Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · at Texas St · Conference game
Closing line
TROY -5.5✓ TXST covered by 17.5
TROY -5.5✓ TXST covered by 17.5Closing total140.5Under by 4.5
| TROY | This season | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| 15-8 | Record | 13-11 |
| 15-8 | ATS | 11-13 |
| 12-11 | O/U | 13-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TROY 77–72 TXST · ✗ TROY (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 29 | 33 | 62 |
| TXST | 36 | 38 | 74 |
1st half: TROY 29, TXST 36 (TXST by 7). The model had TROY by 2.8 and a total of 69.6 (actual 65).
Team stats
| TROY | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-47 36% | Field goals | 28-47 60% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 2-9 22% |
| 20-26 77% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 26 11 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 12 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd F | 37 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 35 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 31 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Victor Valdes F | 30 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-5 |
| Theo Seng F | 24 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Cross G | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Emmanuel Clarton, Javen Colbert, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow, Hikaru Awata, Evan Griffin, Kameryn Mitchell, Corbin Green
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone G | 38 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 35 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| DJ Hall F | 33 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 9-15 | 0-1 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Tay Knox C | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Bolden G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Robert Fields C | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Makai Willis C | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Franck Emmou G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Deke Thompson, Dimp Pernell, Ky Pernell, Cameron Simpson, Jaelyn Lee, Isaiah Barganier
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -5.5
no move
CloseTROY -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 1
Close140.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TROY -218 · TXST +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -5.5 · unchangedmodel TROY -4.5
model TROY -4.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TROY -5.5 | TROY -4.5 | TXST +1.0 | W TXST covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 148.7 | Over 8.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TROY 76.6 · TXST 72.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TROY -2.8 | TXST -7.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | TROY 36.2 · TXST 33.4 | TROY 29 · TXST 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| TXST | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
TROY 6–4 TXSTTROY leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · TROY has won the last 2 meetings · TROY 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | TXST 80 @ TROY 100 | TROY -8.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | TROY 74 @ TXST 69 | TXST +1.5 | TROY W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | TXST 74 @ TROY 73 | TROY -6.5 | TXST W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | TXST 74 vs TROY 68 | TROY -5.5 | TXST W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | TROY 79 @ TXST 82 | TXST +4.5 | TXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Troy
23 games played
Straight up
15-8
65% wins
Against the spread
15-8
65% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @ UAB | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs MRSH | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vsTXST | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs USA | W 59-49 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARST | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ UL | W 90-70 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | vs USM | W 91-65 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | vsARST | W 99-74 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 21 | @ ODU | W 83-77 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ GASO | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 29 | vs JMU | L 64-73 | -9.5 | L −18.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | vs APP | L 44-66 | -7.5 | L −29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | @ GAST | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vs AKR | W 79-69 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+7.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
+2.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+11.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
+0.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−7.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+10.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+17.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+21.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+0.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+0.5
29
vsJMU
JMUL 64-73
−18.5
31
vsAPP
APPL 44-66
−29.5
4
@GAST
GASTW 74-63
+4.5
7
vsAKR
AKRW 79-69
+12.5
covered 15didn’t cover 8avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+15.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
−22.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+34.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
−40.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−0.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+23.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+10.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+7.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+7.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+1.5
29
vsJMU
JMUL 64-73
−10.5
31
vsAPP
APPL 44-66
−27.5
4
@GAST
GASTW 74-63
−7.5
7
vsAKR
AKRW 79-69
−9.5
over 12under 11avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas St
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-11
54% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vsARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vsUSA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ ULM | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @USM | L 70-80 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ARST | L 82-83 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 14 | vsUL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSM | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @ CCU | L 70-72 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | @JMU | L 57-82 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 28 | vsMRSH | W 72-68 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vsODU | W 81-64 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 4 | @GASO | W 77-71 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs WMU | W 77-61 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
−5.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
−7.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+10.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−3.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+4.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
−0.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−19.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
+7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+14.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
+10.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
+9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
+12.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
+5.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+8.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−20.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+0.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
+1.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−4.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
−7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+1.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
−3.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
−8.5
over 13under 11avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Troy
15-8 overall · 9-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Akron79–69
- W@ Georgia St74–63
- Lvs App State44–66
- Lvs James Madison64–73
- W@ GA Southern83–78
4 days since their last game.
Texas St
13-11 overall · 7-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs W Michigan77–61
- W@ GA Southern77–71
- Wvs Old Dominion81–64
- Wvs Marshall72–68
- L@ James Madison57–82
4 days since their last game.