1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. BCU @ MRSH
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Marshall Thundering Herd

Cam Henderson Center · at Marshall
#202BCUBethune
@
#230MRSHMarshall
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BCUThis seasonMRSH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MRSH 77–75 · win probability MRSH 58%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 152.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MRSH has more of the edges

BCU 2, MRSH 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BCUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: BCU 40.9, MRSH 29.2. Allowed: BCU 38.6, MRSH 41.1
MRSHSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BCU 19.2%, MRSH 16.6%. Forced: BCU 15.8%, MRSH 16.2%
BCUSmall
BCU offense vs MRSH defense
Offense 188th of 366 against a defense 277th, on the model’s ratings
MRSHSmall
Three-pointers
BCU hits 33.0% and allows 32.9%; MRSH hits 36.8% and allows 33.6%. Threes are 29.7% and 44.3% of their shots
MRSHSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: BCU 51.0 and allows 49.7; MRSH 54.8 and allows 50.3
MRSHSmall
Home court
MRSH at home. This season: MRSH 0-0 at home, BCU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: BCU plays 71.8 a game (43rd fastest), MRSH 70.7 (86th). Faster games mean more points
Even
MRSH offense vs BCU defense
Offense 198th of 366 against a defense 218th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
BCU has played the 244th-hardest schedule, MRSH the 234th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BCU 25%, MRSH 27%. Transfers in: BCU 9, MRSH 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BCU 30.1%, MRSH 31.9%. Defensive: BCU 68.3%, MRSH 66.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MRSH -2.2—
Total—152.3—
Projected score—BCU 75.1 · MRSH 77.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMRSH -1.2—
1H total71.2—
1H projected scoreBCU 35 · MRSH 36.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Bethune has the better starters

Position by position: Bethune 3, Marshall 1, even 1
BethuneBetterMarshall
G K. Branch TR11.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 24
MRSHSmall
G N. Otshudi14.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.5 ast Score 45
G J. Morris TR11.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.9 ast Score 49
Even
G F. Oshodi TR8.6 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 47
G J. Jones TR9.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.4 ast Score 43
BCUSmall
G L. Rasmussen TR2.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 15
F Q. Heady10.2 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55
BCUBig
G D. Johnson TR2.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.2 ast Score 17
F D. Johnson TR10 pts · 5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
BCUBig
F E. Harding3.8 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.5 ast Score 11
BethuneBetterMarshall
BCU offense188th of 366 · -5.8
BCUSmall
MRSH defense277th of 366 · -7.0
BCU defense218th of 366 · -5.7
Even
MRSH offense198th of 366 · -6.1
Backcourt-4.2 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-4.7 · 4 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 2 players
BCUSmall
Frontcourt-1.5 · 1 player
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBCU betterMRSH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bethune
Guards
K. Branch30 min · TRJ. Morris30 min · TRJ. Jones28 min · TRM. Jordan13 min · TRK. Patton8 min · TRK. MurphyNew
Forwards
Q. Heady26 minD. Johnson26 min · TRD. Perez-Rouzan24 minV. Boskovic21 min · TRI. Ezuma8 min · TRJ. SmithNew
Centers
M. Martinez16 min · TR
Marshall
Guards
N. Otshudi32 minF. Oshodi20 min · TRL. Rasmussen15 min · TRD. Johnson15 min · TRB. Slay8 minE. Manyuon2 min · TR
Forwards
E. Harding14 minC. Langdon3 min · TRV. Kuridza2 min · TRB. DjigoNew
Centers
K. Maker6 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BCUMRSH
Scoring
74.5 #175Points per game80.5 #56
1.04 #273Points per possession1.14 #71
71.8 #43Pace (possessions)70.7 #86
Shooting
51.0 #195Effective FG%54.8 #42
33.0 #2303-point %36.8 #34
29.7 #3533-point attempt rate44.3 #82
40.9 #48Free throw rate29.2 #328
Possessions
19.2 #329Turnover rate16.6 #172
30.1 #194Offensive rebound rate31.9 #127
13.3 #195Assists per game16.2 #43
Defense
77.5 #251Points allowed78.9 #292
1.08 #157Points allowed per possession1.11 #253
49.7 #88Opponent effective FG%50.3 #118
32.9 #112Opponent 3-point %33.6 #162
15.8 #229Turnovers forced16.2 #206
68.3 #242Defensive rebound rate66.2 #316
6.8 #147Steals per game6.1 #225
4.5 #34Blocks per game4.8 #23
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bethune

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-5 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View67–71
  • L@ Florida A&M77–81
  • W@ Southern82–79
  • W@ Grambling76–71
  • Wvs Alabama A&M85–76

A week or more of rest.

Marshall

18-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs GA Southern78–82
  • Lvs GA Southern82–99
  • Wvs Old Dominion97–88
  • L@ Coastal75–79
  • W@ App State94–93

A week or more of rest.