Davey L. Whitney Complex · at Alcorn St · Conference game
Closing line
GRAM -5.5✓ GRAM covered by 18.5
Closing total143.5Under by 19.5
| This season | ALCN | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-10 | Record | 4-16 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 6-11 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GRAM 73–70 ALCN · ✓ GRAM (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GRAM | 39 | 35 | 74 |
| ALCN | 25 | 25 | 50 |
1st half: GRAM 39, ALCN 25 (GRAM by 14). The model had GRAM by 2.1 and a total of 67.2 (actual 64).
Team stats
| GRAM | ALCN | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-55 51% | Field goals | 17-52 33% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 39 10 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 23 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| GRAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roderick Coffee III F | 34 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Rickey Ballard F | 31 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Derrius Ward G | 30 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Jamil Muttilib G | 24 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Devyn Franklin G | 20 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Antonio Munoz F | 29 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Randarius Jones C | 20 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| P.J. Edwards G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Chancellor Perkins G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Mekhi Fitts, Richard Amaefule, Saliou Seye, Nazar Mahmoud, Jimel Lane
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameel Morris G | 37 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Nick Woodard SF | 30 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Shane Lancaster G | 27 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Davian Williams PG | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Tycen McDaniels F | 24 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omari Hamilton F | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mike Jones, Alex Hawkins, William Henderson, Ray Glasgow
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGRAM -5.5
ModelGRAM -3.3
Model edgeALCN +2.2
L GRAM covered
Total
Market143.5
Model143.4
Model edgeUnder 0.1
W Under
Projected score
GRAM 73.4 · ALCN 70.1
GRAM 74 · ALCN 50
Win probability
GRAM 61%
1st half
Spread
GRAM -2.1
GRAM -14.0
Total
67.2
64 points
Projected score
GRAM 34.6 · ALCN 32.5
GRAM 39 · ALCN 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGRAM -5.5
no move
CloseGRAM -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
GRAM -218 · ALCN +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GRAM -5.5 · unchangedmodel GRAM -3.5
model GRAM -3.5
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 143.5 matches the line
model 143.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | |
| 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GRAM 2–2 ALCNSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · GRAM 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024-25 | ALCN 60 @ GRAM 53 | GRAM -5.5 | ALCN W |
| Feb 5, 2023-24 | GRAM 78 @ ALCN 67 | ALCN -4.5 | GRAM W |
| Jan 30, 2022-23 | ALCN 63 @ GRAM 60 | GRAM -4.5 | ALCN W |
| Jan 31, 2021-22 | GRAM 80 @ ALCN 73 | ALCN -6 | GRAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grambling
17 games played
Straight up
7-10
41% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 62-102 | +33.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ | W 73-70 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 75-70 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 68-78 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 59-72 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 24 | @ | L 74-83 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 63-65 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 8 | @ | L 60-68 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 18 | vs | W 80-68 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 81-72 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 23 | @ | L 63-89 | +28.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 76-72 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 5 | vs | W 84-67 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 65-74 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | @ | L 84-91 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 53-71 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
−6.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
+7.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
+2.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
+1.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
−5.5
2
@
TULN
L 63-65
+9.5
8
@
USM
L 60-68
+0.5
18
vs
NORF
W 80-68
+13.5
19
vs
HAMP
W 81-72
+10.5
23
@
OSU
L 63-89
+2.5
3
vs
PV
W 76-72
−3.5
5
vs
TXSO
W 84-67
+11.5
10
@
BCU
L 65-74
−5.5
12
@
FAMU
L 84-91
−8.5
17
vs
SOU
L 53-71
−19.5
31
@
JKST
W 69-66
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
ISU
L 62-102
+19.5
9
@
HOW
W 73-70
−9.5
13
vs
USM
W 75-70
−3.5
18
@
USD
L 68-78
−3.5
21
@
CBU
L 59-72
−13.5
24
@
UCR
L 74-83
+12.5
2
@
TULN
L 63-65
−20.5
8
@
USM
L 60-68
−14.5
18
vs
NORF
W 80-68
+12.5
19
vs
HAMP
W 81-72
+15.5
23
@
OSU
L 63-89
−1.5
3
vs
PV
W 76-72
−7.5
5
vs
TXSO
W 84-67
+4.5
10
@
BCU
L 65-74
−5.5
12
@
FAMU
L 84-91
+33.5
17
vs
SOU
L 53-71
−29.5
31
@
JKST
W 69-66
−13.5
over 6under 11avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alcorn St
20 games played
Straight up
4-16
20% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 76-108 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 6 | @ | L 70-76 | +18.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 50-95 | +31.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 64-84 | +29.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 64-72 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 81-107 | +32.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 53-72 | +31.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 81-74 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 58-83 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 68-132 | +42.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 19 | @ | L 56-113 | +35.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 43-79 | +28.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 86-89 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 64-62 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | @ | L 66-81 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 71-72 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | vs | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 58-66 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 26 | @ | L 73-82 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 78-73 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
FSU
L 76-108
−4.5
6
@
USA
L 70-76
+12.5
8
@
MINN
L 50-95
−13.5
11
@
MD
L 64-84
+9.5
13
@
HOW
L 64-72
−1.5
18
@
LSU
L 81-107
+6.5
23
@
OU
L 53-72
+12.5
28
vs
INST
W 81-74
+19.5
29
@
LT
L 58-83
−8.5
3
@
ISU
L 68-132
−21.5
19
@
BAY
L 56-113
−21.5
29
@
MISS
L 43-79
−7.5
3
@
JKST
L 86-89
+2.5
10
@
AAMU
W 64-62
+11.5
12
@
ALST
L 66-81
−5.5
17
vs
TXSO
L 71-72
+0.5
19
vs
PV
W 76-75
+3.5
24
@
FAMU
L 58-66
+0.5
26
@
BCU
L 73-82
+4.5
31
vs
SOU
W 78-73
+12.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
FSU
L 76-108
+27.5
6
@
USA
L 70-76
+4.5
8
@
MINN
L 50-95
−7.5
11
@
MD
L 64-84
+1.5
13
@
HOW
L 64-72
−18.5
18
@
LSU
L 81-107
+32.5
23
@
OU
L 53-72
−35.5
28
vs
INST
W 81-74
+2.5
29
@
LT
L 58-83
+3.5
3
@
ISU
L 68-132
+48.5
19
@
BAY
L 56-113
+8.5
29
@
MISS
L 43-79
−26.5
3
@
JKST
L 86-89
+29.5
10
@
AAMU
W 64-62
−14.5
12
@
ALST
L 66-81
−4.5
17
vs
TXSO
L 71-72
−3.5
19
vs
PV
W 76-75
−1.5
24
@
FAMU
L 58-66
−17.5
26
@
BCU
L 73-82
+7.5
31
vs
SOU
W 78-73
+3.5
over 11under 9avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grambling
7-10 overall · 3-3 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Jackson St69–66
- Lvs Southern53–71
- L@ Florida A&M84–91
- L@ Bethune65–74
- Wvs Texas Southern84–67
2 days since their last game.
Alcorn St
4-16 overall · 3-5 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern78–73
- L@ Bethune73–82
- L@ Florida A&M58–66
- Wvs Prairie View76–75
- Lvs Texas Southern71–72
2 days since their last game.