1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Dec 10
  3. W&M @ DEL
NCAAB · Thu, Dec 10

William & Mary Tribe at Delaware Blue Hens

Bob Carpenter Center · at Delaware
#217W&MWilliam & Mary
@
#206DELDelaware
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
W&MThis seasonDEL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DEL 76–74 · win probability DEL 57%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DEL has more of the edges

W&M 2, DEL 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
W&MBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: W&M 16.6%, DEL 18.3%. Forced: W&M 18.9%, DEL 14.0%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: W&M plays 73.6 a game (14th fastest), DEL 65.3 (337th). Faster games mean more points
DELSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: W&M 1%, DEL 46%. Transfers in: W&M 7, DEL 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
W&MSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: W&M 44.0, DEL 30.6. Allowed: W&M 35.5, DEL 30.2
DELSmall
DEL offense vs W&M defense
Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 289th, on the model’s ratings
DELSmall
Home court
DEL at home. This season: DEL 0-0 at home, W&M 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
W&M hits 33.0% and allows 33.0%; DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%. Threes are 42.8% and 46.2% of their shots
Even
W&M offense vs DEL defense
Offense 160th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
W&M has played the 171st-hardest schedule, DEL the 195th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: W&M 26.0%, DEL 20.8%. Defensive: W&M 68.5%, DEL 68.9%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: W&M 54.3 and allows 51.9; DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DEL -2.0—
Total—150.3—
Projected score—W&M 74.1 · DEL 76.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadDEL -1.1—
1H total70.3—
1H projected scoreW&M 34.6 · DEL 35.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

William & Mary has the better starters

Position by position: William & Mary 2, Delaware 1, even 2
William & MaryBetterDelaware
G J. Baldwin TR7.7 pts · 4.2 reb · 3.2 ast Score 63
W&MBig
G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21
G J. McIntosh TR6.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.3 ast Score 48
W&MBig
G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5
G T. Blassingame TR3.7 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.6 ast Score 18
No call
G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked
G N. Daniels TR2 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
No call
G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
F S. Sivka TR2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 15
DELSmall
F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44
William & MaryBetterDelaware
W&M offense160th of 366 · -4.8
Even
DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3
W&M defense289th of 366 · -7.2
Even
DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3
Backcourt-2.6 · 4 players
W&MBig
Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.0 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
Bench-0.4 · 3 players
W&MSmall
Bench-2.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestW&M betterDEL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
William & Mary
Guards
J. Baldwin20 min · TRJ. McIntosh17 min · TRT. Blassingame17 min · TRN. Daniels10 min · TRZ. Clark9 min · TRJ. Forsythe4 min · TR
Forwards
S. Sivka11 min · TRB. CarterNewJ. RolandNew
Delaware
Guards
D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR
Forwards
K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew
Centers
S. Solano4 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
W&MDEL
Scoring
81.5 #38Points per game67.9 #316
1.11 #116Points per possession1.04 #269
73.6 #14Pace (possessions)65.3 #337
Shooting
54.3 #58Effective FG%53.3 #89
33.0 #2333-point %36.8 #31
42.8 #1203-point attempt rate46.2 #44
44.0 #9Free throw rate30.6 #291
Possessions
16.6 #171Turnover rate18.3 #287
26.0 #324Offensive rebound rate20.8 #362
17.4 #17Assists per game12.2 #271
Defense
78.9 #294Points allowed74.1 #156
1.07 #126Points allowed per possession1.13 #298
51.9 #205Opponent effective FG%51.5 #185
33.0 #126Opponent 3-point %35.1 #255
18.9 #52Turnovers forced14.0 #334
68.5 #229Defensive rebound rate68.9 #206
7.9 #47Steals per game5.7 #273
3.8 #95Blocks per game3.0 #219
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

William & Mary

18-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Hofstra61–92
  • Wvs Elon72–62
  • Wvs Hampton94–85
  • W@ NC A&T91–88
  • Wvs Northeastern84–77

A week or more of rest.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
  • Wvs Sam Houston83–80
  • L@ Kennesaw St82–90
  • L@ Jax State70–80
  • L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.