1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 23
  3. W&M vs IUIN
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 23

William & Mary Tribe vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · Neutral site
#217W&MWilliam & Mary
vs
#340IUINIU Indy
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
W&MThis seasonIUIN
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects W&M 85–77 · win probability W&M 75%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 161.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: W&M has more of the edges

W&M 4, IUIN 0 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
W&MBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: W&M 44.0, IUIN 21.7. Allowed: W&M 35.5, IUIN 46.6
W&MBig
W&M offense vs IUIN defense
Offense 160th of 366 against a defense 364th, on the model’s ratings
W&MBig
Three-pointers
W&M hits 33.0% and allows 33.0%; IUIN hits 32.4% and allows 38.5%. Threes are 42.8% and 42.1% of their shots
W&MBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: W&M 54.3 and allows 51.9; IUIN 52.2 and allows 58.2
Context
Schedule so far
W&M has played the 171st-hardest schedule, IUIN the 284th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
IUIN offense vs W&M defense
Offense 249th of 366 against a defense 289th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: W&M 16.6%, IUIN 15.8%. Forced: W&M 18.9%, IUIN 19.2%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: W&M 1%, IUIN 14%. Transfers in: W&M 7, IUIN 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: W&M 26.0%, IUIN 28.7%. Defensive: W&M 68.5%, IUIN 64.5%
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Context
Tempo
About 74 possessions: W&M plays 73.6 a game (14th fastest), IUIN 75.3 (4th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—W&M -7.8—
Total—161.3—
Projected score—W&M 84.5 · IUIN 76.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadW&M -4.8—
1H total75.3—
1H projected scoreW&M 40 · IUIN 35.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

IU Indy has the better starters

Position by position: William & Mary 1, IU Indy 2, even 2
William & MaryBetterIU Indy
G J. Baldwin TR7.7 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.2 ast Score 63
W&MBig
G B. Smith TR8.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 18
G J. McIntosh TR6.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 48
IUINBig
G G. Etchison TR9 pts · 1.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 93
G T. Blassingame TR3.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 18
IUINSmall
G J. Clarke TR3.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 34
G N. Daniels TR2 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
F K. Tinsley7.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
F S. Sivka TR2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 15
Even
F R. Hagy2.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
William & MaryBetterIU Indy
W&M offense160th of 366 · -4.8
W&MBig
IUIN defense364th of 366 · -12.3
W&M defense289th of 366 · -7.2
Even
IUIN offense249th of 366 · -7.5
Backcourt-2.6 · 4 players
IUINSmall
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 1 player
W&MSmall
Frontcourt-3.2 · 2 players
Bench-0.4 · 3 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestW&M betterIUIN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
William & Mary
Guards
J. Baldwin20 min · TRJ. McIntosh17 min · TRT. Blassingame17 min · TRN. Daniels10 min · TRZ. Clark9 min · TRJ. Forsythe4 min · TR
Forwards
S. Sivka11 min · TRB. CarterNewJ. RolandNew
IU Indy
Guards
B. Smith24 min · TRG. Etchison14 min · TRJ. Clarke13 min · TRM. Pastorcic-StraunNewP. HeissNewT. DrexlerNew
Forwards
K. Tinsley18 minR. Hagy11 minP. IdiaruNewA. ArnettNewM. StackhouseNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
W&MIUIN
Scoring
81.5 #38Points per game80.9 #49
1.11 #116Points per possession1.07 #200
73.6 #14Pace (possessions)75.3 #4
Shooting
54.3 #58Effective FG%52.2 #136
33.0 #2333-point %32.4 #258
42.8 #1203-point attempt rate42.1 #134
44.0 #9Free throw rate21.7 #365
Possessions
16.6 #171Turnover rate15.8 #127
26.0 #324Offensive rebound rate28.7 #243
17.4 #17Assists per game18.9 #3
Defense
78.9 #294Points allowed89.2 #364
1.07 #126Points allowed per possession1.19 #353
51.9 #205Opponent effective FG%58.2 #362
33.0 #126Opponent 3-point %38.5 #361
18.9 #52Turnovers forced19.2 #41
68.5 #229Defensive rebound rate64.5 #348
7.9 #47Steals per game8.0 #39
3.8 #95Blocks per game2.9 #243
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

William & Mary

18-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra61–92
  • Wvs Elon72–62
  • Wvs Hampton94–85
  • W@ NC A&T91–88
  • Wvs Northeastern84–77

A week or more of rest.

IU Indy

5-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-18 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cleveland St93–101
  • Lvs Purdue FW81–87
  • Lvs Oakland74–86
  • L@ Wright St73–85
  • L@ Purdue FW78–83

A week or more of rest.