Delaware Blue Hens at Duquesne Dukes: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 15, 7:00 PM ETUPMC Cooper Fieldhouse · at Duquesne

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Delaware and Duquesne
DEL	This season	DUQ
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUQ 80–68 · win probability DUQ 85%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 147.2

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

DEL 2, DUQ 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

DUQBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: DEL 18.3%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: DEL 14.0%, DUQ 18.4%

DELBig

Three-pointers

DEL hits 36.8% and allows 35.1%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 46.2% and 44.4% of their shots

DUQBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: DEL 20.8%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: DEL 68.9%, DUQ 70.4%

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: DEL plays 65.3 a game (337th fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points

DUQBig

DEL offense vs DUQ defense

Offense 237th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Schedule so far

DEL has played the 195th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less

DUQSmall

DUQ offense vs DEL defense

Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 187th, on the model’s ratings

DUQSmall

Home court

DUQ at home. This season: DUQ 0-0 at home, DEL 0-0 away

DELSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: DEL 53.3 and allows 51.5; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: DEL 30.6, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: DEL 30.2, DUQ 39.9

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: DEL 46%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: DEL 6, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DUQ -11.7	—
Total	—	147.2	—
Projected score	—	DEL 67.8 · DUQ 79.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DUQ -6.8	—
1H total	68.8	—
1H projected score	DEL 31 · DUQ 37.8	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
DEL LLWWL	15-15	50%	7-7	—
DUQ LLLWW	14-17	45%	5-11	—

Venue/role: DEL away; DUQ home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
DEL OOOOU	16-14	53%	10-20
DUQ OUOUU	16-15	52%	16-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
DEL	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	8-2 80%
DUQ	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Delaware

No more games listed yet.

Duquesne

No more games listed yet.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

DEL 0–1 DUQDUQ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · DEL 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 6, 2024-25	DEL 66 @ DUQ 80	DUQ -3.5	DUQ W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Delaware

30 games played

Straight up

10-20

33% wins

Against the spread

15-15

50% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-2033%

L L W L W L L W L W L L W L L L L L W L L W W W L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

15-1550%

L W W L W L L W L L L W W L W L L L W L W W W W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O U U O U U O O O U U U O O U O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BUCK	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 148
Nov 11	@BYU	L 68-85	+35.5	W +18.5	164.5	U 153
Nov 18	vsSPU	W 81-70	-4.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 23	vsSIU	L 59-79	+8.5	L −11.5	153.5	U 138
Nov 25	vsUNCG	W 73-60	+1.5	W +14.5	142.5	U 133
Dec 1	vsIONA	L 66-89	+1.5	L −21.5	149.5	O 155
Dec 6	@DSU	L 72-75	-7.5	L −10.5	129.5	O 147
Dec 10	@GW	W 70-58	+21.5	W +33.5	152.5	U 128
Dec 13	vsCSUN	L 66-88	-1.5	L −23.5	144.5	O 154
Dec 16	vsRID	W 65-57	-8.5	L −0.5	129.5	U 122
Dec 29	vsMOST	L 43-61	+1.5	L −16.5	131.5	U 104
Jan 2	vsJXST	L 64-67	+4.5	W +1.5	126.5	O 131
Jan 4	vsKENN	W 67-52	+8.5	W +23.5	148.5	U 119
Jan 8	@SHSU	L 60-72	+11.5	L −0.5	144.5	U 132
Jan 10	@LT	L 68-70	+6.5	W +4.5	123.5	O 138
Jan 15	vsUTEP	L 69-70	-1.5	L −2.5	125.5	O 139
Jan 17	vsNMSU	L 68-97	+4.5	L −24.5	134.5	O 165
Jan 24	@LIB	L 51-67	+15.5	L −0.5	134.5	U 118
Jan 28	@NMSU	W 73-64	+13.5	W +22.5	137.5	U 137
Jan 31	@UTEP	L 55-70	+6.5	L −8.5	128.5	U 125
Feb 4	vsLIB	L 69-75	+10.5	W +4.5	132.5	O 144
Feb 7	vsMTSU	W 89-88	+5.5	W +6.5	133.5	O 177
Feb 12	@FIU	W 68-66	+8.5	W +10.5	147.5	U 134
Feb 14	@MOST	W 76-67	+9.5	W +18.5	135.5	O 143
Feb 18	vsWKU	L 87-88	+4.5	W +3.5	139.5	O 175
Feb 21	@MTSU	L 66-78	+10.5	L −1.5	137.5	O 144
Feb 26	@JXST	L 70-80	+7.5	L −2.5	133.5	O 150
Feb 28	@KENN	L 82-90	+11.5	W +3.5	143.5	O 172
Mar 5	vsSHSU	W 83-80	+7.5	W +10.5	147.5	O 163
Mar 7	vsLT	L 38-81	+2.5	L −40.5	132.5	U 119

