1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. PRST @ SIU
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Portland State Vikings at Southern Illinois Salukis

Banterra Center · at S Illinois
#274PRSTPortland St
@
#195SIUS Illinois
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRSTThis seasonSIU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIU 76–69 · win probability SIU 73%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIU has more of the edges

PRST 1, SIU 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
PRST has played the 322nd-hardest schedule, SIU the 139th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SIUSmall
PRST offense vs SIU defense
Offense 284th of 366 against a defense 181st, on the model’s ratings
SIUSmall
Home court
SIU at home. This season: SIU 0-0 at home, PRST 0-0 away
SIUSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRST 37.1, SIU 31.3. Allowed: PRST 42.8, SIU 31.4
PRSTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRST 50.5 and allows 48.8; SIU 49.1 and allows 49.0
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRST 6%, SIU 22%. Transfers in: PRST 4, SIU 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
PRST hits 32.6% and allows 32.3%; SIU hits 27.8% and allows 30.4%. Threes are 34.4% and 29.2% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: PRST plays 69.6 a game (140th fastest), SIU 70.6 (91st). Faster games mean more points
Even
SIU offense vs PRST defense
Offense 227th of 366 against a defense 244th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRST 16.9%, SIU 17.1%. Forced: PRST 18.0%, SIU 18.5%
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRST 30.0%, SIU 30.9%. Defensive: PRST 73.6%, SIU 72.7%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SIU -7.1—
Total—144.0—
Projected score—PRST 68.5 · SIU 75.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSIU -4.1—
1H total67.4—
1H projected scorePRST 31.6 · SIU 35.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

S Illinois has the better starters

Position by position: Portland St 0, S Illinois 1, even 4
Portland StBetterS Illinois
G E. Skytt TR3.4 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 26
SIUBig
G J. Haynes7.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.1 ast Score 71
G K. Johnson TR1.8 pts · 0.8 reb · 1.4 ast Score 39
No call
G C. Hawkins1.1 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
G C. Ness0.6 pts · 0.3 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F M. Pikaar1.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast Score 19
F B. Barron0.7 pts · 1.1 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Hill NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
C K. Ibekwe TR3.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34
No call
C J. Webber1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
Portland StBetterS Illinois
PRST offense284th of 366 · -8.8
SIUSmall
SIU defense181st of 366 · -4.1
PRST defense244th of 366 · -6.4
Even
SIU offense227th of 366 · -7.0
Backcourt-1.7 · 3 players
SIUSmall
Backcourt+0.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
Bench-0.3 · 2 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestPRST betterSIU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Portland St
Guards
E. Skytt12 min · TRK. Johnson10 min · TRC. Ness4 minN. PollardNewT. FrankNewD. JohnsonNew
Forwards
B. Barron4 minC. Chukwu3 minL. Kearney3 min · TRJ. RandolphNewA. PusateriNewF. CoratoNew
Centers
K. Ibekwe9 min · TR
S Illinois
Guards
J. Haynes21 minC. Hawkins5 minB. McClureNewJ. FugateNewL. WalshNewJ. JacksonNew
Forwards
M. Pikaar11 minD. HillNewD. PauliukonisNewP. RanieriNewT. LaurNew
Centers
J. Webber7 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRSTSIU
Scoring
73.9 #199Points per game72.7 #229
1.06 #220Points per possession1.03 #285
69.6 #140Pace (possessions)70.6 #91
Shooting
50.5 #211Effective FG%49.1 #286
32.6 #2503-point %27.8 #363
34.4 #2873-point attempt rate29.2 #355
37.1 #126Free throw rate31.3 #275
Possessions
16.9 #200Turnover rate17.1 #207
30.0 #199Offensive rebound rate30.9 #167
13.4 #186Assists per game13.3 #188
Defense
71.2 #80Points allowed70.5 #62
1.02 #45Points allowed per possession1.00 #25
48.8 #56Opponent effective FG%49.0 #70
32.3 #77Opponent 3-point %30.4 #17
18.0 #94Turnovers forced18.5 #74
73.6 #23Defensive rebound rate72.7 #44
7.2 #104Steals per game8.0 #38
3.8 #108Blocks per game3.4 #157
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Portland St

17-11 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Montana72–75
  • Wvs Idaho St85–78
  • Wvs Weber St84–60
  • L@ Montana68–74
  • L@ Montana St69–84

A week or more of rest.

S Illinois

15-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-11 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Drake63–67
  • W@ Evansville81–67
  • Wvs Indiana St66–55
  • W@ Northern Iowa59–57
  • W@ Drake66–61

A week or more of rest.