The HTC Center · at Coastal · Conference game
Closing line
MRSH -2.5✓ CCU covered by 6.5
MRSH -2.5✓ CCU covered by 6.5Closing total153.5Over by 0.5
| MRSH | This season | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-10 | Record | 15-12 |
| 9-18 | ATS | 15-12 |
| 16-11 | O/U | 14-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRSH 76–75 CCU · ✗ MRSH (54%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 24 | 51 | 75 |
| CCU | 36 | 43 | 79 |
1st half: MRSH 24, CCU 36 (CCU by 12). The model had MRSH by 0.8 and a total of 70.8 (actual 60).
Team stats
| MRSH | CCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-71 38% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 5-20 25% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 16-18 89% | Free throws | 24-34 71% |
| 42 13 off | Rebounds | 47 16 off |
| 8 | Assists | 7 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 10 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer G | 36 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 11-23 | 4-10 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 9-17 | 0-1 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 26 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Erich Harding F | 23 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Landen Joseph G | 22 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shamarrie Hugie G | 21 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Slay G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Drew Fuquay F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kai Spears G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaiden White, Will Moore, Grant Moore, Matt Van Komen
| CCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Jones G | 38 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 8-15 | 4-7 |
| Joshua Beadle G | 36 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4-16 | 1-5 |
| AJ Dancler G | 33 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Nadjrick Peat F | 32 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Reggie Hill F | 26 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tristan Thompson G | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| DaJohn Craig G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Derrick Green F | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jerry Ngopot F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Charles Dunlap, Devin Brown, Jackson Keil, Braeden MacVicar, Connor Martin, Andre Mulibea
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRSH -2.5
ModelMRSH -1.2
Model edgeCCU +1.3
W CCU covered
Total
Market153.5
Model151.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
L Over
Projected score
MRSH 76.3 · CCU 75.1
MRSH 75 · CCU 79
Win probability
MRSH 54%
1st half
Spread
MRSH -0.8
CCU -12.0
Total
70.8
60 points
Projected score
MRSH 35.8 · CCU 35
MRSH 24 · CCU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRSH -2.5
no move
CloseMRSH -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MRSH -148 · CCU +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRSH -2.5 · unchangedmodel MRSH -1
model MRSH -1
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| CCU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MRSH 5–2 CCUMRSH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MRSH 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | CCU 85 @ MRSH 83 | MRSH -9.5 | CCU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | CCU 62 @ MRSH 67 | MRSH -11.5 | CCU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | MRSH 77 @ CCU 64 | CCU +3.5 | MRSH W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MRSH 67 @ CCU 74 | CCU +4.5 | CCU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | CCU 74 @ MRSH 91 | MRSH -10.5 | MRSH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marshall
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
9-18
33% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MASS | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | @ TOL | W 85-73 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 12 | vs ELON | W 96-89 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | @ UVA | L 78-104 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | vs UAPB | W 98-70 | -20.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs MERC | W 69-60 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIP | L 67-90 | -7.5 | L −30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 3 | @ UNCW | L 69-70 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ OHIO | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | vs WKU | W 77-61 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 13 | vs WRST | W 76-74 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ TROY | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs GAST | W 84-80 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs APP | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | @ JMU | W 66-64 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | @GAST | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vsCCU | L 83-85 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | vsJMU | W 77-72 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs ULM | W 115-60 | -18.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 28 | @ TXST | L 68-72 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | @ ARST | W 70-61 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 165.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 4 | vs USM | W 81-77 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | vs M-OH | L 74-90 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 162.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | @ ODU | W 81-79 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ GASO | L 87-101 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 16 | vs USA | W 84-80 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 19 | @APP | W 94-93 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
+10.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
+14.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
−1.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
−5.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−2.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−30.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
+7.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