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−5.5

BYU

L 68-85

+18.5

SPU

W 81-70

+6.5

SIU

L 59-79

−11.5

UNCG

W 73-60

+14.5

IONA

L 66-89

−21.5

DSU

L 72-75

−10.5

W 70-58

+33.5

CSUN

L 66-88

−23.5

RID

W 65-57

−0.5

MOST

L 43-61

−16.5

JXST

L 64-67

+1.5

KENN

W 67-52

+23.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−0.5

L 68-70

+4.5

UTEP

L 69-70

−2.5

NMSU

L 68-97

−24.5

LIB

L 51-67

−0.5

NMSU

W 73-64

+22.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−8.5

LIB

L 69-75

+4.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+6.5

FIU

W 68-66

+10.5

MOST

W 76-67

+18.5

WKU

L 87-88

+3.5

MTSU

L 66-78

−1.5

JXST

L 70-80

−2.5

KENN

L 82-90

+3.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+10.5

L 38-81

−40.5

covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BUCK

L 70-78

−1.5

BYU

L 68-85

−11.5

SPU

W 81-70

+13.5

SIU

L 59-79

−15.5

UNCG

W 73-60

−9.5

IONA

L 66-89

+5.5

DSU

L 72-75

+17.5

W 70-58

−24.5

CSUN

L 66-88

+9.5

RID

W 65-57

−7.5

MOST

L 43-61

−27.5

JXST

L 64-67

+4.5

KENN

W 67-52

−29.5

SHSU

L 60-72

−12.5

L 68-70

+14.5

UTEP

L 69-70

+13.5

NMSU

L 68-97

+30.5

LIB

L 51-67

−16.5

NMSU

W 73-64

−0.5

UTEP

L 55-70

−3.5

LIB

L 69-75

+11.5

MTSU

W 89-88

+43.5

FIU

W 68-66

−13.5

MOST

W 76-67

+7.5

WKU

L 87-88

+35.5

MTSU

L 66-78

+6.5

JXST

L 70-80

+16.5

KENN

L 82-90

+28.5

SHSU

W 83-80

+15.5

L 38-81

−13.5

over 16under 14avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Duquesne

31 games played

Straight up

16-15

52% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-15

52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1552%

W W W L W L L W L L W W L L L W L W L W W W W W L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1745%

W L L W L L L L L W W W L L L W W W L W W W W L L L L L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1552%

