1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. WCU @ CLT
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Western Carolina Catamounts at Charlotte 49ers

Halton Arena · at Charlotte
#215WCUW Carolina
@
#141CLTCharlotte
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WCUThis seasonCLT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CLT 78–71 · win probability CLT 74%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 149.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CLT has more of the edges

WCU 2, CLT 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CLTBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: WCU 50.5 and allows 54.9; CLT 53.4 and allows 50.9
WCUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WCU 35.4%, CLT 33.9%. Defensive: WCU 73.7%, CLT 67.5%
CLTBig
Three-pointers
WCU hits 33.5% and allows 36.7%; CLT hits 35.2% and allows 33.5%. Threes are 40.9% and 45.4% of their shots
CLTSmall
CLT offense vs WCU defense
Offense 164th of 366 against a defense 256th, on the model’s ratings
CLTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WCU 31.3, CLT 36.4. Allowed: WCU 37.8, CLT 36.2
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: WCU plays 69.3 a game (162nd fastest), CLT 65.5 (331st). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
WCU has played the 177th-hardest schedule, CLT the 113th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WCUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WCU 16.7%, CLT 18.1%. Forced: WCU 14.6%, CLT 13.6%
CLTSmall
Home court
CLT at home. This season: CLT 0-0 at home, WCU 0-0 away
Even
WCU offense vs CLT defense
Offense 171st of 366 against a defense 129th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WCU 16%, CLT 10%. Transfers in: WCU 6, CLT 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CLT -7.3—
Total—149.3—
Projected score—WCU 70.9 · CLT 78.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCLT -4.3—
1H total69.8—
1H projected scoreWCU 32.8 · CLT 37—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Charlotte has the better starters

Position by position: W Carolina 1, Charlotte 2, even 2
W CarolinaBetterCharlotte
G M. Brown TR11.9 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.9 ast Score 48
CLTBig
G D. Finister TR14.9 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast Score 84
G I. Manning TR9.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast Score 64
Even
G K. Tillery TR3.8 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 63
G T. Bryson TR8.6 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.9 ast Score 70
Even
F D. Grant TR9.5 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 71
G J. Prunty TR3.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 20
CLTSmall
F A. Conyers7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.5 ast Score 37
F S. Dada6.2 pts · 7.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 77
WCUSmall
F J. Fort TR3.3 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 49
W CarolinaBetterCharlotte
WCU offense171st of 366 · -5.2
Even
CLT defense129th of 366 · -2.3
WCU defense256th of 366 · -6.7
CLTSmall
CLT offense164th of 366 · -5.0
Backcourt-1.7 · 4 players
CLTBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
WCUSmall
Frontcourt-0.1 · 3 players
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.8 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestWCU betterCLT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
W Carolina
Guards
M. Brown31 min · TRI. Manning20 min · TRT. Bryson18 min · TRJ. Prunty16 min · TRJ. Roberts8 min · TRD. Hollifield2 min
Forwards
S. Dada20 minT. Smith10 minD. Raymond6 min · TRF. SodipoNew
Charlotte
Guards
D. Finister33 min · TRK. Tillery12 min · TRJ. Rodriguez-Stegemeijer8 min · TRR. EvansNewF. OgucheNewL. BarnesNew
Forwards
D. Grant24 min · TRA. Conyers20 minJ. Fort14 min · TRT. McKinley12 min · TRM. AllenNew
Centers
P. Marshall11 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WCUCLT
Scoring
76.3 #134Points per game73.0 #225
1.10 #140Points per possession1.12 #105
69.3 #162Pace (possessions)65.5 #331
Shooting
50.5 #218Effective FG%53.4 #86
33.5 #1983-point %35.2 #101
40.9 #1473-point attempt rate45.4 #58
31.3 #274Free throw rate36.4 #140
Possessions
16.7 #179Turnover rate18.1 #278
35.4 #36Offensive rebound rate33.9 #71
12.0 #286Assists per game12.9 #217
Defense
79.0 #299Points allowed74.3 #164
1.14 #307Points allowed per possession1.13 #291
54.9 #327Opponent effective FG%50.9 #152
36.7 #337Opponent 3-point %33.5 #153
14.6 #318Turnovers forced13.6 #345
73.7 #22Defensive rebound rate67.5 #283
5.8 #266Steals per game4.5 #353
2.4 #315Blocks per game3.5 #150
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

W Carolina

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs ETSU67–69
  • Wvs Mercer77–73
  • Wvs Furman86–67
  • Wvs Mercer78–74
  • W@ VMI81–62

A week or more of rest.

Charlotte

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs South Florida64–86
  • Wvs UAB83–78
  • Wvs Tulane74–60
  • L@ South Florida60–83
  • Lvs UAB74–80

A week or more of rest.