
Projected score—PRIN 73.1 · LIU 67

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPRIN -3.8—
1H total65.6—
1H projected scorePRIN 34.7 · LIU 30.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Princeton has the better starters

Position by position: Princeton 3, Long Island 0, even 2
PrincetonBetterLong Island
G J. Hicke15.8 pts · 5.2 reb · 2.4 ast Score 85
PRINBig
G J. Pickett TR5.7 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.2 ast Score 2
G J. Stanton11.1 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.7 ast Score 64
PRINBig
G K. Jones TR4.4 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 13
G L. Clark6.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.9 ast Score 29
No call
G D. Davis TR0.7 pts · 0.3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
G D. Davis14.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.2 ast Score 69
No call
G D. Jean-Charles TR0.8 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
F M. Abdullahi9.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
PRINSmall
F J. Johnson TR6.5 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 33
PrincetonBetterLong Island
PRIN offense177th of 366 · -5.5
PRINSmall
LIU defense283rd of 366 · -7.1
PRIN defense115th of 366 · -1.5
PRINBig
LIU offense339th of 366 · -11.1
Backcourt+0.9 · 4 players
PRINBig
Backcourt-6.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.8 · 1 player
Bench-4.6 · 5 players
LIUSmall
Bench-1.6 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestPRIN betterLIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Princeton
Guards
J. Hicke35 minJ. Stanton32 minL. Clark29 minD. Davis28 minS. Whitfield12 minP. Seals8 min
Forwards
M. Abdullahi29 minJ. Huggins22 minC. Happy19 minJ. Hammond7 minC. McSweeney5 minW. Kutzler1 min
Centers
W. HiggsNew
Long Island
Guards
J. Pickett27 min · TRK. Jones11 min · TRD. Davis9 min · TRD. Jean-Charles9 min · TRM. Ndlovu-Fraser8 minV. AlletteNew
Forwards
J. Johnson15 min · TRJ. Howard7 min · TRX. Li4 minM. BewleyNewR. BewleyNewT. BowlesNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRINLIU
Scoring
67.5 #324Points per game73.6 #214
1.04 #268Points per possession1.08 #185
65.0 #344Pace (possessions)68.5 #206
Shooting
49.6 #260Effective FG%52.8 #112
33.9 #1773-point %35.8 #67
44.5 #783-point attempt rate29.3 #354
34.6 #192Free throw rate34.0 #207
Possessions
17.1 #216Turnover rate19.0 #320
27.2 #287Offensive rebound rate33.9 #70
12.5 #254Assists per game13.7 #170
Defense
72.4 #114Points allowed71.7 #99
1.11 #242Points allowed per possession1.04 #80
52.0 #209Opponent effective FG%50.0 #102
31.1 #36Opponent 3-point %32.2 #72
14.2 #328Turnovers forced18.7 #61
71.5 #82Defensive rebound rate67.0 #299
4.6 #349Steals per game7.8 #56
2.1 #341Blocks per game5.4 #9
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Princeton

8-20 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Yale53–78
  • Wvs Dartmouth82–61
  • Lvs Harvard56–58
  • L@ Brown71–80
  • Lvs Columbia65–75

A week or more of rest.

Long Island

24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 18-3 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arizona58–92
  • Wvs Mercyhurst79–70
  • Wvs Wagner64–56
  • Wvs Chicago St79–75
  • Wvs FDU74–60

A week or more of rest.