1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. BOIS @ WICH
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Boise State Broncos at Wichita State Shockers

Charles Koch Arena · at Wichita St
#86BOISBoise St
@
#77WICHWichita St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BOISThis seasonWICH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WICH 76–73 · win probability WICH 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WICH has more of the edges

BOIS 1, WICH 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WICHSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BOIS 16.9%, WICH 15.0%. Forced: BOIS 14.6%, WICH 15.7%
BOISSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: BOIS 42.7, WICH 36.0. Allowed: BOIS 32.1, WICH 34.3
WICHSmall
Three-pointers
BOIS hits 34.3% and allows 34.4%; WICH hits 33.5% and allows 31.5%. Threes are 43.1% and 33.9% of their shots
WICHSmall
Home court
WICH at home. This season: WICH 0-0 at home, BOIS 0-0 away
WICHSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BOIS 52.2 and allows 52.6; WICH 49.4 and allows 47.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BOIS 34%, WICH 55%. Transfers in: BOIS 4, WICH 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: BOIS plays 68.3 a game (215th fastest), WICH 69.3 (164th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
BOIS has played the 82nd-hardest schedule, WICH the 106th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
BOIS offense vs WICH defense
Offense 94th of 366 against a defense 82nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BOIS 33.2%, WICH 38.0%. Defensive: BOIS 76.4%, WICH 71.2%
Even
WICH offense vs BOIS defense
Offense 78th of 366 against a defense 74th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WICH -3.3—
Total—149.6—
Projected score—BOIS 73.1 · WICH 76.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWICH -1.8—
1H total69.9—
1H projected scoreBOIS 34 · WICH 35.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wichita St has the better starters

Position by position: Boise St 1, Wichita St 3, even 1
Boise StBetterWichita St
G D. Wheeler-Thomas TR14.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.7 ast Score 67
Even
G J. Long TR11.8 pts · 3.3 reb · 4 ast Score 72
G L. Washington TR9.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 5.1 ast Score 76
WICHSmall
G J. Frison TR16.5 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 93
F D. Butka TR13.7 pts · 8.2 reb · 2.6 ast Score 66
BOISSmall
G M. Gray7.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 37
F J. Stanback TR8.7 pts · 5.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 62
WICHSmall
G T. Williams8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 80
F P. Carmichael7.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
WICHSmall
C W. Berg8.8 pts · 8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 85
Boise StBetterWichita St
BOIS offense94th of 366 · -0.5
Even
WICH defense82nd of 366 · +0.2
BOIS defense74th of 366 · +0.7
Even
WICH offense78th of 366 · +0.8
Backcourt+1.4 · 2 players
WICHSmall
Backcourt+3.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
WICHSmall
Frontcourt+2.8 · 1 player
Bench-2.0 · 5 players
WICHSmall
Bench+0.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBOIS betterWICH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Boise St
Guards
D. Wheeler-Thomas31 min · TRL. Washington29 min · TRA. Neto19 minJ. Bowie5 minR. Bergersen2 minB. Ramirez2 min
Forwards
D. Butka34 min · TRJ. Stanback25 min · TRP. Carmichael19 minS. Ahrens13 minB. Buom5 minE. Lathan2 min
Wichita St
Guards
J. Long34 min · TRJ. Frison31 min · TRM. Gray27 minT. Williams22 minB. Heard18 min · TRJ. IghovodjaNew
Forwards
D. Battie18 minJ. Valencia13 minN. Hill5 minH. Thengvall2 min
Centers
W. Berg22 minC. Malonga11 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BOISWICH
Scoring
77.4 #108Points per game77.6 #105
1.13 #82Points per possession1.12 #98
68.3 #215Pace (possessions)69.3 #164
Shooting
52.2 #138Effective FG%49.4 #274
34.3 #1513-point %33.5 #195
43.1 #1143-point attempt rate33.9 #300
42.7 #23Free throw rate36.0 #149
Possessions
16.9 #195Turnover rate15.0 #62
33.2 #85Offensive rebound rate38.0 #8
12.4 #258Assists per game11.3 #325
Defense
73.2 #137Points allowed70.8 #71
1.08 #145Points allowed per possession1.02 #42
52.6 #250Opponent effective FG%47.2 #24
34.4 #213Opponent 3-point %31.5 #44
14.6 #317Turnovers forced15.7 #238
76.4 #3Defensive rebound rate71.2 #93
4.6 #350Steals per game6.0 #235
2.1 #339Blocks per game3.8 #100
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Boise St

19-11 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs San José St74–84
  • W@ Colorado St78–67
  • Wvs San Diego St86–77
  • W@ Fresno St69–53
  • Wvs Wyoming72–62

A week or more of rest.

Wichita St

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Tulsa79–83
  • W@ Oklahoma St96–70
  • Wvs Wyoming74–70
  • Lvs South Florida55–70
  • Wvs Tulsa81–68

A week or more of rest.