1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. IUIN @ TLSA
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

IU Indianapolis Jaguars at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Reynolds Center · at Tulsa
#340IUINIU Indy
@
#108TLSATulsa
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IUINThis seasonTLSA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TLSA 90–70 · win probability TLSA 96%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 159.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TLSA has more of the edges

IUIN 1, TLSA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
TLSABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: IUIN 21.7, TLSA 41.4. Allowed: IUIN 46.6, TLSA 32.0
TLSABig
TLSA offense vs IUIN defense
Offense 99th of 366 against a defense 364th, on the model’s ratings
TLSABig
Three-pointers
IUIN hits 32.4% and allows 38.5%; TLSA hits 38.5% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 42.1% and 46.7% of their shots
TLSABig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IUIN 28.7%, TLSA 32.8%. Defensive: IUIN 64.5%, TLSA 71.0%
TLSABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: IUIN 52.2 and allows 58.2; TLSA 55.4 and allows 49.5
Context
Schedule so far
IUIN has played the 284th-hardest schedule, TLSA the 111th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TLSABig
IUIN offense vs TLSA defense
Offense 249th of 366 against a defense 133rd, on the model’s ratings
IUINSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IUIN 15.8%, TLSA 15.6%. Forced: IUIN 19.2%, TLSA 15.4%
Context
Tempo
About 73 possessions: IUIN plays 75.3 a game (4th fastest), TLSA 70.1 (115th). Faster games mean more points
TLSASmall
Home court
TLSA at home. This season: TLSA 0-0 at home, IUIN 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IUIN 14%, TLSA 18%. Transfers in: IUIN 3, TLSA 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TLSA -19.8—
Total—159.6—
Projected score—IUIN 69.9 · TLSA 89.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTLSA -11.6—
1H total74.5—
1H projected scoreIUIN 31.5 · TLSA 43.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Tulsa has the better starters

Position by position: IU Indy 1, Tulsa 3, even 1
IU IndyBetterTulsa
G B. Smith TR8.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 18
TLSASmall
G K. Williams TR14.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 46
G G. Etchison TR9 pts · 1.3 reb · 2.3 ast Score 93
IUINSmall
G J. Johnson TR15 pts · 3.5 reb · 2 ast Score 69
G J. Clarke TR3.3 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 34
TLSASmall
G B. Moss TR9.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 54
F K. Tinsley7.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 17
Even
F M. Emory TR11.3 pts · 6.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 27
F R. Hagy2.1 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 2
TLSASmall
F C. Loofe TR7.1 pts · 6.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 26
IU IndyBetterTulsa
IUIN offense249th of 366 · -7.5
TLSASmall
TLSA defense133rd of 366 · -2.5
IUIN defense364th of 366 · -12.3
TLSABig
TLSA offense99th of 366 · -0.8
Backcourt-1.6 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-0.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.2 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-3.8 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestIUIN betterTLSA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
IU Indy
Guards
B. Smith24 min · TRG. Etchison14 min · TRJ. Clarke13 min · TRM. Pastorcic-StraunNewP. HeissNewT. DrexlerNew
Forwards
K. Tinsley18 minR. Hagy11 minP. IdiaruNewA. ArnettNewM. StackhouseNew
Tulsa
Guards
K. Williams36 min · TRJ. Johnson33 min · TRB. Moss27 min · TRM. Williams21 min · TRM. Rigsby19 minJ. Lawal13 min
Forwards
M. Emory37 min · TRC. Loofe26 min · TRK. Banks16 min · TRD. DesireNewA. DimitrijevicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IUINTLSA
Scoring
80.9 #49Points per game83.9 #20
1.07 #200Points per possession1.20 #16
75.3 #4Pace (possessions)70.1 #115
Shooting
52.2 #136Effective FG%55.4 #29
32.4 #2583-point %38.5 #10
42.1 #1343-point attempt rate46.7 #37
21.7 #365Free throw rate41.4 #39
Possessions
15.8 #127Turnover rate15.6 #109
28.7 #243Offensive rebound rate32.8 #95
18.9 #3Assists per game15.1 #79
Defense
89.2 #364Points allowed74.4 #172
1.19 #353Points allowed per possession1.06 #111
58.2 #362Opponent effective FG%49.5 #82
38.5 #361Opponent 3-point %32.4 #85
19.2 #41Turnovers forced15.4 #260
64.5 #348Defensive rebound rate71.0 #108
8.0 #39Steals per game6.6 #170
2.9 #243Blocks per game2.5 #306
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

IU Indy

5-25 in 2025-26 overall · 3-18 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Cleveland St93–101
  • Lvs Purdue FW81–87
  • Lvs Oakland74–86
  • L@ Wright St73–85
  • L@ Purdue FW78–83

A week or more of rest.

Tulsa

28-8 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Auburn86–92
  • Wvs New Mexico74–69
  • Wvs Wichita St83–79
  • Wvs UNLV77–66
  • Wvs SF Austin89–84

A week or more of rest.