1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. GW @ BC
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

George Washington Revolutionaries at Boston College Eagles

Conte Forum · at Boston College
#101GWG Washington
@
#95BCBoston College
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
GWThis seasonBC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BC 76–71 · win probability BC 66%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GW has more of the edges

GW 3, BC 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: GW 35.8%, BC 28.3%. Defensive: GW 71.3%, BC 71.4%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: GW plays 70.2 a game (107th fastest), BC 67.5 (257th). Faster games mean more points
GWSmall
Three-pointers
GW hits 35.1% and allows 33.9%; BC hits 29.4% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 47.0% and 42.4% of their shots
GWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: GW 54.4 and allows 52.4; BC 47.0 and allows 48.9
BCSmall
Home court
BC at home. This season: BC 0-0 at home, GW 0-0 away
Even
GW offense vs BC defense
Offense 112th of 366 against a defense 83rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: GW 34.9, BC 32.4. Allowed: GW 35.0, BC 34.6
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: GW 13%, BC 1%. Transfers in: GW 9, BC 11. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
GW has played the 95th-hardest schedule, BC the 79th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: GW 18.1%, BC 15.4%. Forced: GW 17.8%, BC 14.8%
Even
BC offense vs GW defense
Offense 96th of 366 against a defense 95th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BC -4.7—
Total—146.9—
Projected score—GW 71.1 · BC 75.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBC -2.6—
1H total68.7—
1H projected scoreGW 33 · BC 35.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Boston College has the better starters

Position by position: G Washington 0, Boston College 5, even 0
G WashingtonBetterBoston College
G A. Phillips TR13.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 50
BCSmall
G E. Shelton TR15.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 65
G O. Witherspoon TR7.5 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast Score 34
BCSmall
G A. Zeigler TR12.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.3 ast Score 60
G J. Aranguren8.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 3.2 ast Score 70
BCSmall
G M. Williams TR21.6 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.5 ast Score 96
G F. Kossaras TR4.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.4 ast Score 37
BCBig
F B. Benjamin TR14.2 pts · 10.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 89
F A. Shaw TR4.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 48
BCBig
F A. Bukumirovic TR13.7 pts · 7.7 reb · 1 ast Score 86
G WashingtonBetterBoston College
GW offense112th of 366 · -1.9
Even
BC defense83rd of 366 · +0.1
GW defense95th of 366 · -0.5
Even
BC offense96th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-2.8 · 4 players
BCBig
Backcourt+4.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
BCBig
Frontcourt+5.8 · 2 players
Bench-0.5 · 5 players
GWBig
Bench-4.5 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestGW betterBC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
G Washington
Guards
A. Phillips34 min · TRO. Witherspoon28 min · TRJ. Aranguren24 minF. Kossaras16 min · TRT. Arceneaux16 min · TRA. Arrington1 min
Forwards
A. Shaw26 min · TRA. Vukovic15 min · TRD. James15 min · TRM. Arrington14 min · TRR. Frost7 min · TRL. UrbihaNew
Boston College
Guards
E. Shelton37 min · TRA. Zeigler33 min · TRM. Williams32 min · TRJ. Frankel21 min · TRJ. O'Toole3 min · TRJ. Furphy3 min · TR
Forwards
B. Benjamin31 min · TRA. Bukumirovic30 min · TRC. Duggan28 min · TRL. Hunger19 min · TRA. Tounkara18 min · TRJ. BaileyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
GWBC
Scoring
80.9 #46Points per game67.4 #326
1.15 #63Points per possession1.00 #323
70.2 #107Pace (possessions)67.5 #257
Shooting
54.4 #55Effective FG%47.0 #338
35.1 #1063-point %29.4 #348
47.0 #333-point attempt rate42.4 #130
34.9 #184Free throw rate32.4 #251
Possessions
18.1 #276Turnover rate15.4 #102
35.8 #26Offensive rebound rate28.3 #254
15.4 #69Assists per game11.3 #323
Defense
75.2 #195Points allowed70.7 #70
1.08 #149Points allowed per possession1.04 #81
52.4 #234Opponent effective FG%48.9 #62
33.9 #175Opponent 3-point %31.9 #59
17.8 #110Turnovers forced14.8 #303
71.3 #91Defensive rebound rate71.4 #87
7.2 #103Steals per game4.8 #341
3.5 #142Blocks per game4.1 #62
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

G Washington

18-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ New Mexico61–86
  • W@ Utah Valley79–78
  • Lvs Saint Louis81–88
  • Wvs Fordham66–62
  • L@ Loyola Chicago62–68

A week or more of rest.

Boston College

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 4-14 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Notre Dame77–69
  • L@ Virginia Tech63–72
  • L@ Miami54–76
  • Wvs Wake Forest68–67
  • L@ SMU70–94

A week or more of rest.