Charles E. Smith Center · at G Washington · Conference game
Closing line
GW -10.5✓ GW covered by 5.5
GW -10.5✓ GW covered by 5.5Closing total159.5Under by 5.5
 RICH | This season | GW |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 11-7 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 9-9 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RICH 75–84 GW · ✓ GW (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 32 | 37 | 69 |
| GW | 52 | 33 | 85 |
1st half: RICH 32, GW 52 (GW by 20). The model had GW by 5.5 and a total of 74.2 (actual 84).
Team stats
| RICH | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 15-33 45% |
| 14-14 100% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Argabright G | 33 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| AJ Lopez G | 30 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Will Johnston G | 29 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Mike Walz C | 24 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| David Thomas G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Will Harper III G | 20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Donovan Richardson, Dylan Homenick, Bryson McGlothin, Kirby Mooney, Collin Tanner, Jonathan Beagle
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Jones G | 29 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Trey Autry G | 29 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Rafael Castro F | 28 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Johnson F | 19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Tre Dinkins G | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Luke Hunger F | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jalen Rougier-Roane, Mohamed Binzagr, Amir Arrington, Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Trey Moss
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -8.5
2 → GW
CloseGW -10.5
2 pts toward GW
Total
Open160.5
▼ 1
Close159.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
RICH +410 · GW -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -8.5 · closed GW -10.5 · moved 2 toward GWmodel GW -9.5
model GW -9.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 1 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GW -10.5 | GW -9.5 | RICH +1.0 | L GW covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 158.6 | Under 0.9 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | RICH 74.5 · GW 84 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GW -5.5 | GW -20.0 |
| 1H total | 74.2 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | RICH 34.4 · GW 39.9 | RICH 32 · GW 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| GW | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
RICH 5–3 GWRICH leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · GW has won the last 2 meetings · RICH 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | GW 99 @ RICH 85 | RICH +2.5 | GW W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | RICH 66 @ GW 75 | GW -8.5 | GW W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | GW 61 @ RICH 66 | RICH +2.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | RICH 90 @ GW 74 | GW +5.5 | RICH W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | GW 74 @ RICH 82 | RICH -7.5 | RICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Richmond
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs W&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vs ODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 31 | vsGW | L 85-99 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 4 | @ FOR | W 83-75 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | @ SBU | W 89-80 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 11 | vs JOES | L 65-67 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 14 | vs LAS | W 74-53 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 17 | @ SLU | L 63-88 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vs URI | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
−11.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+5.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−9.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
+12.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−10.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
31
vsGW
GWL 85-99
+21.5
4
@FOR
FORW 83-75
+15.5
7
@SBU
SBUW 89-80
+15.5
11
vsJOES
JOESL 65-67
−18.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 74-53
−20.5
17
@SLU
SLUL 63-88
−11.5
21
vsURI
URIL 68-69
−7.5
over 9under 10avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
G Washington
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
9-9
50% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ME | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | vs USF | W 99-95 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs AMER | W 107-67 | -17.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vsODU | W 96-73 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs UMBC | W 89-52 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | vs MCN | L 86-92 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MTSU | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MUR | L 95-96 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARMY | W 84-70 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vsW&M | W 99-86 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 10 | vs DEL | L 58-70 | -21.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs FLA | L 70-80 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 31 | @RICH | W 99-85 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 162.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | vsLAS | W 77-55 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ DAY | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs LUC | W 101-66 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vs DAV | L 79-84 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 19 | @ GMU | L 64-69 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
−11.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+3.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
−8.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−5.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
−0.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−33.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
+4.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+11.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
+5.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−4.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+20.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
−14.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
+20.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+12.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
+23.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−2.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
+10.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−24.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
−12.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 99-85
+21.5
3
vsLAS
LASW 77-55
−18.5
6
@DAY
DAYL 72-79
−3.5
10
vsLUC
LUCW 101-66
+12.5
14
vsDAV
DAVL 79-84
+12.5
19
@GMU
GMUL 64-69
−20.5
over 10under 8avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Richmond
12-7 overall · 3-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Rhode Island68–69
- L@ Saint Louis63–88
- Wvs La Salle74–53
- Lvs Saint Joseph's65–67
- W@ St Bonaventure89–80
3 days since their last game.
G Washington
11-7 overall · 3-3 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ George Mason64–69
- Lvs Davidson79–84
- Wvs Loyola Chicago101–66
- L@ Dayton72–79
- Wvs La Salle77–55
5 days since their last game.