1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. IUIN @ MORE
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Morehead State Eagles

Ellis T. Johnson Arena · at Morehead St
#340IUINIU Indy
@
#350MOREMorehead St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IUINThis seasonMORE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MORE 78–76 · win probability MORE 56%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MORE has more of the edges

IUIN 2, MORE 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MOREBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: IUIN 21.7, MORE 37.7. Allowed: IUIN 46.6, MORE 35.6
IUINBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IUIN 15.8%, MORE 18.1%. Forced: IUIN 19.2%, MORE 15.4%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: IUIN plays 75.3 a game (4th fastest), MORE 67.4 (262nd). Faster games mean more points
MORESmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IUIN 28.7%, MORE 35.8%. Defensive: IUIN 64.5%, MORE 64.2%
IUINSmall
IUIN offense vs MORE defense
Offense 249th of 366 against a defense 333rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
IUIN has played the 284th-hardest schedule, MORE the 346th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MORESmall
Three-pointers
IUIN hits 32.4% and allows 38.5%; MORE hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 42.1% and 30.5% of their shots
MORESmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: IUIN 52.2 and allows 58.2; MORE 49.1 and allows 50.2
MORESmall
Home court
MORE at home. This season: MORE 0-0 at home, IUIN 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IUIN 14%, MORE 29%. Transfers in: IUIN 3, MORE 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
MORE offense vs IUIN defense
Offense 349th of 366 against a defense 364th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MORE -1.6—
Total—153.9—
Projected score—IUIN 76.1 · MORE 77.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMORE -0.8—
1H total71.9—
1H projected scoreIUIN 35.5 · MORE 36.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

IU Indy has the better starters

Position by position: IU Indy 1, Morehead St 0, even 4
IU IndyBetterMorehead St
G B. Smith TR8.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 18
Even
G C. Dawson8.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 22
G G. Etchison TR9 pts · 1.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 93
IUINBig
G V. Dawson3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7
G J. Clarke TR3.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 34
No call
G J. Winkleman1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F K. Tinsley7.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
No call
G I. Day NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F R. Hagy2.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
Even
F C. Parker2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 1
IU IndyBetterMorehead St
IUIN offense249th of 366 · -7.5
IUINSmall
MORE defense333rd of 366 · -8.7
IUIN defense364th of 366 · -12.3
Even
MORE offense349th of 366 · -12.3
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
IUINSmall
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt-3.2 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-2.7 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestIUIN betterMORE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
IU Indy
Guards
B. Smith24 min · TRG. Etchison14 min · TRJ. Clarke13 min · TRM. Pastorcic-StraunNewP. HeissNewT. DrexlerNew
Forwards
K. Tinsley18 minR. Hagy11 minP. IdiaruNewA. ArnettNewM. StackhouseNew
Morehead St
Guards
C. Dawson26 minV. Dawson16 minJ. Winkleman1 minI. DayNewK. CarbonNewK. ShawNew
Forwards
C. Parker16 minD. AlexanderNewL. BassNewT. TangioraNewJ. PriesterNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IUINMORE
Scoring
80.9 #49Points per game72.0 #243
1.07 #200Points per possession1.07 #202
75.3 #4Pace (possessions)67.4 #262
Shooting
52.2 #136Effective FG%49.1 #285
32.4 #2583-point %32.0 #281
42.1 #1343-point attempt rate30.5 #349
21.7 #365Free throw rate37.7 #109
Possessions
15.8 #127Turnover rate18.1 #275
28.7 #243Offensive rebound rate35.8 #27
18.9 #3Assists per game12.0 #285
Defense
89.2 #364Points allowed75.5 #205
1.19 #353Points allowed per possession1.12 #264
58.2 #362Opponent effective FG%50.2 #109
38.5 #361Opponent 3-point %34.5 #221
19.2 #41Turnovers forced15.4 #259
64.5 #348Defensive rebound rate64.2 #351
8.0 #39Steals per game6.0 #234
2.9 #243Blocks per game3.0 #213
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

IU Indy

5-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-18 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cleveland St93–101
  • Lvs Purdue FW81–87
  • Lvs Oakland74–86
  • L@ Wright St73–85
  • L@ Purdue FW78–83

A week or more of rest.

Morehead St

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St67–93
  • Wvs SE Missouri66–61
  • W@ Little Rock76–70
  • Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–63
  • W@ W Illinois81–59

A week or more of rest.