1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 22
  3. UMES vs IUIN
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 22

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · Neutral site
#364UMESMD Eastern
vs
#340IUINIU Indy
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UMESThis seasonIUIN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IUIN 78–72 · win probability IUIN 72%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

UMES 2, IUIN 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: UMES plays 65.8 a game (321st fastest), IUIN 75.3 (4th). Faster games mean more points
IUINBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UMES 23.7%, IUIN 15.8%. Forced: UMES 18.0%, IUIN 19.2%
IUINSmall
IUIN offense vs UMES defense
Offense 249th of 366 against a defense 350th, on the model’s ratings
UMESSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UMES 32.4%, IUIN 28.7%. Defensive: UMES 66.4%, IUIN 64.5%
UMESSmall
Three-pointers
UMES hits 29.0% and allows 33.5%; IUIN hits 32.4% and allows 38.5%. Threes are 33.5% and 42.1% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
UMES has played the 240th-hardest schedule, IUIN the 284th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: UMES 29.4, IUIN 21.7. Allowed: UMES 43.0, IUIN 46.6
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: UMES 47.8 and allows 50.8; IUIN 52.2 and allows 58.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UMES 9%, IUIN 14%. Transfers in: UMES 1, IUIN 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
UMES offense vs IUIN defense
Offense 364th of 366 against a defense 364th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IUIN -6.8—
Total—150.0—
Projected score—UMES 71.6 · IUIN 78.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIUIN -3.9—
1H total70.1—
1H projected scoreUMES 33.1 · IUIN 37—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

IU Indy has the better starters

Position by position: MD Eastern 0, IU Indy 1, even 4
MD EasternBetterIU Indy
G I. Hall NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G B. Smith TR8.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 18
F L. Beckwith1.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.5 ast Score 1
IUINBig
G G. Etchison TR9 pts · 1.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 93
F L. Gibson-Savadel TR2.3 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Clarke TR3.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 34
F E. Berhanu NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F K. Tinsley7.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
F G. Tokody NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F R. Hagy2.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
MD EasternBetterIU Indy
UMES offense364th of 366 · -15.3
Even
IUIN defense364th of 366 · -12.3
UMES defense350th of 366 · -9.7
IUINSmall
IUIN offense249th of 366 · -7.5
BackcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.5 · 4 players
Even
Frontcourt-3.2 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestUMES betterIUIN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MD Eastern
Guards
I. HallNewE. JohnsonNewI. GriffinNewS. MooreNewB. GardnerNewV. EzehNew
Forwards
L. Beckwith17 minL. Gibson-Savadel7 min · TRE. BerhanuNewG. TokodyNewA. ColeNewD. Hall-JohnsonNew
Centers
E. OgohNew
IU Indy
Guards
B. Smith24 min · TRG. Etchison14 min · TRJ. Clarke13 min · TRM. Pastorcic-StraunNewP. HeissNewT. DrexlerNew
Forwards
K. Tinsley18 minR. Hagy11 minP. IdiaruNewA. ArnettNewM. StackhouseNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UMESIUIN
Scoring
62.4 #360Points per game80.9 #49
0.94 #358Points per possession1.07 #200
65.8 #321Pace (possessions)75.3 #4
Shooting
47.8 #319Effective FG%52.2 #136
29.0 #3543-point %32.4 #258
33.5 #3093-point attempt rate42.1 #134
29.4 #321Free throw rate21.7 #365
Possessions
23.7 #365Turnover rate15.8 #127
32.4 #112Offensive rebound rate28.7 #243
13.0 #213Assists per game18.9 #3
Defense
71.5 #91Points allowed89.2 #364
1.09 #207Points allowed per possession1.19 #353
50.8 #142Opponent effective FG%58.2 #362
33.5 #156Opponent 3-point %38.5 #361
18.0 #95Turnovers forced19.2 #41
66.4 #311Defensive rebound rate64.5 #348
5.7 #274Steals per game8.0 #39
2.5 #302Blocks per game2.9 #243
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

MD Eastern

7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-10 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs NC Central76–83
  • Lvs Delaware St56–57
  • Lvs NC Central73–77
  • Wvs SC State69–57
  • L@ Coppin St65–71

A week or more of rest.

IU Indy

5-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-18 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cleveland St93–101
  • Lvs Purdue FW81–87
  • Lvs Oakland74–86
  • L@ Wright St73–85
  • L@ Purdue FW78–83

A week or more of rest.