1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 23
  3. AMCC @ WICH
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 23

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Wichita State Shockers

Charles Koch Arena · at Wichita St
#238AMCCTexas A&M-CC
@
#77WICHWichita St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AMCCThis seasonWICH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WICH 80–63 · win probability WICH 93%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 143.6
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WICH has more of the edges

AMCC 0, WICH 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WICHBig
AMCC offense vs WICH defense
Offense 303rd of 366 against a defense 82nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
AMCC has played the 245th-hardest schedule, WICH the 106th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WICHSmall
WICH offense vs AMCC defense
Offense 78th of 366 against a defense 176th, on the model’s ratings
WICHSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AMCC 31.7%, WICH 38.0%. Defensive: AMCC 71.2%, WICH 71.2%
WICHSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AMCC 19%, WICH 55%. Transfers in: AMCC 4, WICH 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: AMCC plays 66.9 a game (284th fastest), WICH 69.3 (164th). Faster games mean more points
WICHSmall
Home court
WICH at home. This season: WICH 0-0 at home, AMCC 0-0 away
WICHSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: AMCC 41.1, WICH 36.0. Allowed: AMCC 46.3, WICH 34.3
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AMCC 19.4%, WICH 15.0%. Forced: AMCC 19.0%, WICH 15.7%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: AMCC 49.5 and allows 50.1; WICH 49.4 and allows 47.2
Even
Three-pointers
AMCC hits 35.0% and allows 31.6%; WICH hits 33.5% and allows 31.5%. Threes are 31.4% and 33.9% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WICH -16.9—
Total—143.6—
Projected score—AMCC 63.3 · WICH 80.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWICH -9.9—
1H total67.2—
1H projected scoreAMCC 28.6 · WICH 38.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wichita St has the better starters

Position by position: Texas A&M-CC 0, Wichita St 5, even 0
Texas A&M-CCBetterWichita St
G J. Mizell TR5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
WICHBig
G J. Long TR11.8 pts · 3.3 reb · 4 ast Score 72
G S. Robinson TR14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 76
WICHSmall
G J. Frison TR16.5 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 93
G I. Lewis TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 10
WICHSmall
G M. Gray7.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 37
G D. Michelini-Jackson4.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 34
WICHBig
G T. Williams8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 80
F B. Basil TR8.7 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 53
WICHSmall
C W. Berg8.8 pts · 8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 85
Texas A&M-CCBetterWichita St
AMCC offense303rd of 366 · -9.4
WICHBig
WICH defense82nd of 366 · +0.2
AMCC defense176th of 366 · -4.0
WICHSmall
WICH offense78th of 366 · +0.8
Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players
WICHBig
Backcourt+3.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
WICHSmall
Frontcourt+2.8 · 1 player
Bench-1.2 · 3 players
WICHSmall
Bench+0.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestAMCC betterWICH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Texas A&M-CC
Guards
J. Mizell28 min · TRS. Robinson28 min · TRI. Lewis22 min · TRD. Michelini-Jackson17 minB. Wheatfall11 minC. Horton6 min
Forwards
B. Basil23 min · TRD. MukunaNewK. WallaceNewC. WorshamNew
Centers
J. Ambrose5 minL. FoonNew
Wichita St
Guards
J. Long34 min · TRJ. Frison31 min · TRM. Gray27 minT. Williams22 minB. Heard18 min · TRJ. IghovodjaNew
Forwards
D. Battie18 minJ. Valencia13 minN. Hill5 minH. Thengvall2 min
Centers
W. Berg22 minC. Malonga11 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AMCCWICH
Scoring
68.5 #305Points per game77.6 #105
1.03 #296Points per possession1.12 #98
66.9 #284Pace (possessions)69.3 #164
Shooting
49.5 #270Effective FG%49.4 #274
35.0 #1223-point %33.5 #195
31.4 #3343-point attempt rate33.9 #300
41.1 #46Free throw rate36.0 #149
Possessions
19.4 #336Turnover rate15.0 #62
31.7 #138Offensive rebound rate38.0 #8
12.1 #280Assists per game11.3 #325
Defense
69.4 #52Points allowed70.8 #71
1.04 #67Points allowed per possession1.02 #42
50.1 #104Opponent effective FG%47.2 #24
31.6 #48Opponent 3-point %31.5 #44
19.0 #48Turnovers forced15.7 #238
71.2 #95Defensive rebound rate71.2 #93
7.0 #125Steals per game6.0 #235
2.6 #290Blocks per game3.8 #100
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas A&M-CC

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-10 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SF Austin58–60
  • Wvs LSU N Orleans74–61
  • Wvs East Texas A&M84–71
  • Wvs N'Western St71–59
  • W@ SE Louisiana73–68

A week or more of rest.

Wichita St

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Tulsa79–83
  • W@ Oklahoma St96–70
  • Wvs Wyoming74–70
  • Lvs South Florida55–70
  • Wvs Tulsa81–68

A week or more of rest.