−3.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
+14.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
−1.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−2.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
−9.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
−0.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
+3.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
−12.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
−11.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−1.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+36.5
28
@TXST
TXSTL 68-72
−7.5
31
@ARST
ARSTW 70-61
+12.5
4
vsUSM
USMW 81-77
−6.5
7
vsM-OH
M-OHL 74-90
−14.5
11
@ODU
ODUW 81-79
−1.5
14
@GASO
GASOL 87-101
−16.5
16
vsUSA
USAW 84-80
−2.5
19
@APP
APPW 94-93
+4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 18avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
−2.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
−2.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
+29.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
+26.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+3.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−18.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−0.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
−11.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
+11.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
−21.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
+0.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−22.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
+12.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
+27.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
−22.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
+0.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
+16.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−0.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+14.5
28
@TXST
TXSTL 68-72
−7.5
31
@ARST
ARSTW 70-61
−34.5
4
vsUSM
USMW 81-77
+9.5
7
vsM-OH
M-OHL 74-90
+1.5
11
@ODU
ODUW 81-79
+4.5
14
@GASO
GASOL 87-101
+25.5
16
vsUSA
USAW 84-80
+13.5
19
@APP
APPW 94-93
+43.5
over 16under 11avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Coastal
27 games played
Straight up
15-12
56% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WMU | L 71-76 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIN | W 72-66 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ JXST | L 67-74 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 21 | @ WIU | W 84-64 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs UND | W 75-58 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ ILST | L 42-94 | +12.5 | L −39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs AAMU | W 67-60 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | @ UPST | L 78-85 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @WIN | W 88-84 | +16.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ GCU | L 61-82 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 18 | @APP | L 49-67 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ODU | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | @ JOES | W 68-62 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 1 | vsGASO | L 81-82 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vsGAST | L 71-89 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsODU | L 66-70 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | vsAPP | W 67-62 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 14 | @MRSH | W 85-83 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | @GASO | W 79-75 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vsTXST | W 72-70 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | vsUSM | W 85-67 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | @USA | L 48-53 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Feb 1 | @ULM | W 83-79 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 4 | vsARST | L 66-70 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsMASS | W 94-91 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 12 | @ UL | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
| Feb 18 | vsJMU | L 65-67 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
−2.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
+8.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+0.5
21
@WIU
WIUW 84-64
+16.5
22
vsUND
UNDW 75-58
+13.5
23
@ILST
ILSTL 42-94
−39.5
30
vsAAMU
AAMUW 67-60
−0.5
3
@UPST
UPSTL 78-85
−4.5
6
@WIN
WINW 88-84
+20.5
13
@GCU
GCUL 61-82
−3.5
18
@APP
APPL 49-67
−13.5
20
@ODU
ODUW 76-74
+5.5
22
@JOES
JOESW 68-62
+13.5
1
vsGASO
GASOL 81-82
−2.5
3
vsGAST
GASTL 71-89
−24.5
8
vsODU
ODUL 66-70
−8.5
10
vsAPP
APPW 67-62
+6.5
14
@MRSH
MRSHW 85-83
+11.5
17
@GASO
GASOW 79-75
+10.5
22
vsTXST
TXSTW 72-70
+0.5
24
vsUSM
USMW 85-67
+15.5
29
@USA
USAL 48-53
−1.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 83-79
−6.5
4
vsARST
ARSTL 66-70
+0.5
7
vsMASS
MASSW 94-91
+5.5
12
@UL
ULW 69-65
+2.5
18
vsJMU
JMUL 65-67
−0.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
+0.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
−27.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+1.5
21
@WIU
WIUW 84-64
+9.5
22
vsUND
UNDW 75-58
−14.5
23
@ILST
ILSTL 42-94
−10.5
30
vsAAMU
AAMUW 67-60
−13.5
3
@UPST
UPSTL 78-85
+18.5
6
@WIN
WINW 88-84
+18.5
13
@GCU
GCUL 61-82
−0.5
18
@APP
APPL 49-67
−21.5
20
@ODU
ODUW 76-74
+2.5
22
@JOES
JOESW 68-62
−14.5
1
vsGASO
GASOL 81-82
+5.5
3
vsGAST
GASTL 71-89
+11.5
8
vsODU
ODUL 66-70
−15.5
10
vsAPP
APPW 67-62
−4.5
14
@MRSH
MRSHW 85-83
+16.5
17
@GASO
GASOW 79-75
−3.5
22
vsTXST
TXSTW 72-70
+1.5
24
vsUSM
USMW 85-67
+10.5
29
@USA
USAL 48-53
−38.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 83-79
+15.5
4
vsARST
ARSTL 66-70
−15.5
7
vsMASS
MASSW 94-91
+37.5
12
@UL
ULW 69-65
+1.5
18
vsJMU
JMUL 65-67
−8.5
over 14under 13avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marshall
17-10 overall · 10-5 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ App State94–93
- Wvs South Alabama84–80
- L@ GA Southern87–101
- W@ Old Dominion81–79
- Lvs Miami OH74–90
2 days since their last game.
Coastal
15-12 overall · 8-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs James Madison65–67
- W@ Louisiana69–65
- Wvs UMass94–91
- Lvs Arkansas St66–70
- W@ UL Monroe83–79
3 days since their last game.