1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Dec 13
  3. NOLA @ GRAM
NCAAB · Sun, Dec 13

LSU New Orleans Privateers at Grambling Tigers

Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · at Grambling
#276NOLALSU N Orleans
@
#338GRAMGrambling
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
NOLAThis seasonGRAM
0-0Record0-1
0-0ATS1-0
0-0O/U1-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NOLA 77–74 · win probability NOLA 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

NOLA 2, GRAM 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
NOLA has played the 173rd-hardest schedule, GRAM the 355th. A record against a soft schedule means less
GRAMBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NOLA 20.4%, GRAM 21.2%. Forced: NOLA 14.9%, GRAM 20.8%
NOLASmall
NOLA offense vs GRAM defense
Offense 230th of 366 against a defense 302nd, on the model’s ratings
NOLASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NOLA 35.6%, GRAM 30.3%. Defensive: NOLA 65.5%, GRAM 67.5%
GRAMSmall
Home court
GRAM at home. This season: GRAM 0-0 at home, NOLA 0-0 away
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: NOLA 49.6 and allows 49.0; GRAM 48.8 and allows 50.0
Even
GRAM offense vs NOLA defense
Offense 347th of 366 against a defense 316th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: NOLA 46.4, GRAM 41.1. Allowed: NOLA 39.5, GRAM 40.0
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: NOLA plays 70.2 a game (110th fastest), GRAM 69.4 (155th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
NOLA hits 31.8% and allows 32.4%; GRAM hits 32.3% and allows 32.7%. Threes are 33.7% and 38.1% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NOLA 22%, GRAM 23%. Transfers in: NOLA 4, GRAM 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—NOLA -3.2—
Total—150.3—
Projected score—NOLA 76.8 · GRAM 73.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadNOLA -2.0—
1H total70.3—
1H projected scoreNOLA 36.2 · GRAM 34.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

LSU N Orleans has the better starters

Position by position: LSU N Orleans 2, Grambling 0, even 3
LSU N OrleansBetterGrambling
G K. Singleton TR13.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 50
NOLASmall
G I. Howard13 pts · 1 reb · 4 ast Score 18
G N. Jones TR14.9 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 65
NOLASmall
G D. Pierce TR19 pts · 0 reb · 8 ast Score 36
G J. Chretien1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.2 ast Not ranked
No call
G B. Hardy TR3.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
F E. Boudouma5.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 13
Even
F H. Washington TR4.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 2
F K. Osby4.9 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.2 ast Score 10
Even
F M. Fitts2.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.3 ast Score 17
LSU N OrleansBetterGrambling
NOLA offense230th of 366 · -7.1
NOLASmall
GRAM defense302nd of 366 · -7.7
NOLA defense316th of 366 · -8.2
Even
GRAM offense347th of 366 · -12.0
Backcourt-1.8 · 3 players
NOLABig
Backcourt-6.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.6 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-3.5 · 2 players
Bench-1.4 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.6 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestNOLA betterGRAM betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
LSU N Orleans
Guards
K. Singleton35 min · TRN. Jones32 min · TRJ. Chretien9 minC. OkeyNewY. OrtizNewS. ParsonNew
Forwards
E. Boudouma18 minK. Osby17 minK. Ratliff9 min · TRW. CampbellNewS. OminuNewE. NwakammaNew
Centers
J. Pace5 min · TR
Grambling
Guards
I. Howard31 minD. Pierce31 min · TRB. Hardy19 min · TRC. Perkins5 minK. LaytonNewT. BeyNew
Forwards
H. Washington17 min · TRM. Fitts10 minI. Miranda8 min · TRI. ErimsNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
NOLAGRAM
Scoring
74.5 #178Points per game69.0 #299
1.06 #226Points per possession1.00 #331
70.2 #110Pace (possessions)69.4 #155
Shooting
49.6 #258Effective FG%48.8 #295
31.8 #2873-point %32.3 #265
33.7 #3023-point attempt rate38.1 #210
46.4 #1Free throw rate41.1 #45
Possessions
20.4 #353Turnover rate21.2 #357
35.6 #34Offensive rebound rate30.3 #188
12.9 #214Assists per game11.9 #292
Defense
77.7 #260Points allowed71.3 #83
1.11 #238Points allowed per possession1.03 #51
49.0 #71Opponent effective FG%50.0 #97
32.4 #86Opponent 3-point %32.7 #99
14.9 #301Turnovers forced20.8 #12
65.5 #325Defensive rebound rate67.5 #280
5.8 #258Steals per game7.7 #68
3.8 #105Blocks per game2.7 #283
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

LSU N Orleans

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Texas A&M-CC61–74
  • Wvs Hou Christian73–60
  • Lvs SE Louisiana78–82
  • Lvs McNeese63–66
  • W@ SF Austin77–73

A week or more of rest.

Grambling

12-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Jackson St65–68
  • Wvs Miss Valley St77–52
  • W@ Alabama St65–63
  • L@ Alabama A&M63–77
  • Lvs Florida A&M59–66

A week or more of rest.