Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · at Texas St · Conference game
Closing line
TXST -14.5✓ ULM covered by 3.5
TXST -14.5✓ ULM covered by 3.5Closing total149.5Over by 29.5
 ULM | This season | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| 2-22 | Record | 14-11 |
| 12-11 | ATS | 12-13 |
| 17-6 | O/U | 13-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ULM 69–82 TXST · ✓ TXST (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 43 | 41 | 84 |
| TXST | 45 | 50 | 95 |
1st half: ULM 43, TXST 45 (TXST by 2). The model had TXST by 7.9 and a total of 70.7 (actual 88).
Team stats
| ULM | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-56 55% | Field goals | 41-64 64% |
| 10-18 56% | 3-pointers | 5-11 45% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 21 11 off | Rebounds | 31 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 22 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ULM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Russell G | 39 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-13 | 2-3 |
| Krystian Lewis G | 38 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 4-15 | 2-5 |
| Lavell Brodnex G | 36 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 11-14 | 2-4 |
| Ayomide Bamisile F | 28 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Diaz G | 26 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wiggy Ball G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Przemek Hartman C | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Alex Molofeev G | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Brady Craig, Alex Huguet, Cam Campbell, Ajay Tew, Renars Sondors, Micah Caster, Brentay Noel
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Hall F | 33 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 11-17 | 0-1 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Mark Drone G | 29 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 7-12 | 2-3 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 26 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Tay Knox C | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Bolden G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Franck Emmou G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Makai Willis C | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Robert Fields C | 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimp Pernell, Isaiah Barganier, Jaelyn Lee, Deke Thompson, Ky Pernell, Cameron Simpson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTXST -13.5
1 → TXST
CloseTXST -14.5
1 pt toward TXST
Total
Open148.5
▲ 1
Close149.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ULM +850 · TXST -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TXST -13.5 · closed TXST -14.5 · moved 1 toward TXSTmodel TXST -13.5
model TXST -13.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TXST -14.5 | TXST -13.4 | ULM +1.1 | W ULM covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 151.0 | Over 1.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ULM 68.8 · TXST 82.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TXST -7.9 | TXST -2.0 |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 88 |
| 1H projected score | ULM 31.4 · TXST 39.3 | ULM 43 · TXST 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ULM | 1-9 10% | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% |
| TXST | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ULM 2–7 TXSTTXST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · TXST has won the last 5 meetings · ULM 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | TXST 84 @ ULM 79 | ULM +10.5 | ULM W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | ULM 63 @ TXST 80 | TXST -12.5 | TXST W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | TXST 72 @ ULM 60 | ULM +8.5 | TXST W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | ULM 55 @ TXST 73 | TXST -5.5 | TXST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | TXST 67 @ ULM 54 | ULM +3.5 | TXST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UL Monroe
24 games played
Straight up
2-22
8% wins
Against the spread
12-11
52% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-6
74% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NIU | L 82-102 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ MISS | L 65-86 | +37.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 13 | @ HCU | L 61-72 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 17 | vs LAM | L 66-79 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs MORE | L 80-83 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 23 | @ ETSU | L 55-97 | +19.5 | L −22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | vs MVSU | W 66-52 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 7 | @ SFA | L 76-96 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ MIA | L 79-104 | +35.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 17 | vs USA | L 92-96 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs UL | L 62-76 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | @ KSU | L 85-94 | +32.5 | W +23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 1 | vs USM | L 73-87 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 3 | vsTXST | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @UL | L 79-85 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | @USM | L 60-70 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | vs GAST | L 57-77 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 22 | @ MRSH | L 60-115 | +18.5 | L −36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 23 | @ APP | L 43-59 | +16.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 30 | vs GASO | L 76-79 | — | — | — | — |
| Feb 1 | vs CCU | L 79-83 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 4 | @ ODU | W 85-79 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs BALL | L 68-73 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 11 | @ ARST | L 70-103 | +20.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
−12.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+16.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−2.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
−1.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+3.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
−22.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
+4.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
−0.5
13
@MIA
MIAL 79-104
+10.5
17
vsUSA
USAL 92-96
+5.5
20
vsUL
ULL 62-76
−12.5
28
@KSU
KSUL 85-94
+23.5
1
vsUSM
USML 73-87
−4.5
3
vsTXST
TXSTL 79-84
+5.5
8
@UL
ULL 79-85
+1.5
10
@USM
USML 60-70
+4.5
17
vsGAST
GASTL 57-77
−13.5
22
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-115
−36.5
23
@APP
APPL 43-59
+0.5
1
vsCCU
CCUL 79-83
+6.5
4
@ODU
ODUW 85-79
+20.5
7
vsBALL
BALLL 68-73
−0.5
11
@ARST
ARSTL 70-103
−12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 11avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NIU
NIUL 82-102
+36.5
7
@MISS
MISSL 65-86
+1.5
13
@HCU
HCUL 61-72
−10.5
17
vsLAM
LAML 66-79
+4.5
22
vsMORE
MOREL 80-83
+17.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-97
+5.5
3
vsMVSU
MVSUW 66-52
−31.5
7
@SFA
SFAL 76-96
+29.5
13
@MIA
MIAL 79-104
+29.5
17
vsUSA
USAL 92-96
+39.5
20
vsUL
ULL 62-76
+1.5
28
@KSU
KSUL 85-94
+9.5
1
vsUSM
USML 73-87
+7.5
3
vsTXST
TXSTL 79-84
+12.5
8
@UL
ULL 79-85
+24.5
10
@USM
USML 60-70
−25.5
17
vsGAST
GASTL 57-77
−21.5
22
@MRSH
MRSHL 60-115
+14.5
23
@APP
APPL 43-59
−42.5
1
vsCCU
CCUL 79-83
+15.5
4
@ODU
ODUW 85-79
+9.5
7
vsBALL
BALLL 68-73
−2.5
11
@ARST
ARSTL 70-103
+10.5
over 17under 6avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas St
25 games played
Straight up
14-11
56% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vsARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vsUSA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ULM | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @USM | L 70-80 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ARST | L 82-83 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 14 | vsUL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSM | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @CCU | L 70-72 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ JMU | L 57-82 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 28 | vsMRSH | W 72-68 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vsODU | W 81-64 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 4 | @GASO | W 77-71 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs WMU | W 77-61 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 11 | vsTROY | W 74-62 | +5.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
−5.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
−7.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+10.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−3.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+4.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
−0.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−19.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
+7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+14.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
+10.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
+9.5
11
vsTROY
TROYW 74-62
+17.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
+12.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
+5.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+8.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−20.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+0.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
+1.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−4.5
28
vsMRSH
MRSHW 72-68
−7.5
31
vsODU
ODUW 81-64
+1.5
4
@GASO
GASOW 77-71
−3.5
7
vsWMU
WMUW 77-61
−8.5
11
vsTROY
TROYW 74-62
−4.5
over 13under 12avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UL Monroe
2-22 overall · 1-12 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas St70–103
- Lvs Ball State68–73
- W@ Old Dominion85–79
- Lvs Coastal79–83
- Lvs GA Southern76–79
3 days since their last game.
Texas St
14-11 overall · 8-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Troy74–62
- Wvs W Michigan77–61
- W@ GA Southern77–71
- Wvs Old Dominion81–64
- Wvs Marshall72–68
3 days since their last game.