1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. AMCC @ NICH
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Nicholls Colonels

David R. Stopher Gymnasium · at Nicholls · Conference game
#238AMCCTexas A&M-CC
@
#285NICHNicholls
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
AMCCThis seasonNICH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects NICH 71–71 · win probability NICH 51%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 142.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: AMCC has more of the edges

AMCC 4, NICH 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
AMCCBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: AMCC 31.7%, NICH 28.1%. Defensive: AMCC 71.2%, NICH 66.3%
AMCCBig
Three-pointers
AMCC hits 35.0% and allows 31.6%; NICH hits 33.3% and allows 34.6%. Threes are 31.4% and 43.9% of their shots
AMCCSmall
NICH offense vs AMCC defense
Offense 283rd of 366 against a defense 176th, on the model’s ratings
AMCCSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: AMCC 49.5 and allows 50.1; NICH 50.6 and allows 54.4
NICHSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: AMCC 19.4%, NICH 17.4%. Forced: AMCC 19.0%, NICH 20.5%
NICHSmall
Home court
NICH at home. This season: NICH 0-0 at home, AMCC 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: AMCC plays 66.9 a game (284th fastest), NICH 68.3 (210th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
AMCC has played the 245th-hardest schedule, NICH the 277th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: AMCC 41.1, NICH 34.5. Allowed: AMCC 46.3, NICH 37.9
Even
AMCC offense vs NICH defense
Offense 303rd of 366 against a defense 282nd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: AMCC 19%, NICH 20%. Transfers in: AMCC 4, NICH 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—NICH -0.2—
Total—142.2—
Projected score—AMCC 71 · NICH 71.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadNICH -0.0—
1H total66.6—
1H projected scoreAMCC 33.3 · NICH 33.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Texas A&M-CC 1, Nicholls 1, even 3
Texas A&M-CCBetterNicholls
G J. Mizell TR5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
NICHBig
G D. Cockrill TR11.4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 75
G S. Robinson TR14.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 76
AMCCBig
G C. Winborne7.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1 ast Score 29
G I. Lewis TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast Score 10
Even
G S. Sharp4.1 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 19
G D. Michelini-Jackson4.3 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.2 ast Score 34
No call
F A. Dent TR6 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F B. Basil TR8.7 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 53
No call
F J. Sileu TR0.3 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
Texas A&M-CCBetterNicholls
AMCC offense303rd of 366 · -9.4
Even
NICH defense282nd of 366 · -7.0
AMCC defense176th of 366 · -4.0
AMCCSmall
NICH offense283rd of 366 · -8.7
Backcourt-5.9 · 4 players
NICHBig
Backcourt-2.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.7 · 2 players
Bench-1.2 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.3 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestAMCC betterNICH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Texas A&M-CC
Guards
J. Mizell28 min · TRS. Robinson28 min · TRI. Lewis22 min · TRD. Michelini-Jackson17 minB. Wheatfall11 minC. Horton6 min
Forwards
B. Basil23 min · TRD. MukunaNewK. WallaceNewC. WorshamNew
Centers
J. Ambrose5 minL. FoonNew
Nicholls
Guards
D. Cockrill24 min · TRC. Winborne23 minS. Sharp17 minH. Carter4 min · TRC. Simpson3 min · TRJ. Matthews2 min
Forwards
A. Dent13 min · TRJ. Sileu7 min · TRA. Arop2 min · TRM. MboupNewJ. TaylorNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
AMCCNICH
Scoring
68.5 #305Points per game71.0 #266
1.03 #296Points per possession1.04 #275
66.9 #284Pace (possessions)68.3 #210
Shooting
49.5 #270Effective FG%50.6 #205
35.0 #1223-point %33.3 #215
31.4 #3343-point attempt rate43.9 #90
41.1 #46Free throw rate34.5 #195
Possessions
19.4 #336Turnover rate17.4 #232
31.7 #138Offensive rebound rate28.1 #263
12.1 #280Assists per game12.9 #219
Defense
69.4 #52Points allowed75.7 #209
1.04 #67Points allowed per possession1.11 #243
50.1 #104Opponent effective FG%54.4 #311
31.6 #48Opponent 3-point %34.6 #224
19.0 #48Turnovers forced20.5 #15
71.2 #95Defensive rebound rate66.3 #314
7.0 #125Steals per game8.7 #15
2.6 #290Blocks per game2.8 #270
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Texas A&M-CC

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 14-10 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs SF Austin58–60
  • Wvs LSU N Orleans74–61
  • Wvs East Texas A&M84–71
  • Wvs N'Western St71–59
  • W@ SE Louisiana73–68

A week or more of rest.

Nicholls

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UT Rio Grande68–86
  • Wvs N'Western St61–47
  • Lvs McNeese65–75
  • Wvs SE Louisiana68–60
  • W@ Lamar53–52

A week or more of rest.