1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 9
  3. NE @ BC
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 9

Northeastern Huskies at Boston College Eagles

Conte Forum · at Boston College
#228NENortheastern
@
#95BCBoston College
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NEThis seasonBC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BC 83–67 · win probability BC 92%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BC has more of the edges

NE 1, BC 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BCBig
BC offense vs NE defense
Offense 96th of 366 against a defense 263rd, on the model’s ratings
BCBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: NE 29.4, BC 32.4. Allowed: NE 41.9, BC 34.6
BCBig
NE offense vs BC defense
Offense 194th of 366 against a defense 83rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NE has played the 185th-hardest schedule, BC the 79th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NE 43%, BC 1%. Transfers in: NE 3, BC 11. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: NE plays 69.9 a game (120th fastest), BC 67.5 (257th). Faster games mean more points
BCSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NE 27.3%, BC 28.3%. Defensive: NE 69.8%, BC 71.4%
BCSmall
Home court
BC at home. This season: BC 0-0 at home, NE 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NE 16.3%, BC 15.4%. Forced: NE 16.8%, BC 14.8%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NE 52.4 and allows 56.4; BC 47.0 and allows 48.9
Even
Three-pointers
NE hits 33.7% and allows 35.8%; BC hits 29.4% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 37.8% and 42.4% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BC -16.2—
Total—150.6—
Projected score—NE 67.2 · BC 83.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBC -9.5—
1H total70.4—
1H projected scoreNE 30.4 · BC 40—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Boston College has the better starters

Position by position: Northeastern 0, Boston College 2, even 3
NortheasternBetterBoston College
G M. Loughnane10.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 3.8 ast Score 45
BCSmall
G E. Shelton TR15.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 65
G R. King TR5.8 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 46
Even
G A. Zeigler TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.3 ast Score 60
G M. Newton5.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Williams TR21.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 96
G R. Williams7.4 pts · 1.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 89
Even
F B. Benjamin TR14.2 pts · 10.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
C P. Pinter3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 5
BCBig
F A. Bukumirovic TR13.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1 ast Score 86
NortheasternBetterBoston College
NE offense194th of 366 · -6.0
BCSmall
BC defense83rd of 366 · +0.1
NE defense263rd of 366 · -6.8
BCBig
BC offense96th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-0.9 · 4 players
BCBig
Backcourt+4.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.0 · 1 player
BCBig
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
Bench-1.8 · 3 players
NESmall
Bench-4.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestNE betterBC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Northeastern
Guards
M. Loughnane31 minR. King19 min · TRM. Newton17 minR. Williams15 minL. Bond14 min · TRD. GrosberNew
Forwards
B. Young5 min · TRJ. IcitovicNewD. JungNewS. BaptisteNew
Centers
P. Pinter14 minL. Koelsch9 min
Boston College
Guards
E. Shelton37 min · TRA. Zeigler33 min · TRM. Williams32 min · TRJ. Frankel21 min · TRJ. O'Toole3 min · TRJ. Furphy3 min · TR
Forwards
B. Benjamin31 min · TRA. Bukumirovic30 min · TRC. Duggan28 min · TRL. Hunger19 min · TRA. Tounkara18 min · TRJ. BaileyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NEBC
Scoring
74.9 #168Points per game67.4 #326
1.07 #210Points per possession1.00 #323
69.9 #120Pace (possessions)67.5 #257
Shooting
52.4 #130Effective FG%47.0 #338
33.7 #1873-point %29.4 #348
37.8 #2183-point attempt rate42.4 #130
29.4 #324Free throw rate32.4 #251
Possessions
16.3 #159Turnover rate15.4 #102
27.3 #286Offensive rebound rate28.3 #254
15.3 #75Assists per game11.3 #323
Defense
80.9 #331Points allowed70.7 #70
1.16 #335Points allowed per possession1.04 #81
56.4 #351Opponent effective FG%48.9 #62
35.8 #297Opponent 3-point %31.9 #59
16.8 #163Turnovers forced14.8 #303
69.8 #169Defensive rebound rate71.4 #87
7.0 #131Steals per game4.8 #341
3.0 #229Blocks per game4.1 #62
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Northeastern

7-24 in 2025-26 overall · 3-17 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drexel77–84
  • Wvs NC A&T88–72
  • Lvs Monmouth83–89
  • L@ Hampton65–76
  • L@ William & Mary77–84

A week or more of rest.

Boston College

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Notre Dame77–69
  • L@ Virginia Tech63–72
  • L@ Miami54–76
  • Wvs Wake Forest68–67
  • L@ SMU70–94

A week or more of rest.