1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 20
  3. CCU @ TENN
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 20

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Tennessee Volunteers

Food City Center · at Tennessee
#283CCUCoastal
@
#7TENNTennessee AP #8
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CCUThis seasonTENN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TENN 93–56 · win probability TENN 100%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 148.9
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TENN has more of the edges

CCU 0, TENN 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
CCU has played the 301st-hardest schedule, TENN the 7th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TENNBig
CCU offense vs TENN defense
Offense 295th of 366 against a defense 9th, on the model’s ratings
TENNBig
TENN offense vs CCU defense
Offense 9th of 366 against a defense 246th, on the model’s ratings
TENNBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CCU 26.9%, TENN 44.7%. Defensive: CCU 72.4%, TENN 72.2%
TENNSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: CCU 47.9 and allows 46.8; TENN 51.4 and allows 47.8
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: CCU plays 69.9 a game (121st fastest), TENN 68.1 (226th). Faster games mean more points
TENNSmall
Home court
TENN at home. This season: TENN 0-0 at home, CCU 0-0 away
TENNSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CCU 32.3, TENN 37.4. Allowed: CCU 34.9, TENN 36.3
Even
Three-pointers
CCU hits 33.5% and allows 32.8%; TENN hits 33.4% and allows 30.5%. Threes are 43.1% and 32.1% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CCU 21%, TENN 13%. Transfers in: CCU 6, TENN 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CCU 15.3%, TENN 17.4%. Forced: CCU 12.3%, TENN 16.1%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TENN -37.1—
Total—148.9—
Projected score—CCU 55.9 · TENN 93

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTENN -22.0—
1H total69.6—
1H projected scoreCCU 23.8 · TENN 45.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Tennessee has the better starters

Position by position: Coastal 0, Tennessee 5, even 0
CoastalBetterTennessee
G T. Thompson3.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 15
TENNBig
G J. Harris TR21.4 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 99
G D. Washington TR4.5 pts · 2 reb · 1.6 ast Score 25
TENNBig
G T. Lundblade TR15.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 63
G T. Perry TR4.7 pts · 1.5 reb · 1 ast Score 38
TENNBig
G D. Dai Ames TR17 pts · 2 reb · 2.1 ast Score 83
G D. Craig4.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.2 ast Score 31
TENNSmall
F B. Lue TR10.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.3 ast Score 53
F A. Hardaway TR5.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44
TENNBig
C M. Rubin TR11.3 pts · 7.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 83
CoastalBetterTennessee
CCU offense295th of 366 · -9.1
TENNBig
TENN defense9th of 366 · +8.2
CCU defense246th of 366 · -6.5
TENNBig
TENN offense9th of 366 · +10.4
Backcourt-4.7 · 4 players
TENNBig
Backcourt+8.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
TENNBig
Frontcourt+3.1 · 2 players
Bench-1.9 · 4 players
TENNBig
Bench+11.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCCU betterTENN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Coastal
Guards
T. Thompson20 minD. Washington15 min · TRT. Perry13 min · TRD. Craig12 minJ. Cross6 min · TRJ. AlstonNew
Forwards
A. Hardaway20 min · TRD. Green11 minD. Fuquay8 min · TRF. BighamNewJ. BuzzardNew
Centers
C. Middleton10 min · TR
Tennessee
Guards
J. Harris35 min · TRT. Lundblade35 min · TRD. Dai Ames32 min · TRJ. Haralson27 min · TRT. Hill25 min · TRT. Henderson7 min
Forwards
B. Lue27 min · TRJ. Washington21 min · TRD. Brown15 minC. Fermin13 min · TRC. WashingtonNewR. ScottNew
Centers
M. Rubin30 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CCUTENN
Scoring
71.8 #251Points per game78.8 #81
1.03 #290Points per possession1.16 #49
69.9 #121Pace (possessions)68.1 #226
Shooting
47.9 #314Effective FG%51.4 #174
33.5 #1963-point %33.4 #201
43.1 #1133-point attempt rate32.1 #328
32.3 #254Free throw rate37.4 #115
Possessions
15.3 #84Turnover rate17.4 #227
26.9 #296Offensive rebound rate44.7 #1
9.9 #359Assists per game17.1 #24
Defense
73.5 #143Points allowed69.6 #58
1.05 #88Points allowed per possession1.02 #43
46.8 #18Opponent effective FG%47.8 #37
32.8 #105Opponent 3-point %30.5 #21
12.3 #364Turnovers forced16.1 #215
72.4 #52Defensive rebound rate72.2 #61
4.3 #360Steals per game7.3 #101
3.2 #187Blocks per game3.7 #114
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Coastal

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern72–96
  • W@ James Madison69–68
  • W@ Georgia St76–71
  • Wvs Marshall79–75
  • Lvs James Madison65–67

A week or more of rest.

Tennessee

25-12 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Michigan62–95
  • Wvs Iowa State76–62
  • Wvs Virginia79–72
  • Wvs Miami OH78–56
  • Lvs Vanderbilt68–75

A week or more of rest.