1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Dec 7
  3. AMCC @ NOLA
NCAAB · Mon, Dec 7

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at LSU New Orleans Privateers

Lakefront Arena · at LSU N Orleans · Conference game
#238AMCCTexas A&M-CC
@
#276NOLALSU N Orleans
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AMCCThis seasonNOLA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NOLA 73–72 · win probability NOLA 55%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AMCC has more of the edges

AMCC 4, NOLA 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
AMCCBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AMCC 19.4%, NOLA 20.4%. Forced: AMCC 19.0%, NOLA 14.9%
AMCCSmall
Three-pointers
AMCC hits 35.0% and allows 31.6%; NOLA hits 31.8% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 31.4% and 33.7% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: AMCC plays 66.9 a game (284th fastest), NOLA 70.2 (110th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
AMCC has played the 245th-hardest schedule, NOLA the 173rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
AMCCSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AMCC 31.7%, NOLA 35.6%. Defensive: AMCC 71.2%, NOLA 65.5%
AMCCSmall
NOLA offense vs AMCC defense
Offense 230th of 366 against a defense 176th, on the model’s ratings
NOLASmall
Home court
NOLA at home. This season: NOLA 0-0 at home, AMCC 0-0 away
NOLASmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: AMCC 41.1, NOLA 46.4. Allowed: AMCC 46.3, NOLA 39.5
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: AMCC 49.5 and allows 50.1; NOLA 49.6 and allows 49.0
Even
AMCC offense vs NOLA defense
Offense 303rd of 366 against a defense 316th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AMCC 19%, NOLA 22%. Transfers in: AMCC 4, NOLA 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—NOLA -1.4—
Total—145.4—
Projected score—AMCC 72 · NOLA 73.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadNOLA -0.7—
1H total68.0—
1H projected scoreAMCC 33.7 · NOLA 34.4—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas A&M-CC has the better starters

Position by position: Texas A&M-CC 2, LSU N Orleans 1, even 2
Texas A&M-CCBetterLSU N Orleans
G J. Mizell TR5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
NOLABig
G K. Singleton TR13.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
G S. Robinson TR14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 76
Even
G N. Jones TR14.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 65
G I. Lewis TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 10
No call
G J. Chretien1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
G D. Michelini-Jackson4.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 34
AMCCSmall
F E. Boudouma5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 13
F B. Basil TR8.7 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 53
AMCCBig
F K. Osby4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.2 ast Score 10
Texas A&M-CCBetterLSU N Orleans
AMCC offense303rd of 366 · -9.4
Even
NOLA defense316th of 366 · -8.2
AMCC defense176th of 366 · -4.0
AMCCSmall
NOLA offense230th of 366 · -7.1
Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players
NOLABig
Backcourt-1.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
AMCCBig
Frontcourt-3.6 · 2 players
Bench-1.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestAMCC betterNOLA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Texas A&M-CC
Guards
J. Mizell28 min · TRS. Robinson28 min · TRI. Lewis22 min · TRD. Michelini-Jackson17 minB. Wheatfall11 minC. Horton6 min
Forwards
B. Basil23 min · TRD. MukunaNewK. WallaceNewC. WorshamNew
Centers
J. Ambrose5 minL. FoonNew
LSU N Orleans
Guards
K. Singleton35 min · TRN. Jones32 min · TRJ. Chretien9 minC. OkeyNewY. OrtizNewS. ParsonNew
Forwards
E. Boudouma18 minK. Osby17 minK. Ratliff9 min · TRW. CampbellNewS. OminuNewE. NwakammaNew
Centers
J. Pace5 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AMCCNOLA
Scoring
68.5 #305Points per game74.5 #178
1.03 #296Points per possession1.06 #226
66.9 #284Pace (possessions)70.2 #110
Shooting
49.5 #270Effective FG%49.6 #258
35.0 #1223-point %31.8 #287
31.4 #3343-point attempt rate33.7 #302
41.1 #46Free throw rate46.4 #1
Possessions
19.4 #336Turnover rate20.4 #353
31.7 #138Offensive rebound rate35.6 #34
12.1 #280Assists per game12.9 #214
Defense
69.4 #52Points allowed77.7 #260
1.04 #67Points allowed per possession1.11 #238
50.1 #104Opponent effective FG%49.0 #71
31.6 #48Opponent 3-point %32.4 #86
19.0 #48Turnovers forced14.9 #301
71.2 #95Defensive rebound rate65.5 #325
7.0 #125Steals per game5.8 #258
2.6 #290Blocks per game3.8 #105
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas A&M-CC

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-10 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SF Austin58–60
  • Wvs LSU N Orleans74–61
  • Wvs East Texas A&M84–71
  • Wvs N'Western St71–59
  • W@ SE Louisiana73–68

A week or more of rest.

LSU N Orleans

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas A&M-CC61–74
  • Wvs Hou Christian73–60
  • Lvs SE Louisiana78–82
  • Lvs McNeese63–66
  • W@ SF Austin77–73

A week or more of rest.