O O O O O O U O U O O O O O U U U U O U U O U U U U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNIA	W 83-63	-17.5	W +2.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 7	vsSHU	W 92-80	-12.5	L −0.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 11	vsQUC	W 87-81	-12.5	L −6.5	162.5	O 168
Nov 15	@VILL	L 77-87	+10.5	W +0.5	151.5	O 164
Nov 19	vsL-MD	W 92-78	-14.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 170
Nov 22	vsNE	L 86-93	-7.5	L −14.5	147.5	O 179
Dec 2	vsW&M	L 79-83	-5.5	L −9.5	170.5	U 162
Dec 6	vsSTBK	W 84-75	-9.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 159
Dec 10	@BOIS	L 64-86	+14.5	L −7.5	150.5	U 150
Dec 13	@NEV	L 75-78	+5.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Dec 22	vsCAN	W 103-59	-19.5	W +24.5	143.5	O 162
Dec 30	@DAV	W 89-83	+2.5	W +8.5	150.5	O 172
Jan 3	vsVCU	L 80-93	+5.5	L −7.5	165.5	O 173
Jan 7	@JOES	L 90-97	-1.5	L −8.5	149.5	O 187
Jan 13	vsDAY	L 65-71	+2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 136
Jan 17	@FOR	W 74-63	-1.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 20	vsSLU	L 77-81	+8.5	W +4.5	165.5	U 158
Jan 24	@LUC	W 71-59	-5.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 28	vsSBU	L 79-87	-3.5	L −11.5	150.5	O 166
Feb 1	vsURI	W 76-61	-2.5	W +12.5	146.5	U 137
Feb 4	@GMU	W 71-65	+8.5	W +14.5	143.5	U 136
Feb 7	vsGW	W 88-86	+1.5	W +3.5	158.5	O 174
Feb 14	@SBU	W 78-73	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 151
Feb 18	vsLAS	W 62-61	-11.5	L −10.5	145.5	U 123
Feb 21	@DAY	L 66-78	+6.5	L −5.5	148.5	U 144
Feb 25	vsDAV	L 56-67	-3.5	L −14.5	142.5	U 123
Feb 28	@SLU	L 76-91	+13.5	L −1.5	160.5	O 167
Mar 4	@URI	L 52-64	+2.5	L −9.5	143.5	U 116
Mar 7	vsRICH	W 79-77	-4.5	L −2.5	147.5	O 156
Mar 12	vsURI	W 67-61	-1.5	W +4.5	138.5	U 128
Mar 13	vsVCU	L 66-71	+6.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+2.5

SHU

W 92-80

−0.5

QUC

W 87-81

−6.5

VILL

L 77-87

+0.5

L-MD

W 92-78

−0.5

L 86-93

−14.5

W&M

L 79-83

−9.5

STBK

W 84-75

−0.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−7.5

NEV

L 75-78

+2.5

CAN

W 103-59

+24.5

DAV

W 89-83

+8.5

VCU

L 80-93

−7.5

JOES

L 90-97

−8.5

DAY

L 65-71

−3.5

FOR

W 74-63

+9.5

SLU

L 77-81

+4.5

LUC

W 71-59

+6.5

SBU

L 79-87

−11.5

URI

W 76-61

+12.5

GMU

W 71-65

+14.5

W 88-86

+3.5

SBU

W 78-73

+6.5

LAS

W 62-61

−10.5

DAY

L 66-78

−5.5

DAV

L 56-67

−14.5

SLU

L 76-91

−1.5

URI

L 52-64

−9.5

RICH

W 79-77

−2.5

URI

W 67-61

+4.5

VCU

L 66-71

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+6.5

SHU

W 92-80

+14.5

QUC

W 87-81

+5.5

VILL

L 77-87

+12.5

L-MD

W 92-78

+19.5

L 86-93

+31.5

W&M

L 79-83

−8.5

STBK

W 84-75

+8.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−0.5

NEV

L 75-78

+1.5

CAN

W 103-59

+18.5

DAV

W 89-83

+21.5

VCU

L 80-93

+7.5

JOES

L 90-97

+37.5

DAY

L 65-71

−16.5

FOR

W 74-63

−8.5

SLU

L 77-81

−7.5

LUC

W 71-59

−22.5

SBU

L 79-87

+15.5

URI

W 76-61

−9.5

GMU

W 71-65

−7.5

W 88-86

+15.5

SBU

W 78-73

−1.5

LAS

W 62-61

−22.5

DAY

L 66-78

−4.5

DAV

L 56-67

−19.5

SLU

L 76-91

+6.5

URI

L 52-64

−27.5

RICH

W 79-77

+8.5

URI

W 67-61

−10.5

VCU

L 66-71

−16.5

over 16under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Duquesne has the better starters

