Cajundome · at Louisiana · Conference game
#103TXSTTexas St54final
Final
#221ULLouisiana67▲ winner
Closing lineTXST -3.5✓ UL covered by 16.5
Closing total134.5Under by 13.5
Season records: Texas St and Louisiana
TXSTThis seasonUL
16-11Record9-19
13-14ATS13-15
15-12O/U12-16

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: TXST 68–65 UL · ✗ TXST (61%) lost
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
TXST183654
UL343367

1st half: TXST 18, UL 34 (UL by 16). The model had TXST by 2.0 and a total of 62.1 (actual 52).

Team stats

TXSTUL
19-52 37%Field goals22-45 49%
2-12 17%3-pointers9-13 69%
14-18 78%Free throws14-19 74%
34 15 offRebounds26 7 off
6Assists9
5Steals7
3Blocks8
14Turnovers13
19Fouls18
28Points in paint20
4Fast-break points2

Players

TXSTMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Kaden Gumbs G359313-50-1
Kyndall Davis G335602-61-4
DJ Hall F3018727-140-0
Mark Drone G2310323-110-2
Tay Knox C162101-10-0
Bench
Franck Emmou G237312-61-2
Jalen Bolden G190300-40-2
Robert Fields C183301-50-1
Makai Willis C30000-00-0

Did not play: Deke Thompson, Ky Pernell, Dimp Pernell, Cameron Simpson, Jaelyn Lee, Isaiah Barganier

ULMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Dorian Finister G3515555-101-1
Todd Jones Jr. F298802-30-0
De'vion Lavergne G265112-91-2
Dariyus Woodson F2612204-44-4
Milan Mejia G213311-21-2
Bench
Jaxon Olvera G2720417-142-3
Karris Bilal G160000-10-1
Mike Collins G144111-10-0
Jeremiah Evans F40000-10-0
Kyran Ratliff F20000-00-0

Did not play: Rahman Olajuwon, Logan Myers, Joshua Lewis, Sean Elkinton, Michael Mouton, Christian Landry, Zeke Cook, Jamyron Keller

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Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward TXST
Total
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
TXST -170 · UL +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TXST -2.5 · closed TXST -3.5 · moved 1 toward TXSTmodel TXST -3
Opened 135.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 downmodel 132.5
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edgeResult
SpreadTXST -3.5TXST -3.1UL +0.4W UL covered
Total134.5132.4Under 2.1W Under
Projected score—TXST 67.8 · UL 64.7

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadTXST -2.0UL -16.0
1H total62.152
1H projected scoreTXST 32 · UL 30.1TXST 18 · UL 34

Texas St

16-11 overall · 10-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • W@ South Alabama90–82
  • Wvs UL Monroe95–84
  • Wvs Troy74–62
  • Wvs W Michigan77–61
  • W@ GA Southern77–71

2 days since their last game.

Louisiana

9-19 overall · 6-9 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas St62–79
  • L@ Old Dominion72–83
  • Lvs Coastal65–69
  • Wvs C Michigan85–80
  • W@ James Madison64–61

2 days since their last game.