Position by position: Delaware 0, Duquesne 2, even 3

DelawareBetterDuquesne

G D. Dinkins TR11.9 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.5 ast Score 21

DUQBig

G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93

G A. Kazanecki5 pts · 2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 5

DUQBig

G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63

G J. Brown12 pts · 3 reb · 1 ast Not ranked

No call

G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6

G M. Ellison3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked

No call

G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31

F K. Nzeh TR11.6 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.4 ast Score 44

Even

F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49

DelawareBetterDuquesne

DEL offense237th of 366 · -7.3

DUQSmall

DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8

DEL defense187th of 366 · -4.3

DUQSmall

DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6

Backcourt-9.1 · 4 players

DUQBig

Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player

Even

Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player

Bench-2.8 · 5 players

DUQSmall

Bench-0.1 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestDEL betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Delaware

Guards

D. Dinkins34 min · TRA. Kazanecki29 minJ. Brown23 minM. Ellison20 minC. Bailey18 min · TRD. Harris-Smith17 min · TR

Forwards

K. Nzeh29 min · TRE. Alvin20 min · TRJ. Taylor16 minF. EgbunaNew

Centers

S. Solano4 min · TR

Duquesne

Guards

T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min

Forwards

Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew

Centers

E. Demir9 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

DEL67.9 #316

DUQ76.9 #118

Points per possession

DEL1.04 #269

DUQ1.09 #164

Pace (possessions)

DEL65.3 #337

DUQ70.4 #99

Shooting

Effective FG%

DEL53.3 #89

DUQ52.3 #131

3-point %

DEL36.8 #31

DUQ33.1 #223

3-point attempt rate

DEL46.2 #44

DUQ44.4 #81

Free throw rate

DEL30.6 #291

DUQ38.3 #94

Possessions

Turnover rate

DEL18.3 #287

DUQ17.6 #243

Offensive rebound rate

DEL20.8 #362

DUQ30.4 #184

Assists per game

DEL12.2 #271

DUQ14.7 #107

Defense

Points allowed

DEL74.1 #156

DUQ75.9 #214

Points allowed per possession

DEL1.13 #298

DUQ1.08 #171

Opponent effective FG%

DEL51.5 #185

DUQ52.5 #241

Opponent 3-point %

DEL35.1 #255

DUQ36.2 #314

Turnovers forced

DEL14.0 #334

DUQ18.4 #83

Defensive rebound rate

DEL68.9 #206

DUQ70.4 #142

Steals per game

DEL5.7 #273

DUQ7.6 #71

Blocks per game

DEL3.0 #219

DUQ3.0 #214

DEL		DUQ
Scoring
67.9 #316	Points per game	76.9 #118
1.04 #269	Points per possession	1.09 #164
65.3 #337	Pace (possessions)	70.4 #99
Shooting
53.3 #89	Effective FG%	52.3 #131
36.8 #31	3-point %	33.1 #223
46.2 #44	3-point attempt rate	44.4 #81
30.6 #291	Free throw rate	38.3 #94
Possessions
18.3 #287	Turnover rate	17.6 #243
20.8 #362	Offensive rebound rate	30.4 #184
12.2 #271	Assists per game	14.7 #107
Defense
74.1 #156	Points allowed	75.9 #214
1.13 #298	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #171
51.5 #185	Opponent effective FG%	52.5 #241
35.1 #255	Opponent 3-point %	36.2 #314
14.0 #334	Turnovers forced	18.4 #83
68.9 #206	Defensive rebound rate	70.4 #142
5.7 #273	Steals per game	7.6 #71
3.0 #219	Blocks per game	3.0 #214

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Delaware

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Louisiana Tech38–81
Wvs Sam Houston83–80
L@ Kennesaw St82–90
L@ Jax State70–80
L@ MTSU66–78

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs VCU66–71
Wvs Rhode Island67–61
Wvs Richmond79–77
L@ Rhode Island52–64
L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.

Delaware Blue Hens at Duquesne Dukes

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Delaware

Duquesne

Duquesne has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Delaware

Duquesne